http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Opinion/The_Lehman_effect/articleshow/3491141.cms

India's outsourcing story has become the unintended victim of the collapse
of some of the most venerable Wall Street firms such as Lehman Brothers and
Merrill Lynch since the subprime crisis began to unravel. India can no
longer claim that BPO/KPO operations will escape unscathed from troubles of
the US financial sector.

Already, hundreds of jobs have been lost following the downsizing of
operations and closing down of back offices in India — the toll of the
collapse of Lehman is reportedly about 2,200 jobs. Several other global
financial services companies too have been forced to cut the strength of the
back office operations in India, laying off people across various functions
as their incomes were hurt by the crash of the stock
markets<http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Opinion/The_Lehman_effect/articleshow/3491141.cms#>.


Software majors such as TCS, Infosys, Wipro and Satyam that earn a
significant portion of their revenues from the banking, financial services
and insurance (BFSI) sector would need to be prepared for loss of business.
Needless to say, the loss of several well-paying jobs would dampen demand in
some product-segments as well as the real estate, which is already suffering
due to sluggish sales. Indian companies which have partnered these
institutions for business collaborations or funds would have to be prepared
for a change in partners and even stake sale by the distressed institutions.


However, that is not to say the collapse of the financial sector would make
the outlook for India and its market more gloomy. There have been a few
positive developments over the past couple of weeks. For instance, the
industrial production for July 2008 looks healthier, rising 7.1% over the
same month last year.

In particular, the robust growth of the capital goods sector (albeit over a
low base in July 2007) and consumer durables (perhaps in anticipation of the
festival season demand) are definitely encouraging. The decline in global
commodity prices, particularly crude oil now inching close $90 a barrel,
should spell good news for inflation control. Besides, the first quarter GDP
growth at 7.9%, although slowest in three years, reflects that the
fundamentals of the economy is still very strong. That should inspire
confidence in the performance of our stock markets.

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