*Where Will The Money Come From?" *

*By Devinder Sharma*

10 October, 2008
*Countercurrents.org*

*O*nly a few months back, the day Finance Minister P Chidambaram in his
budget speech announced Rs 60,000-crore loan waiver for the beleaguered
farming community, there was an orchestrated outcry: "Where will this money
come from?" Television anchors were visibly angry at this 'supposed
windfall' for the farmers, the print media was outraged at this 'political
and not economic' decision just before the ensuing elections, and the
industry leaders were seen sulking.

Six months later, no one is asking the same question. With the global
financial crisis failing to work itself out, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
is under pressure to intervene. Soon after the Wall Street mayhem, the RBI
had pumped in Rs 84,000-crore in the domestic banking system through
liquidity facility adjustment. An additional Rs 20,000-crore has been
released through a 0.5 per cent reduction in cash reserve ration (CRR).

Sounds technical but let me simplify. Liquidity in layman term means 'fund
availability' or in simple words making available more cash. All over the
industrialised world, governments are stepping in to provide more cash in
the hands of the private banks, and India is no exception.

Despite the Finance Minister saying that the fundamentals are strong, the
banks are on a massive borrowing spree. In the first week of October alone,
they borrowed Rs 90,075-crore every day from RBI through liquid facility
adjustment. In the days to come, the RBI is under pressure to release
another Rs 30,000-crore through the CRR, and also to cut repo rate – the
rate at which it lends to banks. And thanks to the loan waiver, the banks
will receive another Rs 50,000-crore in the coming weeks as part
reimbursement for the farm loan waiver and fertiliser loan.

Isn't it a fact that Rs 60,000-crore loan waiver (later enhanced to Rs
71,000-crore) was actually a relief to the banks? What seemed to be a
'political' decision in the name of pulling out the indebted farmers was
actually meant to maintain and sustain the health of the banking system. If
the government had not provided the loan waiver, banks would have been in
terrible liquidity crisis. With farmers unable to repay, these banks would
have been saddled with massive non-performing assets (or a shortfall in
liquidity) or non-availability of Rs 71,000-crore in cash.

In other words, the loan waiver was a partial bailout for the banks. Now no
one is asking: "Where will this money come from?" On the contrary, most
analysts are asking for more 'speed and sagacity' to tide over the crisis.

If only such 'speed and sagacity' was shown to tide over the terrible
agrarian crisis sweeping throughout the country for over a decade now,
thousands of farmers would have been saved from committing suicide. If only
the RBI had stepped in to make more cash (or liquidity) available, the
nation could have easily provided an assured employment to each and every
Indian not only for 100 days but for all the 365 days in a year. The
National Rural Employment Guarantee Programme (NREGA) can be easily extended
to bring every unemployed Indian under its gambit.

And it is here that I fail to understand the sagacious logic of keeping the
poor hungry and then expecting a higher economic growth trajectory; of
paying a multi-million dollar salary (in addition to lucrative perks) to the
bosses of the banks and corporate houses and then make the man on the street
pay for the losses; in other words the logic behind privatising the profits
and socialising the losses.

Take the case of the bankrupt Lehman Brothers. While the shareholders in the
company have been wiped out, Richard Fuld, its chief executive, walks away
with US $ 480 million as his personal remuneration over eight years, and
this includes a $ 14 million ocean-front villa in Florida, and a home in an
exclusive ski resort. Lawmakers investigating the bailed out insurance
company AIG, were shocked to learn that days after the government rescued
the company, it unashamedly spent US $ 44,000 on a posh California retreat
for its executives, complete with spa, banquets and golf outings.

Why blame the American corporate leaders when US president George Bush
himself had given them a free rope: "Government should not decide the
compensation for America's corporate executives." Probably what he meant was
that come what may, the US government will continue to provide funds to meet
obscene corporate salaries and perks.

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh too had removed the upper ceiling on corporate
salaries. According to Merril-Lynch and Capgemini, driven by impressive
economic gains and robust market capitalism growth in 2007, India led the
world in High-Net-Worth-Individual population growth at 22.7 per cent. Two
year earlier, in 2005, there were 83,000 high net worth individuals with a
wealth of at least $ 1 million (and this does not include immovable
property).

This brings me back to the same question. How long will the world go on
encouraging an economic system that makes the rich richer and the poor
poorer? While 36 billionaires in India have a collective economic wealth
equivalent to one-third of the country's GDP, the country's 600 million
farmers collectively account for only 17 per cent share. With every passing
year, the share of agriculture in GDP continues to slide down still further.
No wonder, the average monthly income of a farm household (which includes
five members of a family and two cattle) does not exceed Rs 2,400.

Bailing out the farmers from a distressing situation is always considered to
be bad economics. It is branded as a political compulsion, and the sooner
politicians emerge out of it the better it would be for economic growth and
development. This economic prescription, which every economists worth the
name is willing to endorse, is invariably for the farming community, the
landless workers and the marginalised communities. They need to learn to be
enterprising, and therefore must stop living on government subsidies.

When it comes to the enterprising millionaires -- corporates and the banks
-- government bailouts are not only a must, but should be done speedily.
"Where will the money come from?" is not a question to be asked when you are
subsidising the rich and the elite. It is their birth right. You need to
understand.

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