http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/27/washington/27intel.html?ei=5124&en=3886316cf818331c&ex=1382760000&partner=facebook&exprod=facebook&pagewanted=all
U.S. Takes to Air to Hit Militants Inside Pakistan

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By MARK 
MAZZETTI<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/m/mark_mazzetti/index.html?inline=nyt-per>and
ERIC
SCHMITT<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/s/eric_schmitt/index.html?inline=nyt-per>
Published: October 26, 2008

WASHINGTON — The White House has backed away from using American commandos
for further ground raids into
Pakistan<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/international/countriesandterritories/pakistan/index.html?inline=nyt-geo>after
furious complaints from its government, relying instead on an
intensifying campaign of airstrikes by the Central Intelligence
Agency<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/c/central_intelligence_agency/index.html?inline=nyt-org>against
militants in the Pakistani mountains.
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Mujtaba/Reuters

Tribesmen gather at the site of a missile attack near the Afghan border.
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Attacks
in 
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According to American and Pakistani officials, attacks by remotely piloted
Predator aircraft have increased sharply in frequency and scope in the past
three months.

Through Sunday, there were at least 18 Predator strikes since the beginning
of August, some deep inside Pakistan's tribal areas, compared with 5 strikes
during the first seven months of 2008.

At the same time, however, officials said that relying on airstrikes alone,
the United States would be unable to weaken Al
Qaeda<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/a/al_qaeda/index.html?inline=nyt-org>'s
grip in the tribal areas permanently. Within the government, advocates of
the ground raids have argued that only by sending Special Operations forces
into Pakistan can the United States successfully capture suspected
operatives and interrogate them for information about top Qaeda leaders.

The decision to focus on an intensified Predator campaign using Hellfire
missiles appears to reflect dwindling options on the part of the White House
for striking a blow against Al Qaeda in the Bush administration's waning
days.

After months of debate within the administration and mounting frustration
over Pakistan's failure to carry out more aggressive counterterrorism
operations, President Bush finally gave his approval in July for ground
missions inside Pakistan.

But the only American ground mission known to have taken place was a Special
Operations raid on Sept. 3, in which the roughly two dozen people killed
included some civilians. American officials say there has not been another
commando operation since.

American officials acknowledge that following the Sept. 3 raid they were
surprised by the intensity of the Pakistani response, which included an
unannounced visit to Washington, three weeks after the incursion, by the
country's national security adviser, Mahmud Ali Durrani. He registered his
anger in person with top White House officials.

A senior administration official said Sunday that no tacit agreement had
been reached to allow increased Predator strikes in exchange for a backing
off from additional American ground raids, an option the officials said
remained on the table. But Pakistani officials have made clear in public
statements that they regard the Predator attacks as a less objectionable
violation of Pakistani sovereignty.

"There's always a balance between respecting full Pakistani sovereignty,
even in places where they're not capable of exercising that sovereignty, and
the need for our force protection," said the administration official, who
spoke on condition of anonymity.

Top American officials have justified the Sept. 3 ground raid as a
self-defense response against militants who use havens in Pakistan to launch
attacks against American and allied forces in Afghanistan. Those attacks
have increased by about 30 percent from a year ago, according to military
officials.

As part of the intensified attacks in recent months, the C.I.A. has expanded
its list of targets in Pakistan and has gained approval from the government
there to bolster eavesdropping operations in the border region, according to
United States officials.

Once largely reserved for missions to kill senior Arab Qaeda operatives, the
Predator is increasingly being used to strike Pakistani militants and even
trucks carrying rockets to resupply fighters in Afghanistan.

Many of the Predator strikes are taking place as deep as 25 miles into
Pakistani territory, not just along the border.

Spokesmen for the White House and the C.I.A. declined to comment for this
article.

The information about the American operations inside Pakistan was described
in interviews by a dozen military and civilian officials from the United
States and Pakistan, who insisted on anonymity because of diplomatic
concerns and because details remained classified.

While Pakistan is now headed by a new civilian government, under President Asif
Ali 
Zardari<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/z/asif_ali_zardari/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
the tense discussions between the countries over counterterrorism operations
appear to echo at least some of the uneasiness that long characterized the
partnership between Mr. Bush and Pervez
Musharraf<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/m/pervez_musharraf/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
the former president. He was defeated in parliamentary elections in February
and left office in August.

Husain Haqqani, Pakistan's ambassador to the United States, told the Council
on Foreign 
Relations<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/c/council_on_foreign_relations/index.html?inline=nyt-org>this
month that the two nations were cooperating in deploying "strategic
equipment that is used against specific targets."

On Oct. 16, a Predator strike in South Waziristan killed Khalid Habib, a
senior Qaeda operative. But the strikes sometimes have unintended
consequences. On Sept. 8, one in Miranshah on a compound owned by a
Taliban<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/t/taliban/index.html?inline=nyt-org>leader,
Jalaluddin
Haqqani<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/h/jalaluddin_haqqani/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
failed to kill him but did kill women and children. On Aug. 27, a Predator
strike near the village of Wana missed its target; it is unclear whether
civilians were killed.

Early Monday morning, a missile strike suspected to have been launched by
the United States struck the house of a Taliban commander in the South
Waziristan region, near the Afghan border, The Associated Press reported,
quoting unidentified Pakistani intelligence officials. As many as 20 people
were killed but their identities were not immediately clear, the officials
said.

Senior military and counterterrorism officials say the increased Predator
strikes have disrupted planning, pushed some insurgents deeper into
Pakistan, prompted some militant commanders to post additional sentries and
forced the militants to use their cellphones and satellite phones, which
American eavesdropping operations can monitor.

"It's fair to say that it has caused key Al Qaeda figures to focus even more
on their safety and security," said a Western counterterrorism official. "It
has caused them to be more suspicious of people they don't know well, and it
also has caused frictions between Al Qaeda and tribal elements."

But the official acknowledged that the intensified operations have failed to
shake Al Qaeda's hold on the tribal areas. "Things haven't gotten to the
point that they would even consider another option," he said.

Pakistan and the United States are also taking steps to repair the
relationship between their intelligence services, which reached a nadir this
summer after evidence emerged that Pakistan's Inter-Services
Intelligence<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/i/interservices_intelligence/index.html?inline=nyt-org>Directorate
had a hand in the July bombing of India's embassy in Kabul,
Afghanistan.

Gen. Ashfaq Parvez
Kayani<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/k/ashfaq_parvez_kayani/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
Pakistan's top military official, recently replaced not only the ISIs
commander but also four midlevel generals believed to have had advance
knowledge of the embassy bombing.

The C.I.A. has also put a new station chief in Islamabad, replacing one
whose tour of duty had ended and whose relationship with the ISI had become
contentious.

Lt. Gen. Ahmed Shuja Pasha, the new head of the ISI, is in Washington this
week and is scheduled to meet with the C.I.A. director, Michael V.
Hayden<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/h/michael_v_hayden/index.html?inline=nyt-per>.


Pentagon officials have publicly praised the Pakistan Army's aggressive
campaign against militants in the Bajaur tribal agency. But privately, some
American officials are wincing at a full-scale military operation that is
taking a heavy toll on civilians as well as insurgents, and has not
diminished the cross-border attacks.

"They don't have a concept of counterinsurgency operations," one senior
American officer said. "It's generally a heavy punch and then they leave."

More than 200,000 people have now fled the attack helicopters, warplanes,
artillery and mortar fire of the Pakistani Army, and some officials in
Washington say the Pakistani government has been slow to follow up with
food, water and other assistance to help displaced villagers. The United
States has approved $8 million to aid the refugee effort.

Still, a senior official in the State Department said the situation was a
vast improvement from years of Pakistan's off-again-on-again military
operations in the tribal areas.

"They have shown more fight than ever before," that official said of the
Pakistanis. "They show no desire to negotiate with the militants."

The official said that Pakistan's civilian government had been moved to act
in part by large-scale terrorist attacks in Pakistan, like the Sept. 20
bombing at the Marriott Hotel in Islamabad, which killed more than 50
people.

-- 
Bobby Kunhu http://community.eldis.org/myshkin/Blog/

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