And Now Downsizing Pakistan's Military

By AHMED QURAISHI
Wednesday, 5 November 2008.
WWW.AHMEDQURAISHI.COM <http://www.ahmedquraishi.com/>

ISLAMABAD, Pakistan—So our people missed all the signs, trusted the
Americans and never doubted for a second that our ally will do us in.
Pakistan's political and intelligence
communities woke up late, discovering sometime late last year that our
American ally has been working on bringing the war to Pakistan from the
start.  Knowing Pakistani strategic concerns, it installed a decidedly
pro-India setup in Kabul to our west while cultivating India as a check from
the east.  Adm. Mike Mullen is even contemplating inviting the Indian army
to Afghanistan to patrol our western border.

Ever wonder why the American drones attacking Pakistan are manned by CIA and
not the U.S. military?  That's because there is a plan. And the plan now is
to carefully eliminate pro-Pakistan Pashtun tribal leaders and leave
Islamabad with a civil war and maybe a Pashtun separatism while the
Americans allow themselves the right to offer peace to Mullah Omar in
Afghanistan.  Maybe the CIA is upset at Pakistani military's recent
successes against shadowy 'Rebel Mullahs' who only fight the Pakistani State
and whose supplies never end. These are the same rebels that CIA drones have
strangely been ignoring for the past year or so.

But our troubles appear to be only starting. Bruce Riedel, who retired from
CIA in 2006, is Barrack Obama's adviser on Pakistan.  Such is his obsession
with Pakistan that he wrote a memo to President Clinton in 1998 designating
Pakistan as the most dangerous country in the world and recommending that it
be fixed.  Today, Mr. Riedel is preparing a President Obama for a war with
Pakistan, camouflaged in the usual American doublespeak about freedom,
terrorism and stability.

Figure 1: Bruce Riedel, Obama's Pointman On Pakistan

Even some Americans are alarmed at the ideas of Mr. Obama's pointman on
Pakistan. This is how Thomas Houlahan, a Washington-based expert on
Pakistani military affairs, described Mr. Riedel on Geo News over the
weekend:

 "Barrack Obama's South Asia advisor Bruce Riedel is dangerously misinformed
on Pakistan, sees the Pakistani army as the source of all evil in the
[region], and thinks it needs to be cut down to size to essentially a
glorified police force, which is essentially what they are talking about
when they say we need to steer [Pakistani military] away from fighter jets
and tanks and turn it into a counterterrorism force. And it doesn't seem to
occur to these geniuses that having a glorified police force with nuclear
weapons might not be a good idea."

No matter how harsh the political polarization in Washington, everyone seems
to be on board on Pakistan: denuclearizing the country, forcing the
Pakistani army to forget about Indian water blocking and Kashmir and
restructure the army to fight insurgents and buy only those weapons that
serve this purpose.

Mr. Obama is impressed with his adviser's ideas. Over the weekend he picked
another longtime Riedel theme:  that resolving Kashmir is essential to
fighting terrorism. But before someone in Islamabad gets excited about this,
Mr. Riedel – and now his boss Mr. Obama – are basically talking about ending
Pakistan's excuse of the lingering dispute of Kashmir which stands in the
way of accepting Washington's desire to see India walk all over Pakistan,
open direct trade links to Afghanistan and central Asia and play a major
role in securing Afghanistan and the region in the face of Russian and
Chinese influence.

To face the expected escalation in the U.S. war 'expansion' plans after the
presidential election, Pakistan needs to start talking.  And it needs to do
this now.  While Washington has the benefit of a loud and noisy media to
convey its interest and expectations, Islamabad continues to be shy about
speaking publicly and bluntly about what it wants.  Pakistan is not
sufficiently defending at a high level, that of President or Prime Minister,
its right to protect its interests.  Influential policy advisers like Mr.
Riedel are effectively undermining Pakistani position by portraying
Pakistani policy as 'obsessive' about India.  What both Riedel and Pakistani
officials are failing to highlight is that Pakistan has its own vision for
peace in the region that includes Pakistan's own interests.  The Pakistani
interest does not match that of Washington and New Delhi when it comes
antagonizing Russia and China. Pakistani interest is also undermined by U.S.
support for warlords and officials in the Karzai government who are too
close to New Delhi and hostile toward Pakistan. And above all, our threat
perception toward India is proving correct with the Indian blockade of
Pakistani water flowing from Indian-controlled areas of Kashmir and the
evidence that Washington is quite aware of now about Indian involvement in
terrorism in southwest Pakistan.

We must tell our friends in Washington publicly and openly that Pakistan's
military orientation is our prerogative, not America's.


-- 
Bobby Kunhu http://community.eldis.org/myshkin/Blog/

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