Article by Brahma Chellaney

http://www.asianage.com/presentation/leftnavigation/opinion/op-ed/pak-terror-is-bribe-ruse.aspx

*Pak terror is bribe ruse**
*

*By Brahma Chellaney*

"Terrorists are still coming in from Pakistan," India's lumbering external
affairs minister lamented in Parliament last week. India can be sure
terrorists will keep arriving from across the borders, emboldened as they
and their patrons would be from New Delhi's pusillanimity in not taking the
smallest of small steps against Pakistan even as a token expression of
India's outrage over the Mumbai assaults by 10 terrorists — all from
Pakistan's Punjab province.

After every major terrorist assault, India can expect — as has been the case
since the Mumbai attacks — visits by high-ranking public figures from
overseas who will offer loads of sympathy, heartily pat the septuagenarians
and octogenarians governing India for their restraint, and then peddle their
eclectic wares — from seeking access for their police to investigate
terrorist strikes in India and question arrested suspects, to urging New
Delhi to use the latest tragedy to resolve the Kashmir issue with Pakistan.

The visitors are not stupid not to know that cross-border terrorism would
not end even if India were to offer Kashmir on a platter to Pakistan. After
all, the self-declared mission of the Lashkar-e-Tayyaba — still actively
aided by the Pakistani intelligence — is "global jihad", with the specific
goal to set up a caliphate across southern, central and southeastern Asia.
And as was shown by the 1999 Kargil invasion, when Pakistani Army regulars
encroached masquerading as "mujahideen", a thin line can separate the
military establishment from its pet terror groups.

India's becoming an easy prey for terrorists is linked not to the Kashmir
issue but to its effete leadership, which won't impose any costs on the
sponsors of terror, yet unabashedly appeals to other states to fight India's
war on terrorism. Unable to think and act strategically, the leadership has
helped turn India into a classic lamb State that can be continually gored
without fear of retribution. Tellingly, if Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has
made any vow after Mumbai, it is — to quote his words in Parliament — "to
galvanise the international community into dealing sternly and effectively
with the epicentre of terrorism which is located in Pakistan".

Making the most of such bloated Indian expectations, the visiting
dignitaries seek to push their countries' own geopolitical agendas, centred
on narrow tactical considerations than on a larger strategy to deracinate
Pakistan's jihad culture. In being guided by politically expedient
considerations, however, they play right into the hands of the extortionist
Pakistani military and its Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency.

At the crux of the problem are the bribes the Pakistani military
establishment openly seeks from the international community for any move on
its part:

l To help rein in the Taliban — which it continues to bolster while
pretending to be an ally in the US-led war on terror — it demands generous
US military aid, although it has already diverted (according to American
admissions) much of the received assistance to beef up forces against India.

l To sever its institutional support to India-directed terror groups, it
demands a resolution — to its satisfaction — of the intractable and
unsolvable Kashmir dispute.

l Having stunted nation-building and turned Pakistan into the world's
"Problemistan", it now warns the Pakistani State would implode unless the US
continues its aid flow, totalling nearly $2 billion a year.

l To patrol Pakistan's own border with Afghanistan, it demands — and gets —
a special US payment of around $100 million a month.

l It scripts terror attacks in India and then immediately spotlights the
Kashmir issue. The Mumbai attackers could have learned their amphibious
assault skills only from military handlers, not non-State actors. Yet,
shortly after the Mumbai assaults, Pakistan told the UN Security Council
that, "The best outcome of the tragedy would be the resolution of the issue
of Kashmir".

Given the ruthlessness with which the military-style terrorist assaults were
executed, the capture of one supposed suicide attacker alive and the
relatively moderate death toll of 32 in the Taj Mahal Hotel and 33 in
Oberoi-Trident (more civilians died at a major train station than at either
of the two besieged hotels) indicate the operation did not go the way it had
been planned by the masterminds in Pakistan. Had New Delhi not ordered the
commando storming but gone in for negotiations, the four terrorists in the
Taj and the two each at the Oberoi-Trident and the Jewish Centre would have
held India hostage for days on end while putting the international spotlight
on a plethora of demands — from Kashmir to jailed terrorists in India.

The real issue is not Kashmir but the Pakistani military, which, after six
decades of direct and indirect rule, has become too fat to return to the
barracks. Indeed, it won't fit in the barracks. To retain its power and
prerogative in society, the military needs the India-threat bogey. The
military genuinely believes that a Pakistan stripped of its core cementing
element — eternal enmity with India — would be reduced to a battlefield for
its five feuding ethnic groups. It has thus kept alive the Kashmir issue.

Had India been an irredentist State, seeking to reclaim the Kashmir
territories now held by Pakistan (35 per cent) and China (20 per cent), the
Pakistani military may have been justified in projecting an India threat.
But India is for maintaining the territorial status quo — a position not
acceptable to the Pakistani military, which over the years has sought to
change the status quo through open war and now unconventional conflict.

In recent years, India has worked with Pakistan to create a virtually
borderless Kashmir to help facilitate the free movement of people, goods and
services. New transportation links have been established as a first step.
Given that Kashmir's division into Indian, Pakistani and Chinese parts
cannot be undone, what does a "resolution" of the Kashmir dispute entail
beyond such steps?

The blunt truth is that Kashmir is not the cause but the symbol of
India-Pakistan differences, which are rooted in history and the politics of
revenge, besides epitomising competing worldviews and a divide along
civilisational fault lines. As General Pervez Musharraf candidly put it in a
1999 speech, Pakistan's low-intensity war with India would continue even if
the Kashmir issue were magically resolved. The military for long has fancied
India's Balkanisation as Pakistan's salvation.

The way out of this situation is for the US, Britain and others to help
empower Pakistan's civilian government, which today is neither in charge of
the country's national-security apparatus nor in a position to stop the
Army's meddling in foreign policy. To pressure the victim, India, to pander
to the Pakistani military's insatiable demands on Kashmir is to promote
greater roguishness and to overlook the fact that the Pakistani Army is
waging a mortal combat with the Indian republic.

But why blame international figures when India's own leaders fail to grasp
the nature of the mortal combat? India's leadership deficit is manifest from
the innocent pleas to Pakistan, including the extradition of 42 fugitives
and the dismantlement of the State-run terrorist infrastructure.

Which Pakistan is going to do that? The powerless civilian government? The
Janus-faced military establishment? Did the latter set up the terror complex
to wage a war of a thousand cuts against India or to dismantle it at the
enemy's bidding? If they really wish to bring that establishment to heel,
what costs are India's leaders ready to impose?

-- 
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Liberty, if it means anything, is the right to tell people what they don't
want to hear.

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