GOP Steps Up Opposition to Obama Nuclear AgendaFriday, May 28, 2010

By Martin Matishak

*Global Security Newswire*

http://gsn.nti.org/gsn/nw_20100528_7625.php

WASHINGTON -- Congressional Republicans have started using the legislative
process to step up their opposition to the Obama administration's nuclear
nonproliferation agenda (see *GSN*, May 20).

(May. 28) - *U.S. Representative Michael Turner (Ohio) and other Republican
lawmakers have started throwing up legislative barriers to nonproliferation
initiatives advanced by the Obama administration (U.S. Representative
Michael Turner photo).*

Members of the House Armed Services Committee last week successfully
attached two amendments to the panel's $760 billion fiscal 2011defense
authorization bill<http://www.govtrack.us/congress/billtext.xpd?bill=h111-5136>.
One addition would require the White House to conduct a rigorous analysis
before cutting the size of the U.S. nuclear arsenal beyond the amount
proscribed by a recent arms control deal with Russia, while the other
expresses grave concerns about the administration's recent nuclear strategy
document.

The authorization bill encompasses U.S. Defense Department operations and
about $7 billion for "nuclear weapons activities" at the Energy Department.
The full chamber began consideration of the legislation yesterday, though it
remains unclear when a final vote on the package is expected.

Republicans, and some Democrats, have already made it clear they have
concerns about Barack Obama's nuclear plans, including reducing the size and
role atomic warheads play in national security, given the threats posed
today by rogue nations and extremist organizations.

The legislation marks the first significant step Congress has taken on
Obama's sweeping nonproliferation agenda. The amendments could also be a
sign of future GOP opposition as the budget process unfolds to the
administration's efforts.

The White House has also come under fire from liberal Democrats who wanted
the president to embrace a prohibition against the first use of nuclear
weapons and adopt a "sole purpose" policy, in which the U.S. atomic arsenal
would exist only to deter nuclear attacks on the United States and its
allies.

"When you're following a fairly carefully nuanced policy that's intended to
develop a centrist consensus, you're going to have posturing on both the
left and right ends of the continuum," said Clark Murdock, a senior adviser
at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

A National Security Council spokesman did not respond to a request for
comment submitted Monday.

Taken together, last week's amendments "reflect a Republican agenda designed
to undermine everything the current administration wants to do regardless of
whether or not it's good for American security," said Stephen Young, a
senior analyst with the Union of Concerned Scientists.

"This should be a signal both to the administration and to those who are
reviewing these issues of the seriousness of the step that the
administration has taken," Representative Michael Turner (R-Ohio) said of
his nonbinding amendment that states the administration's Nuclear Posture
Review "weakens the national security of the United States by eliminating
options to defense against catastrophic nuclear, biological and chemical
weapons."

The report issued last month establishes policies and strategies for the
U.S. nuclear deterrent over the next five to 10 years.

"There are those who would cast it as incidental ... but here in a
Democratically controlled committee of the House, the House spoke with very
serious reservations about the policy," Turner told *Global Security
Newswire* in a telephone interview this week. His amendment passed by a
30-28 committee vote.

Turner's measure comes in response to a pledge made in the posture review
that the United States would not conduct nuclear strikes against non-nuclear
states that are in compliance with global nonproliferation regimes.

That language eliminates the country's long-standing policy of "calculated
ambiguity," in which U.S. leaders left open the possibility of executing a
nuclear strike in response to virtually any hostile action against the
United States or its allies, GOP lawmakers have argued. The new declaratory
policy could lead allied nations to seek their own deterrent if they believe
they are left vulnerable by a reduced U.S. nuclear umbrella, they claim.

Republicans have also taken issue with a caveat in the document that would
allow Washington to set aside the policy -- dubbed "negative security
assurance" -- if it appeared that biological weapons had been made dangerous
enough to cause major harm to the United States.

"I don't believe they have the ability to anticipate all scenarios and
that's why, disingenuously, they even say in the policy that they reserve
the right to reconsider," the Ohio lawmaker said.

The language approved by the committee is "wrong and misunderstands past and
current policy. It is a politically motivated amendment rather than a
serious attempt to adjust or refine policy," said Arms Control Association
head Daryl Kimball.

"It would be a political disaster for Republicans to argue that 20 years
after the end of the Cold War, given the United States' overwhelming
military superiority, we should be threatening to use nuclear weapons under
any and every circumstance that might jeopardize U.S. national security," he
said.

A "Barry Goldwater-like" position on nuclear weapons would not serve the GOP
or U.S. security well, Kimball added.

*"New START" Amendment*

The House Armed Services Committee also approved an amendment offered by
Representative Doug Lamborn (R-Colo.) that would at least slow efforts by
the administration to reduce the atomic stockpile below the levels detailed
in the recently signed successor agreement to the 1991 Strategic Arms
Reduction Treaty.

The pact requires Moscow and Washington to cut their respective arsenals to
1,550 deployed strategic warheads and 700 fielded delivery vehicles, with
another 100 held in reserve.

Sixty-seven senators must vote to ratify the pact, meaning support from at
least eight Republicans would now be mandatory. The agreement, though, has
come under strong criticism from congressional GOP members who claim it
could hamstring the nation's deterrent and ballistic missile defenses (see *
GSN*, May 3).

Lamborn's amendment -- which passed by voice vote -- would require the
defense secretary and the head of the National Nuclear Security
Administration to submit a report to Congress justifying any future
stockpile reductions.

The evaluation must certify, among other things, that the strategic
environment has changed or technical measures have been implemented to
improve the nuclear force's reliability; the "nuclear triad" of bomber
aircraft, nuclear-capable submarines and ICBMs is preserved; and any
reductions are balanced with other measures to enhance deterrence, the
Colorado lawmaker said in a press
release.<http://lamborn.house.gov/index.cfm?sectionid=121&parentid=22&sectiontree=21,22,121&itemid=562>

Any reduction could not take place until 180 days after the report was
submitted to Congress.

"Rogue nations with nuclear weapons pose a constant threat to world peace
and domestic security. I am concerned that Obama administration has set our
nation on a path to eliminate our nuclear weapons in a time when the threat
to our nation has not diminished," Lamborn said in the release.

The White House "must be prevented from enacting naive and short-sighted
policies that erode our strength and weaken our national defense," he added.

The amendment is not surprising because the White House indicated that the
recently completed agreement is intended to be a first step toward greater
arsenal reductions, according to Murdock.

Even though the House has no say on the nuclear pact, Lamborn told *GSN *this
week he offered the amendment because national security "is just as much a
House concerns as it is a Senate concern ... the House has to approve all
enabling legislation to implement that treaty."

As written, the amendment could limit the Defense Department's ability to
structure its nuclear forces, not only in a potential future arms reduction
agreement, but also under "New START," according to Kingston Reif, nuclear
nonproliferation chief at the Center for Arms Control and Nonproliferation.

"What if there's some configuration the Pentagon thinks is in the best
interests of the U.S. that is a bit under those limits?" he said.

"It certainly could be seen as a constraint on that course of action," Reif
told GSN this week. "It could compromise or limit the ability of this
administration or some other administration to engage in future negotiations
with the Russians."

Several senators, including Jim DeMint (R-S.C.), also are asking to see the
secret negotiating record of the new agreement to learn what, if any,
concessions the U.S. side made to Moscow during the talks. Republicans have
expressed concern that the pact includes language that would restrict the
U.S. ability to deploy missile defense systems, a claim denied by the White
House.

It is not necessary for the United States to maintain 1,550 deployed
strategic nuclear warheads into the indefinite future, according to Arms
Control Association head Daryl Kimball.

"If Russia is willing to further reduce its nuclear weapons as the United
States does there's no reason why the United States needs to maintain a Cold
War-sized nuclear force," he said during a telephone interview this week.

*Budget Process*

Both Kimball and Young predicted the amendments would not survive the fiscal
2011 budget process in their present form.

"In my mind, this is the worst of it," Young said. He noted the White
House's efforts have received support from prominent Republicans, including
former Secretaries of State James Baker and Henry Kissinger.

Murdock argued, though, that Lamborn's treaty amendment is likely to be
accepted because it does not give the administration an "onerous" new
requirement and could be viewed as a good government measure.

Lamborn and Turner said they did not foresee their measures being stripped
from the authorization bill.

"My amendment will forever survive as a statement" that the House committee
has serious concerns about the president's nuclear strategy, according to
Turner.

Reif predicted that similar amendments would be introduced on the Senate
floor when that chamber takes up its version of the defense authorization
bill.

He noted that last year the Senate's No. 2 Republican, Jon Kyl (Ariz.),
offered an amendment related to the then-ongoing START negotiations that
resulted in the classified "Section 1251" report.

That document, which was submitted to Congress this month along with the new
treaty, details a 10-year, $80 billion modernization plan for
warhead-stockpile sustainment and investments in the nuclear-complex
infrastructure.

"We're always going to have a debate on this," Reif told *GSN*.



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