http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/30/AR2010053003422_pf.html

<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/30/AR2010053003422_pf.html>
*At nuclear conference, U.S. expects little, gains little*

By Mary Beth Sheridan
Washington Post staff writer
Monday, May 31, 2010; A04

It didn't end in failure.

That was perhaps the best the U.S. government could boast about a month-long
conference on the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, which ended Friday in
New York.

President Obama <http://www.whorunsgov.com/Profiles/Barack_Obama> has made a
priority of strengthening the treaty, which is in danger of unraveling after
decades of curtailing the spread of nuclear weapons. Much of his ambitious
nuclear agenda has been undertaken with an eye toward demonstrating U.S.
compliance with the pact.

The United States got few of the specific goals it sought at the conference,
such as penalties for nations that secretly develop nuclear weapons, then
quit the pact (think North
Korea<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/25/AR2010052500416.html>).
Language calling on countries to allow tougher nuclear inspections was
greatly watered down.

And the conference's final document singled out Israel's suspected nuclear
program<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/29/AR2010052902304.html>
--
but not Iran's secret facilities, which many think are part of an effort to
build an atomic bomb. Gen. James
Jones<http://www.whorunsgov.com/Profiles/James_L._Jones>,
the U.S. national security adviser, blasted that absence as "deplorable."

U.S. officials said the conference's final "action plan" at least
represented a commitment by 189 nations to stand by the Non-Proliferation
Treaty (NPT). The last review conference, in 2005, collapsed in failure,
with many countries blaming the Bush administration.

"We've got the NPT back on track. There was so much criticism about 2005 . .
. and a lot of doom and gloom about the treaty failing," said one U.S.
official, who was not authorized to speak on the record. "We have to hold
this treaty together."

The 40-year-old pact is built on a grand bargain: The original five nuclear
powers promised to disarm gradually and all others foreswore the bomb. All
treaty members were guaranteed access to nuclear energy, subject to the
oversight of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

But the conference revealed the strains in the treaty. Non-nuclear countries
complained bitterly that nuclear powers are not upholding their end of the
bargain.

It was clear from the start that getting agreement would be difficult. The
conference's final documents are reached by consensus, meaning that Iran, a
treaty member, could block any initiatives. That explains why it wasn't
named.

Israel, on the other hand, has not signed the treaty and did not attend the
meetings.

"We did the most we could, considering the rules of the road," said Ellen O.
Tauscher <http://www.whorunsgov.com/Profiles/Ellen_Tauscher>, the U.S.
undersecretary for arms control.

Still, U.S. officials appeared frustrated that the Obama administration did
not get more credit for its record. It has signed a new arms-reduction
treaty with Russia, hosted a 47-nation
summit<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/04/13/AR2010041300427.html>
on
nuclear security and lessened the role of nuclear weapons in U.S. defense
policy.

"The disarmament stuff Obama did, they just pocketed," said David Albright,
president of the Institute for Science and International Security.
Non-nuclear countries, he said, "didn't give anything back."

Egypt's U.N. ambassador, Maged Abdel Aziz, who led the powerful 118-member
non-aligned group, disagreed. He said non-nuclear countries ultimately
dropped their demands for faster disarmament.

"We like Obama's ideas. We will make the first concessions," he said in an
interview. "But we will see what is going to come."

His comments reflected skepticism among countries about how much Obama will
achieve. The new Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) with Russia has not
been 
ratified<http://projects.washingtonpost.com/politicsglossary/Congressional/ratification/>,
and Obama faces an uphill battle in winning Senate approval of a separate
pact banning nuclear tests worldwide.

Aziz said non-nuclear countries are still smarting over the George W. Bush
administration's
decision<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/03/29/AR2010032901744.html>
to
sell civilian nuclear technology to India, which hasn't signed the
nonproliferation treaty. Obama voted for that deal as a senator.

"If you say countries outside the treaty are going to get . . . even more
benefits than countries inside the treaty, than what is the benefit for me
to bind myself with more [nonproliferation] restrictions?" Aziz asked. U.S.
officials said they would continue to pursue tougher nuclear controls in
more favorable venues, such as the U.N. Security Council and the IAEA.

Even before the conference started, the Obama administration "trimmed their
sails on what they expected to get out of it. The main thing at this point
was not to undercut their agenda going forward," said Miles Pomper, a
nuclear policy expert at the Monterey Institute of International Studies.

Not that the conference lacked for drama. Many diplomats expected the U.S.
delegation would kill the final document because of the mention of Israel.

When the United States accepted it, the Iranian delegation was so surprised
that it asked for a four-hour postponement of the final session so that
members could call their government, diplomats said.

The Iranians finally agreed to the text, recommitting themselves -- at least
verbally -- to the treaty's rules.

The adoption of a document "provides less excuse for people who would like
this [treaty] to go off the tracks," the U.S. official said.

-- 
Peace Is Doable

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