[The only, even if crucial, difference between the situation obtaining on
May 28 and since is that the term of the CA stands extended till next May
28. But there is no indication how task the CA is meant to undertake - the
writing of the new constitution, which requires consensus at least among the
three major parties - is going to be discharged. No road map has emerged.

The UCPN(M), with the eventual flop of the "indefinite strike" meant to
cause a regime change, has visibly lost clout. They even had to
concede extension of the CA term, despite brave noises to the contrary,
without achieving any of the stated goals. Apparently, they are reassessing
the obtaining balance of power and redrawing their future plans
accordingly.
One thing is of course certain, however intense may be cadre pressure, there
is no prospect of their going back to the jungles. At least in the immediate
future.
They are, as it looks, sharpening their tools of parliamentary political
struggles. That does not of course rule out extra-parliamentary forms of
struggle to complement the core current.]


http://www.ekantipur.com/the-kathmandu-post/2010/06/05/top-story/gaining-ground-preen-maoists/209048/

<http://www.ekantipur.com/the-kathmandu-post/2010/06/05/top-story/gaining-ground-preen-maoists/209048/>
Gaining
ground, preen Maoists

KAMAL DEV BHATTARAI

KATHMANDU, JUN 05 -
While the Maoists have condemned the ruling parties for “betraying” the main
opposition by “failing” to implement the “written” and “unwritten” deals
signed on May 28, they have trotted out the analysis that their strategy for
reaching their goal

is gradually getting “more successful”.

The UCPN (Maoist) has concluded that the prime minister’s resistance to its
pressure for his resignation did in a way enable it to gain public support
and sympathy. As a result, the party has decided not to take to the streets
with aggressive programmes. This is also because the party’s street
demonstrations over the last one year have not been “fruitful”. Now, with
the monsoon already in force, farmers and other constituencies would be
busy.

Under such conditions, they feel  it is not the right time for a people’s
movement. They have also learnt that no street protest can dislodge the
incumbent government.

Maoist leaders say they are assessing the overall political situation and
will wait for some more time as to how the ruling parties move ahead in
implementing the three-point agreement.

They say that principally they are in a movement against the government as
per the decision of Thursday’s Standing Committee but it is impossible to
press the government from the streets right now. The Maoists argue that this
is “table war” time and that they are already “winning”.

“The Congress and UML have agreed on consensual politics in principle, which
is the major achievement,” said Maoist Vice Chairman Narayan Kaji Shrestha.



Maoist leaders also claim that they are successful in their “strategy” as
they have adopted “flexibility” to prevent any possible confrontation that
“regressive forces” might want.

The main opposition party has concluded that NC and UML’s reluctance to
implement the three-point agreement will ultimately benefit it. “NC and UML
have been stripped before the people, they are seen as irresponsible and
dishonest,” said Shrestha. “On the contrary, over the last one year we have
been successful in garnering support and mobilising a large number of cadres
in urban centres. A great achievement indeed for a people-based party.”

Besides, over the last one year the Maoists have been “successful” in
creating intra-party rifts in the NC and UML. The UML, for instance, is
clearly divided in dealing with the current stalemate and addressing Maoist
demands. The “signature campaign” of UML lawmakers against their own
government is a blazing example. NC is divided over dealing with the
Maoists.

“Apparently, the Maoist party has been defeated both in the streets and at
the table. However, in reality we have been successful in garnering the
sympathy of the people, the press, civil society and the international
community because all are saying that a new government should be formed
under our leadership,” a Maoist Standing Committee member said.

The leaders feel they have been successful in gaining people’s confidence
through their “stand for national independence” and “civilian supremacy”
movements, which have miffed India.

“India is preventing us from joining the government and in return we have
reached out to the people and raised awareness among about Indian
interference in Nepal,” said a Maoist hardliner.

Hardliners within the Maoist party are urging that the leadership focus on
real agenda such as people’s constitution and integration of combatants
rather than just formation of unity government.

“We cannot be partial to our party  even if we get to lead the new
coalition.  Governance should not be the prime agenda of the party,” said
the Maoist leader.

-- 
Peace Is Doable

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