i think two main roadblocks agianst the climate talks is lack of a clear 
cut target and the 
 
inability of nations to come to common platform in terms of solutions . 
 
Scientific predictions in the matter of climate change is misleading and most 
of the time 
 
based on assumptions . it is true that there are environmental hazards and 
potential issues    
that may arise because of carbon emissions and subsequent climate change .
 
But examples like the dissapearance of island nations and abnormal rise in 
atmospheric 
 
temparature are merely based on arithmetical calculations . Also it is evident 
that 
 
predictions made fifty years ago  about the current status has proved to be 
inaccurate . 
 
Local groups and social organizations across the world can do much bigger 
contribution 
 
in climate change related issues . What is required is the formation of local 
bodies (like 
 
workers union) and non governmental organizations which can make a change in 
the 
 
society across the world .  
 
Talks at the international level between nations is  a failure maily because of 
the fact that 
 
countries are  polarized and tackling the issue is being viewed as a 
responsibility of 
 
a particular nation rather than viewing it as a common issue of each and every 
human 
 
being on this planet.     
 
Sreenivas
 
bangalore 
 
 
 
 
 
 


--- On Tue, 14/6/11, Sukla Sen <[email protected]> wrote:


From: Sukla Sen <[email protected]>
Subject: [GreenYouth] Path to solve climate talks
To: "ecological-democracy" <[email protected]>
Date: Tuesday, 14 June, 2011, 10:56 PM

























 





Subject: Pathway to Solve Climate Talks: Be clear about targets; honour 
commitments

 


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PRESS RELEASE
13 June 2011





For Immediate Release
Contact:

Gadir Lavadenz,
[email protected]









Path to solve climate talks:

Be clear about targets and honour commitments




BONN - Today, Ambassador Pablo Solon of the Plurinational State of Bolivia 
addressed reporters at the UN climate talks in Germany. Ambassador Solon 
outlined a clear plan, based on submissions from other countries and civil 
society, on how to move the talks forward in 2011.
 
"The key issue at these talks is the gap between how much climate pollution we 
need to reduce and how much countries are committed to reducing. We call that 
the "gap" and it's the difference between 4C of warming and 2C of warming. The 
Cancun outcome sets us on a path to 4C." Ambassador Solon Said.
 
"Some countries want to talk about the 'rules' first, instead of this gap in 
commitment, but we know that rules will not reduce this gap. Fixing rules will 
simply prevent the gap from increasing, it won't set about actually reducing 
emissions. The heart of the matter is the depth of pollution cuts." Ambassador 
Solon said.
 
"More incredible is the suggestion by some countries that they want the market 
mechanisms from the Kyoto Protocol but do not want to have the legally binding 
targets of the Kyoto Protocol. You can't say I'm not coming to the party but 
please send all the gifts to my house." Ambassador Solon said.
 
Ambassador Solon made a presentation that showed the effect of temperature rise 
on the Chacaltaya glacier in the Andes. Chacaltaya has already receded 
significantly with only 0.8C of recorded warming.
 
"If you talk about 4C of temperature rise, which is what the Cancun outcome 
sets us up for, then you talk about a catastrophe for the Andes. This why it is 
important to us, to small island states, to Africa to close the gap so we don't 
end up with 4C." Ambassador Solon said.
 
Ambassador Solon provided data from workshops at the UN talks last week which 
highlight that in terms of gigatonnes of emissions the world must collectively 
emit 42-44 gigatonnes of C02e in 2020, down from a business as usual prediction 
of 56 C02e gigatonnes.
 
"We need to reduce 12-14 gigatonnes but we are currently, in the best case 
scenario only at 7 gigatonnes. More concerning is that developing countries are 
doing more than developed countries - an incredibly unfair state of affairs 
given that each person in developed countries emits four times as much as those 
in developing countries and in historical terms have emitted over 10 times as 
much." Ambassador Solon said.
 
Ambassador Solon highlighted Article 4.2 (a) of the UN Convention on Climate 
Change, which all countries had agreed to in 1992, which required developed 
countries to 'peak' their emissions by the year 2000.
 
"Yet that peaking has not yet begun. Globally we know we need to collectively 
peak before 2020 but if developed countries to do not peak first it becomes 
impossible to ask developing countries to reduce their emissions more severely, 
given the historical contribution of developed countries." Ambassador Solon 
said.
 
To respond to the current deadlock in talks Ambassador Solon proposed a 
six-step path:
 

Agreement on the size of the gap (12-14 Gigatonnes of C02e)
Recognise that developed countries will need to take a larger share of the 
reduction.
Agree on parameters for sharing the burden, based on historical responsibility 
and capacity of the parties.
Have developed countries' emissions peak immediately.
Represent every countries' target in terms of gigatonnes, defined as reductions 
from domestic emission levels and without the use of 'offsets'.
Agreement on legal actions for parties that do not fulfil their obligations 
under the Kyoto Protocol (for a second commitment period) and under the 
Convention.
In response to a question regarding the abuse of the consensus rule at the 
Cancun talks the Ambassador said:
 
"We are at this moment in a process of analysing the different options. We are 
currently considering the amendments proposed by Mexico and Papua New Guinea to 
change the rules on voting and consensus. We note that the fact they are asking 
for such a change suggests they were acting incorrectly at the time. If you 
they were following the rules in Cancun then why would they need to change them 
now?"
 
In response to a question regarding consultations with South Africa in 
preparation for the African hosted UN Climate Conference in December the 
Ambassador said:
 
"Most parties have come to an understanding that a new legally binding 
agreement is not going to happen by Durban. That is not possible, there is no 
time. So the option from Bolivia and G77 [a group of 131 developing countries] 
is a second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol with targets that close the 
gap. Others are saying something we don't understand - 'let's have a political 
commitment'  - to be clear without the continuation of Kyoto what does this 
mean? It means there will be a legal gap as well as a scientific gap in the 
pledges, a very bad scenario."
 
In response to a question regarding the breach of legal commitments under the 
Kyoto Protocol, the Convention and other international treaties, including 
human rights treaties, the Ambassador said:
 
"Developed countries will not breach their Kyoto targets. The problem is that 
there is such a big amount of "hot air emissions" [over allocated emissions to 
former soviet economies who had their industrial capacity collapse since 1990] 
that any party not making their targets can simply buy carry-overs and say they 
had 'achieved' that goal even though it didn't happen."
 
"The legal problem for developed countries is that they have an obligation to a 
second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol under its Article 3 (9). This is 
the breach to watch out for."
 
"We believe the issue is much bigger than just commitments and targets, and 
that those considering human rights breaches are correct. For example, it is 
estimated that 47 million people will have to migrate because of climate 
change. We have been advocating for an international court of climate justice. 
This would monitor the impacts and the suffering not only of people but of 
mother earth because of climate change.  For the glaciers in the andes, 
desertification in Africa, disappearing small island states - they need to 
present demands and find justice and we are proposing it to these talks under 
work going forward."
 
-- 
Peace Is Doable

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