http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/opinion/edit-page/Why-Bangladesh-should-matter-to-us/articleshow/10009443.cms

Why Bangladesh should matter to usKANTI BAJPAI | Sep 17, 2011, 12.00AM IST
Most Indians have lost very little sleep over the fact that the prime
minister`s visit to
Bangladesh<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Bangladesh> was
a failure. Given the importance of Bangladesh to India`s well-being, we
should have tossed and turned in our beds at what transpired in Dhaka. As it
turns out, we slept quite well and continue to do so.

It would be easy enough to blame the prime minister and his team for the
failure in Dhaka. Or to blame the chief minister of West Bengal who,
bizarrely, at the last moment objected to the river-water agreement that was
to be the centrepiece of the summit. However, the deeper cause of the
failure in Dhaka <http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Dhaka> is
ignorance and public apathy.

We in India have failed to appreciate just how important Bangladesh is to
our well-being. There are at least four reasons related to peace and
development that make Bangladesh vital for us.

The first reason is that the security of the northeastern states, of eastern
India <http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/eastern-India>, and of India
more widely is affected by what Bangladesh does or does not do. If Dhaka
does not cooperate with New Delhi, it is hard to see how India can rein in
various insurgent groups that might find refuge in Bangladesh. If, in
addition, India cannot get access to the
northeast<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/northeast> through
Bangladesh - even if this only means economic access - it is hard to see how
we can integrate those states with the heartland. And if Bangladesh does not
remain a stable, open and tolerant country, we in India will have great
difficulty in stopping Islamic extremists from flourishing there and from
targeting our cities and towns.

The second reason we need to pay relations with Bangladesh much greater
attention is that we share rivers with it. India and Bangladesh share over
40 rivers, and these rivers are vital for the livelihood of hundreds of
millions of people in both countries. Bangladesh being the lower riparian
state is in a weaker position on the use of these rivers. We in India should
remember, though, that we are the lower riparian in relation to
Bhutan<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Bhutan>
, Nepal <http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Nepal> and China: if we
fail to be sensible and fair over river-water sharing with Bangladesh, we
could well find ourselves in an equally hopeless downriver position someday,
especially with China.

If Bangladesh does not get enough water (or if it gets too much when the
rivers are full), it will face catastrophe. Catastrophe in Bangladesh means
instability in India`s northeast, West Bengal, and states further away.
Inevitably, severe dislocations in Bangladesh mean refugee and migrant flows
into India. Bangladeshis are coming to India anyway for various reasons, and
this has already led to tremendous unease in the neighbouring states.
Hydrologically-induced catastrophes would enlarge the problem massively.

There is another long-term catastrophe looming for both countries, and this
is the third big reason to stay tuned to Bangladesh. India and Bangladesh
are amongst the 12 countries that will be most severely affected by climate
change. Bangladesh could lose up to 20% of its land as sea levels rise due
to climate change. The ensuing turmoil in Bangladesh will inevitably be felt
in neighbouring and distant parts of India. The two countries must therefore
think about how to cooperate on conservation, alternative energy, and many
other related aspects of environmental defence.

Finally, Bangladesh is crucial for India because it represents opportunities
and lessons worth learning. In a globalising world where trade counts for so
much, Bangladesh is one of our biggest trading partners. Given that it has
been growing at over 5% per annum for the past decade and looks set to
continue to grow, it is an economic asset. Bangladesh could sell us natural
gas, and we could sell it hydropower. Bangladesh is also an exemplar. Its
rapidly rising literacy rates (especially amongst women), its steady
reduction in birth rates (from a much higher starting point than India), the
tremendous advances it has made in basic health (including safe birthing and
maternal care); all these put India to shame. If we were not so arrogant, we
might learn something from our great neighbour to the east.

In short, Bangladesh matters. If only we could see.


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Peace Is Doable

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