http://www.epw.in/web-exclusives/economists-wrong-foot.html
Economists on the Wrong Foot
 Vol - XLVIII No. 33, August 17, 2013 | Ashish Kothari and Aseem
Shrivastava<http://www.epw.in/authors/ashish-kothari-and-aseem-shrivastava>

The rather banal Amartya Sen-Jagdish Bhagwati debate that is being played
out in the Indian media misses out what is, in many ways, the  crucial
third agent (beyond the state and the market), in whose name development is
carried out: people organised as communities and collectives.

Ashish Kothari and  Aseem Shrivastava are the authors of *Churning the
Earth: The Making of Global India* (Penguin Viking, New Delhi, 2012).

The ongoing debate between two stalwart economists, Amartya Sen and Jagdish
Bhagwati, must be joined by those who understand contemporary realities and
challenges in terms altogether different from those of mainstream
economists. In a recent (July 27) article in Times of India, Bhagwati’s
co-author Arvind Panagariya characterises the differences between the two
in the following terms. Sen favours education and health measures as being
the first steps to tackle poverty and other ills that beset India, while
Bhagwati (and Panagariya) prefer rapid economic growth. Presumably the
wealth generated by the latter will then be utilised to tackle deprivations
of various kinds. Secondly, Sen advocates  strong interventions through
social welfare schemes, reaching food, jobs, education and health through
the bureaucracy, whereas Bhagwati prefers to empower people through
measures like cash transfers, through which they can choose private or
public providers of these services.

There is more in common between Sen and Bhagwati than is usually noticed,
especially in what is missed out. Firstly, their debate is characteristic
of the clichéd Left-Right positions, which seem to posit only two agents of
development: the state and the private sector. This misses out what is, in
many ways, the  crucial third agent, in whose name development is carried
out: people organised as communities and collectives, people seen not as
“beneficiaries” of the state or “consumers” of private services but as
drivers of their own destiny, empowered to self-provision basic needs and
to govern from below. It should be obligatory for democrats to privilege
communities as makers of their own destinies and to recognise their ongoing
initiatives in that direction. We will come back to this shortly.

*Ecological Sustainability*

The second fundamental issue is that of ecological sustainability. Sen does
often acknowledge the need to bring environment into the equation. Bhagwati
largely ignores this. However even for Sen, it is mostly an afterthought,
as though one can include sustainability without any fundamental challenge
to the very framework of development in a globally competitive age. With
scientific and community evidence of ecological crises piling up all around
us, with accelerating climate change, biodiversity loss, pollution,  and
other environmental problems affecting billions of people worldwide (often
negating the putative gains of development), and with the future of life on
the planet itself is at stake, this neglect is astounding (though typical
of mainstream economists).

Just last week, even the World Bank, a rather unlikely agency to question
economic growth, revealed that environmental damage is knocking off 5.7% of
India’s GDP in the form of pollution-related diseases, loss of land
productivity, and so on. This study was limited to a few kinds of damage.
If it had taken all of them into account, it is more than likely that
India’s famed growth is being entirely nullified. A July 2013 Asian
Development Bank discussion paper concluded that, “growth prospects are now
threatened by rising income inequality and environmental degradation if
Asia continues on its established growth path”. Economic growth has
actually become quite “uneconomic”, but the pre-eminent science of scarcity
seems to lack the intellectual tools to apprehend this reality.

This by itself is reason enough to call the bluff on Bhagwati and
Panagariya’s prescription of “growth first” economics. But additionally,
the kind of growth India is seeing today is also highly iniquitous.
Firstly, it is leading to the direct and indirect loss of livelihoods of
millions of people dependent on forests, farms, rivers, coasts, and
grasslands. The operations of the mainstream growth economy are actually
taking something away from the survival and subsistence economies of the
poor. Such loss is never accounted for in official economic statistics of
growth, as though it uniformly benefits all, when the truth may be nearly
the opposite. The Times of India quoted NSS data recently which show that
90 lakh women lost their livelihoods just in the last two years; causes of
this are likely to include land and natural resource grabbing by
development-related processes.

Secondly, (and this fact alone clouds the Indian growth story), while
pumping huge amounts of investment into the formal economy, it is not
leading to any significant net growth in jobs; indeed, the past two decades
of high growth were also characterised by net decline in employment in most
sectors. 93% of India’s labour force continues to work in the informal
economy, without survival wages or any of the benefits or security of
formal employment. Employment in the formal economy has grown from a meager
26.7 million in 1991 to a still meager 29 million in 2012, while the
labor-force has increased by 100-125 million.

The global phenomenon of jobless growth, inevitable in the age of rapid
automation, is a reality ignored by both Sen and Bhagwati. Third, the
“trickle-down” of wealth approach is a highly cynical way of planning
inclusive development; why should the poor have to be content with the
crumbs from the high table, especially when they pay the ecological costs
of high growth? And even that is working only if you are part of the policy
brigade that shows rapid declines in poverty by manipulating the poverty
lines. It would be instructive to see if any one of these economists and
decision-makers who believes Rs.30 or even Rs.50 per day is enough to take
one above the poverty line in a city, can live for even a few days on such
amounts.

Fourth, the growth-first mantra has seen a massive rise in the wealth of
the already rich, such that over half of India’s wealth is now owned by its
richest 10%; according to both NSS and Asian Development Bank statistics,
inequality in India is only growing. Fifth, neither Sen nor Bhagwati
analyse the fact India’s policies for the past 22 years (and more) have
been forced by the ever-looming foreign exchange crisis, and thus the need
to design policies to constantly attract funds from abroad to tackle its
external account. According to the RBI, India has to fork out $170 billion
(more than 10% of GDP) in debt-servicing between now and March 2014.

*Community Driven Initiatives*

Let us then get back to our third agent. Hundreds of initiatives across
India have shown rural and urban communities capable of providing for
themselves one or more of their basic needs of food, water, shelter,
energy, education, and health. Where aided by the state or by civil
society, this has been even more successful. This should have been the true
meaning of the 73rd and 74th Constitutional amendments, unfortunately never
seriously implemented. We agree with Bhagwati and Panagariya in the
assertion that people need to be empowered rather than forever provisioned
by a charitable state under a command and control situation. However, such
empowerment is not as much about cash transfers as about secure land and
resource rights over the commons (such as with community forest rights
under the Forest Rights Act), producer companies replacing the big private
business sector (as is happening with handicrafts, food, milk, in dozens of
places). It is also about revitalised agriculture through organic,
biodiverse ways linked to localised PDS and other consumer outlets (as
demonstrated by Deccan Development Society’s dalit women farmers in
Andhra), decentralised manufacture complementing agriculture (witness the
transformation in places like Kuthambakkam in Tamil Nadu). It includes
localised economies with producer-consumer linkages embedded within larger
systems of trade and exchange, ecologically sensitive landscape-level
planning (see a fledgling effort in Arvari river basin of Rajasthan),
community controls and monitoring of state services (such as Nagaland’s
communitisation of education and health), urban sustainability initiatives
(like local water harvesting and waste management in Bhuj and Pune), and
many others.

However, community initiatives like these will need the backing of state
policies to survive in the rapacious environment that has been generated in
the global age. Without the backing of coordinated policies, even big
business does not thrive, a point missed by both Bhagwati and Sen.

Community empowerment is not the panacea for all of India’s ills, and we
need to deal throughout with entrenched class, caste, gender and other
inequities. However, without the revival of strong communities and an
informed, enlightened support of their initiatives, it is difficult to see
how the mounting social and ecological crises of our time can be faced. If
India, becomes 70-80% urbanised by 2025, as is the vision of our policy
elites today, widespread ecological collapse and social conflict is
certain. Business-as-usual (even if the state carries out the measures that
Sen wants) is no longer an option, so long as predatory growth remains the
mode of development. There is too much evidence (most recently from
Uttarakhand) that should urge us to work in the direction of an ecological
democracy. It is a survival imperative. The cheerleaders of globalised
development fail to see this growing fact and its implications.

   -



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Peace Is Doable

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