Submarine tragedy a reminder to go slow on atomic energy, GM crops

By TSR Subramanian

Published: 01st September 2013

The New Indian Express



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    The Sindhurakshak submarine tragedy has shaken the country badly. Apart
from valuable loss of 18 Naval personnel, an important part of our armoury
has been destroyed. The board of inquiry will hopefully come to clear
conclusions, based on evidence and analysis, which will not only explain
the tragedy but help pave the way for correctives for the future. There
could only be three possible bases to investigate—a manufacturing flaw, or
indiscipline/carelessness/non-conformance to procedure, or sabotage.

The submarine was refitted and overhauled only two years ago in Russia. The
Russian authorities have categorically made a statement that there could be
no manufacturing defect or flaw—they have washed their hands off,
suggesting that the explosion and destruction is not relatable to them.
Senior Naval officers have mentioned that the maintenance procedures and
other operational processes are extremely well controlled, and the failure
could not be attributed to this. In another context, they have also stated
that there are many perimeters of security around the Naval dockyard area
in Mumbai, as also on entry into the submarine. This is the conundrum that
the inquiry board will have to crack and come up with a credible answer.

Whichever way you look at it, the scenario is depressing. One would assume
the highest standards in the manufacturing process, including the quality
of materials used, along with adequacy, capacity and strength of the
pipelines and fittings, in the making of a high-grade submarine. Our own
armed forces are extremely disciplined—presumably there are detailed
manuals which are followed consistently to the letter. An act of sabotage
in a high security Naval area, inside a Naval vehicle is very difficult to
accomplish. Thus, whichever it turns out to be, it will be a matter of
major national concern.

The Fukushima disaster took place only two years ago; latest information
trickling out is that dangerous radio-active water is still escaping the
valves of the closed down units, whose potential danger to public safety is
quite high—these are reports of only a few days ago. After Fukushima,
nearly every country did a major re-appraisal of its nuclear power
policy—many decided to discontinue such facilities; others, like Germany,
decided not to go in for any more nuclear power. Unbelievably, India has
been alone in embarking on a brand new round of third-generation nuclear
power plants—this defies all credulity. In addition we have agreed to a
ridiculous and inexplicable agreement which essentially absolves the
manufacturer from liability. To an infinitesimal extent, one could condone
the energisation of the Kodankulam project, despite its older
second-generation technology, since it was practically fully built. Note
that all three possibilities which could have contributed to the
Sindhurakshak disaster could attend on a new nuclear plant —except that the
human damage will be at least of 10,000 times larger in magnitude, and will
last for decades.

With no disrespect to the Indian worker, surely he is not the most
disciplined in the world—not more than, say, the German or Japanese. Alas,
tragically the potential for sabotage of any installation in India is
higher than anywhere else in the world—note that the Sindhurakshak was in
the highest category security zone. Foreign manufacturers are all not
angels—manufacturing defects indeed are possible, however minor the
probability is.

Changing gear slightly, the Biotechnology Regulatory Authority of India Act
is being fast-tracked in Parliament and the government is keen to push it
through at the earliest—astonishingly, as a ‘reform’ measure. Strong
warning signals have emanated from knowledgeable sources, both in India and
abroad, of the vital preconditions that need to be set fully in place,
before embarking on a move, fraught with major long-term risks to our
agriculture sector. The issue of open field trials for GM crops, emerging
from the brake put on GM brinjal, is pending in the Supreme Court—the
court-appointed technical committee has already opined that it is much too
premature to embark on open trials in India, as many preconditions are not
met. Note that government is determined to rush in head-long in this
direction, with unimaginable adverse potential consequences for our
agriculture, without taking care that we are 200 per cent sure. Indeed, the
latest Time magazine cover story on ‘a World without Bees’ is a warning on
the dangers of interfering with phenomena not fully understood in the
context of agriculture and food consumption. New technology is
imperative—but with total assurance of no risk to mankind. The point to
stress is, all the three possibilities—basic fault in research design, poor
preparation and management, sabotage—are possible areas which can visit our
GM sector. Fools strut where angels fear to tread.

Our Prime Minister is shortly going to the US and will meet Obama—there is
promise of significant ‘decisions’. One hopes that this will not be in the
form of two more nuclear plants, or more arm-twisting by Monsanto or others
on GM. Sindhurakshak is an ominous reminder to us to hasten slowly, indeed
pause and review, before we embark on new adventures in the atomic energy
or genetically modified crops areas.

*(Subramanian is a former Cabinet Secretary. Email: [email protected]
)*


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