Why Israel really opposes the Iran nuclear deal
Monday, 2 December 2013

http://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/middle-east/2013/12/02/Why-Israel-really-opposes-the-Iran-nuclear-deal.html

  Sharif Nashashibi
<http://english.alarabiya.net/authors/Sharif-Nashashibi-.html>

Israel’s vehement condemnation of last week’s Geneva deal on Iran’s nuclear
program was a surprise to no one as it had been lobbying hard against such
an agreement from the outset. However, the stated basis for its opposition
lacks any credibility whatsoever.

“This is a bad agreement that... allows Iran to continue to enrich uranium,
leaves the centrifuges in place and allows it to produce fissile material
for a nuclear weapon,” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office
said<http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2013/11/24/Israel-slams-Iran-nuclear-deal-.html>in
a statement. His Economy Minister Naftali Bennet added: “Iran is
threatening Israel, and Israel has the right to defend itself.”

Tel Aviv is conveniently ignoring a central part of the deal. Tehran’s
commitment to halt uranium enrichment above five percent purity would keep
its enrichment level “well below the threshold needed for weapons-grade
material, which is more than 90 percent enrihment,” Al Arabiya journalist
Saffiya Ansari pointed
out<http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2013/11/24/Rowhani-says-Iran-s-nuclear-rights-sealed.html>
.

Netanyahu can make as many cartoon-like drawings of bombs as he wants, but
even he knows that the Geneva deal negates the possibility of Iran becoming
a nuclear threat to Israel or any other country. U.S. Secretary of State
John Kerry was right to state that the agreement “will make our partners in
the region safer. It will make our ally Israel safer.”
Regional hegemony

Tel Aviv’s opposition has nothing to do with its safety (though the media
has been happy to give ample space and credence to its propaganda). It has
everything to do with its regional hegemony being challenged.

The partial lifting of sanctions against Iran (to the tune of $7 billion)
will help its struggling economy. The deal leaves room for the possibility
of further relief and benefits in this regard, depending on successful
implementation and cooperation from Tehran. The potential for a complete
lifting of international and unilateral sanctions would be a tremendous
economic boost.
Netanyahu can make as many cartoon-like drawings of bombs as he wants, but
the Geneva deal negates the possibility of Iran becoming a nuclear threat
to Israel or any other country Sharif Nashashibi

The agreement also paves the way for a thawing of relations with key
Western powers that were involved in brokering it: the United States, UK,
France and Germany. All are important allies of Israel (Washington
particularly) that have had strained relations with Iran since its Islamic
revolution of 1979.

If Tehran has managed to pose a challenge (albeit an exaggerated one) to
Israel’s regional hegemony even under crippling sanctions and tensions with
world powers, the Geneva deal could enhance Iran’s economic, political, and
even conventional military standing, and thus its overall position in the
Middle East.

It will also make it much harder for Israel to carry out its repeated
threats of military action against Tehran, when the latter has agreed to
limit uranium enrichment to levels well below those required for
weapons-grade material.

An attack under these circumstances would be seen worldwide as brazen,
unwarranted aggression. Israel’s allies would be unable to defend it, and
may even openly condemn it, not just for the dangerous implications of
military action, but for the undoing of the arduous work involved in
reaching the Geneva deal.
Nuclear spotlight

Another fundamental reason for Israel’s opposition to the agreement is that
it turns the spotlight back on its nuclear weapons. It also highlights the
hypocrisy of the Middle East’s only nuclear power complaining about others
in the region obtaining them, and the subsequent absurdity of its constant
self-portrayals as vulnerable and existentially threatened by its neighbors.

Indeed, since the Geneva deal, calls for international pressure on Israel’s
vast nuclear arsenal have resurfaced, either directly, or via general
statements urging a Middle East free from WMD.

“It seems a touch unbalanced to have so much concern about nuclear bombs
that do not yet exist, and so little apparent concern for the thousands of
nuclear bombs that already do. Israel’s nuclear arsenal is an obvious
example of this because of its status as the only country in the Middle
East actually with nuclear weapons,”
wrote<http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/nov/25/iran-deal-nuclear-disarmament-weapons>Kate
Hudson, general secretary of the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament.

Even Saudi Arabia, which has long been wary of Iran’s nuclear intentions,
responded<http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2013/11/25/Riyadh-Solution-on-Iran-needs-goodwill-.html>to
the Geneva deal by calling for a comprehensive solution that leads to
the “removal of all weapons of mass destruction, especially nuclear, from
the Middle East and the Gulf.” This is as direct a reference to Israel as
one can get without mentioning it specifically.

The Geneva deal was signed soon after the Syrian government’s decision to
give up its chemical weapons. Libya agreed 10 years ago to dismantle its
WMD programs, and Iraq gave up its own ambitions in the 1990s.

With Israel no longer threatened by WMDs, the rest of the region calling
for a Middle East free from such weapons, and Tel Aviv’s undoubted
conventional military superiority, it can no longer rely on its
already-spurious excuses of self-defense and deterrence. Israel’s concern
is not about being threatened, but about being able to impose its will on
the region unchallenged.

After the signing of the Geneva deal, Iran’s recently-elected President
Hassan Rowhani 
said<http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2013/11/27/Rowhnai-Israel-isolated-after-Geneva-deal.html>some
countries had tried to isolate his, but instead, “now our enemies are
isolated.” In referring to “an illegitimate, occupier regime,” he obviously
meant Israel. It remains to be seen what the long-term implications of the
deal will be on Iran, Israel and the rest of the region, but for now at
least, Rowhani has out-maneuvered Netanyahu.



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Peace Is Doable

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