Hizballah’s War of Shadows with Saudi Arabia Comes Into the Light

http://world.time.com/2013/12/04/hizballahs-war-of-shadows-with-saudi-arabia-comes-into-the-light/

As the sectarian violence of Syria's conflict spills over, the proxy
struggles between Lebanon's influential Shiite organization Hizballah and
the staunchly Sunni kingdom of Saudi Arabia have turned into open war
 By Aryn Baker / Beirut <http://world.time.com/author/arynbaker/>
@arynebaker <http://www.twitter.com/arynebaker>Dec. 04, 2013Add a
Comment<http://world.time.com/2013/12/04/hizballahs-war-of-shadows-with-saudi-arabia-comes-into-the-light/#comments>

Speeches by Hizballah head Hassan Nasrallah are usually predictable
affairs. Each time he speaks, be it in front of the podium or from a
secure, undisclosed location, the bearded, turbaned and bespectacled leader
blends fiery rhetoric, anti-western exhortations and bombast in a familiar
pattern designed to inspire his followers, fire up new recruits and strike
fear into enemy Israel. But in an interview with Lebanese TV station OTV
late Tuesday night, he went radically off script, zeroing in on a new
target for his rhetorical darts: Saudi Arabia.

Nasrallah rarely mentions Saudi Arabia by name, only referring to the
monarchy in vague terms in order to maintain plausible deniability. But
that all changed on Tuesday, when he accused Saudi agents of being behind
the suicide bomb attack on the Iranian Embassy in Beirut last month that
claimed 23 lives. In doing so he has openly declared a war that has long
been fought in the shadows, first in Lebanon where Hizballah-allied parties
are at a political impasse with the Saudi-backed Future Movement of Saad
Hariri, and now in Syria, where Hizballah, with Iranian assistance, is
fighting on the side of President Bashar Assad against Saudi-backed rebels.
“This is the first time I have ever seen such a direct attack [by
Nasrallah] against Saudi Arabia,” says Lebanon-based political analyst
Talal Atrissi. “This was the formal declaration of a war that has been
going on in Syria since Saudi first started supporting the rebels.”

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)

In a wide-ranging interview that lasted more than two and a half hours,
Nasrallah defended Hizballah’s role in Syria, claiming that without it
Lebanon would have already descended into Iraq-style sectarian violence:
“What is the future of Lebanon, should Syria fall into the hands of the
armed groups? If we had abandoned our responsibilities…Lebanon’s eastern
border with Syria would have been infiltrated by armed groups and there
would be have been 100s of explosive-rigged vehicles sent to… Lebanon.”

And he crowed about the successful conclusion of initial nuclear
negotiations between Iran and the West, saying that it strengthened Iran,
and as a result Hizballah. But he returned to the subject of Saudi Arabia
multiple times, declaring that it was Saudi that was prolonging the
agonizing civil war in Syria, not the Syrians themselves, or even
Hizballah. “Saudi Arabia is determined to keep on fighting until the last
bullet and last drop of blood.”

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The group behind the embassy bombings has not yet been identified, though a
Lebanese offshoot of al-Qaeda claimed responsibility. Nasrallah, in the
interview, said that the group was directly financed by Saudi intelligence,
something that the Saudis have vehemently denied. Nasrallah only cited
vague intelligence for his claim, but that is immaterial, says analyst
Atrissi. By blaming Saudi for Lebanon’s, and Syria’s problems, Nasrallah
has seized on a moment of Saudi weakness and isolation to deflect growing
criticism about Hizballah’s role in Syria. Saudi disgruntlement over the
Iranian nuclear negotiations has put it at odds with traditional Gulf
allies that were quick to praise the process. Furthermore, the Saudis have
been the most recalcitrant about Syrian peace talks slated for January 22
in Geneva. The Saudis say they won’t accept any Iranian role and are
skeptical that the talks will bring peace. Instead they insist on
continuing to back the rebels in the hopes that the opposition can gain
more leverage.

“Saudi Arabia doesn’t have the same influence in the Gulf as it used to,”
says Atrissi. “So Hizballah has seized on this weakness to advance its own
cause.” In Lebanon the open declaration of war may only manifest in a
continuation of tit-for-tat car bombings, he says. But in Syria, it’s about
to get a lot more serious. Nasrallah forecast the same thing. “I predict
there will be harsh confrontations between now and January 22 on several
fronts,” as Saudi-backed rebels do everything they can to gain ground and
make the regime look weak and prevent the talks from taking place, he said.
Those attempts, he added, will fail. What he didn’t need to say is that
Hizballah is likely to be doing the exact same thing for the Syrian regime,
guaranteeing a bloody two months to come.

—*with reporting by Hania Mourtada / Beirut*

*MORE*: Saudi Arabia Considers Nuclear Weapons After Iran’s Geneva
Deal<http://world.time.com/2013/11/26/saudi-arabia-considers-nuclear-weapons-after-irans-geneva-deal/>

Read more: Hizballah Leader Nasrallah Declares War on Saudi Arabia |
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