http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/gujarat-among-industrial-growth-laggards-in-fy12-114010200787_1.html

Gujarat among industrial growth laggards in FY12

*The state was the sixth-worst during the year, according to the Annual
Survey of Industries data*
*Somesh Jha  |  New Delhi *
*January 3, 2014* Last Updated at 00:37 IST
A set of government data released recently seems to puncture the Narendra
Modi <http://www.business-standard.com/search?type=news&q=Narendra+Modi>
-led Gujarat <http://www.business-standard.com/search?type=news&q=Gujarat>
government’s
claim that the state’s industrial performance has been robust.

According to the data fron the Annual Survey of Industries
(ASI<http://www.business-standard.com/search?type=news&q=Asi>),
the industrial 
growth<http://www.business-standard.com/search?type=news&q=Industrial+Growth>
rate
for the state’s organised sector slumped below one per cent in 2011-12.
And, in fact, these figures could even be a little overstated as these are
not adjusted for inflation.

Gujarat’s industrial output, computed in terms of gross value addition,
increased only 0.9 per cent in 2011-12, despite a low base of 1.2 per cent
the previous year.

The overall industrial growth for India during 2011-12 stood at 18.4 per
cent, compared with 18.3 per cent the previous year. These figures are in
current price terms —the numbers will be included in the country’s gross
domestic product (GDP<http://www.business-standard.com/search?type=news&q=Gdp>)
growth after converting these into constant prices by applying price
deflators.

In 2009-10, Gujarat had seen a massive industrial growth, of 44.8 per cent,
but that could have been because of a low base of (-) 0.6 per cent the
previous year due to the global economic slowdown.

According to experts, the share of manufacturing in Gujarat’s Gross State
Domestic Product (GSDP) is quite significant. Therefore, when the overall
economic environment is weak, the picture in Gujarat is also gloomy.
Manufacturing, both organised and unorganised, accounts for more than 87
per cent of the state’s gross domestic product.

“Gujarat contributes highly to the country’s manufacturing sector. Whenever
there is a low demand in the economy, states like Gujarat are adversely
affected,” said CARE Ratings Chief Economist Madan Sabnavis.

Since Modi came to power in the state in 2002-03, its industry in the
organised sector saw double-digit growth rates in six of the 10 years up to
2011-12.

Also, Gujarat’s industrial output growth was higher than the national
average in five of these six years. The only exception was in 2004-05, when
the growth was 20.9 per cent in Gujarat and 24.9 per cent at the all-India
level.

However, in 2011-12, the state’s industrial growth was one of the lowest in
India. The states that experienced contraction in industrial growth that
year were Tripura (-37.2 per cent), Jharkhand (-10.6 per cent) and Uttar
Pradesh (-13.12 per cent). Besides, Chhattisgarh (0.35 per cent) and Assam
(0.58 per cent) saw lower growth rates than Gujarat in the year.

But some economists have doubted the authenticity of the ASI data. Rajiv
Kumar, a senior fellow at the Centre for Policy Research (CPR), said ASI’s
was not complete data and took into account only registered units. “So,
this could be an outdated number,” he said.

Karnataka, in 2011-12, saw the highest industrial growth rate in the
organised sector, at 130 per cent. It was followed by Rajasthan (101.5 per
cent), Goa (93.8 per cent) and Punjab (55.7 per cent), the ASI data
revealed.

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