[Detailed poll results are available at <
http://eciresults.nic.in/PartyWiseResultS12.htm?st=S12>.]

http://m.thehindu.com/news/national/how-the-bjp-won-this-election/article6020712.ece/?maneref=http%3A%2F%2Ft.co%2FEjtPYdj5Zn

How the BJP won this election
May 17, 2014 07:41 PM , By Rukmini S
BJP president Rajnath Singh felicitate prime minister-elect Narendra Modi.
Senior BJP leaders L.K. Advani, Sushma Swaraj, Murli Manohar Joshi and Arun
Jaitley look on after the party's Parliamentry Board meeting in New Delhi
on Saturday. Photo: Shanker Chakravarty
The BJP swept to its best ever performance on Friday, achieving many
historic milestones on the way. The Hindu analyses the numbers, from
national vote-shares to seat-level margins

*1. Votes*

The BJP got 64.7 million more votes than the party that came closest at the
all-India level, the incumbent Congress party. With 172 million
votes<http://m.thehindu.com/news/national/prime-minister-modi/article6017574.ece?homepage=true>,
the BJP more than doubled the number of votes it received in 2009. This
gave the party a voteshare of 31% - or nearly every third vote cast in the
country - as against the Congress' 19.3%.

This also made the party's victory far more convincing than its previous
stint in power in 1999, headed by Atal Bihari Vajpayee. In that election
the BJP won just 86.6 million votes - 17 million votes less than the
Congress - with a vote share of 24%, but was able to form the government.

The swing in the voteshare away from the Congress was however smaller than
the swing in the voteshare towards the BJP.

Large voteshares are never a guarantee of electoral success, as both the
Bahujan Samaj Party in Uttar Pradesh and the DMK in Tamil Nadu also
discovered this time - with 19.6% of the vote and 23.6% respectively in
their states, neither party could pick up a single seat. Rajiv Gandhi
famously led the Congress to a 40% vote share for the party alone in 1989,
yet could not form the government.

*2. Seats*

The BJP converted its votes into seats at a far better rate than the
Congress could. The winning party needed on average just over 6 lakh votes
to win a seat, while the Congress needed over 24 lakh votes to deliver it
one seat. The winning party's gain since 2009 was almost exactly what the
Congress' loss was.

With 282 seats, the BJP has won the highest number of seats by a single
party in the modern, post-regional politics era, compared with 244 for the
Congress in 1991 and 206 for it in 2009. The BJP got more seats than it had
in the last two elections combined. It could have formed government on its
own, a feat that no party has come close to since the 1984 election which
saw a wave of sympathy following the assassination of Congress prime
minister Indira Gandhi.

The BJP came close to but did not beat the best ever performance by a
non-Congress party, the 295 seats won by the Janata Party in the 1977
post-Emergency election that drove Mrs. Gandhi out of office.

*3. States*

The BJP's biggest win came from Uttar Pradesh, where it won 71 seats
despite a big coalition partner, the best performance by a single party in
the state since 1984 when the Congress won 83 of 85 seats. The BJP also
improved its voteshare in states where it did not have a substantial
presence, with voteshares of 22% in Odisha, 17% in West Bengal and over 10%
in Kerala. Kerala is now the only big state where the party does not have
an MP, while the Congress has no MPs in Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh,
Jharkhand, Delhi, Odisha, Rajasthan, and Tamil Nadu.

The BJP consolidated its position in states where it has grown strong,
shutting the Congress entirely out of Gujarat and Rajasthan and almost
entirely out of Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan ["Rajasthan" here should read
"Maharashtra"?].

The Congress lost 37 seats between Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh alone, two
states that it had done well in 2009.

*4. Allies*

Two of the BJP's main allies - the Shiv Sena and the TDP - performed
strongly, while the Akali Dal ceded space to the Aam Aadmi Party and wasn't
able to get the BJP leader Arun Jaitley past the post either.

So strong was the wave, that the BJP managed huge victories in states where
contesting without allies has been unthinkable with the rise of regional
parties, picking up 22 seats in Bihar despite going without its major past
ally, the JD(U), and a huge tally in Uttar Pradesh despite going nearly
solo.

Not only did the Congress do worse than it ever has, its current and past
allies did equally badly.

The DMK, which left the UPA alliance last year, was wiped out of Tamil
Nadu, while the NCP went from eight seats in Maharashtra to four. The
Rashtriya Janata Dal was the only ally that performed comparatively and
surprisingly well, winning four seats in Bihar.

*5. At the constituency-level*

The BJP's wins were comprehensive right down to the seat level. The party
won only two seats by less than 5,000 votes and won 195 seats by over 1
lakh votes. The average BJP candidate won by over 1.69 lakh votes, a good 1
lakh higher than the victory margin of the average Congress candidate.

*This article has been corrected for a factual error.*

-- 
Peace Is Doable

-- 
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
"Green Youth Movement" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email 
to [email protected].
To post to this group, send an email to [email protected].
Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/greenyouth.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.

Reply via email to