http://www.deccanchronicle.com/140601/commentary-columnists/article/portents-modi%E2%80%99s-win

Portents of Modi's winDC | A.G. Noorani | June 01, 2014, 06.06 am IST

No government which is in a large minority in the country, even though it
possesses a working majority in the House of Commons, can have the
necessary power to cope with real problems." Winston Churchill's wise
words, in the House of Commons on June 2, 1931, apply very much to the
government formed by Narendra Modi on May 26, 2014.

The 282 seats which the Bharatiya Janata Party won in the 16th Lok Sabha of
543 members cannot obscure the fact that its vote share of 31 per cent, of
the total votes cast, is the very lowest in the 62-year history of the
House. The nearest low was the Congress Party's 40.8 per cent in 1967 to
win 283 seats in a House of 520 seats.

In the Rajya Sabha, the Upper House, the BJP holds just 64 seats in a House
of 240. The Congress has 68. Narendra Modi faces numerous problems. One is
his own autocratic temperament. The very next day after the Council of
Ministers was sworn in the portfolios of the ministers were formally
announced. In the allocation of responsibilities the Prime Minister's own
remit raised eyebrows. It was "all-important policy issues" as a portfolio
subject. The Prime Minister's Office will direct and control all matters it
considers important. Policymaking will be the PMO's prerogative under the
Prime Minister's watch.

This is what Richard Crossman famously called the presidential government
in his introduction to the 1963 edition of Bagehot's classic The English
Constitution. Prime Minister Harold Wilson had no problem in demolishing
this thesis. Margaret Thatcher discovered its falsity when the
long-suffering Cabinet rebelled against her. But Narendra Modi has also
reduced the party to his fiefdom. Its president Rajnath Singh, is made home
minister. His equation with the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh, which founded
the BJP's ancestor and the BJP itself, is an ambiguous one. He has been a
lifelong canvasser.

The Cabinet has been filled with an unprecedentedly large number of RSS
men. The RSS agenda is reflected in the BJP's manifesto; especially three
highly controversial planks. They are -- abrogation of Article 370 of the
Constitution which confers autonomy on Jammu and Kashmir, construction of a
Ram temple at Ayodhya on the site of the demolished Babri mosque, and
enactment of a Uniform Civil Code in order to replace Muslim personal law.
However, the RSS never allows any of its men to get too big for his boots.
Significantly its organ Organiser published on May 25 an article by M.G.
Vaidya, entitled RSS and hero worship. He recalled, "The founder of the RSS
adopted a style that never had any place for hero-worship..."

It is the RSS' cadres who ensured a high turnout. Two other helps were the
corporate sector and the media. The Economist's correspondent reported:
"His slick, expensive campaign shaped local media coverage: The BJP will
not say, but it probably spent $1 billion." Out of the 541 winners 442 are
crorepatis -- 237 belong to the BJP, 35 to the Congress.

Muslims comprise 15 per cent of the population. The BJP put up only seven
Muslim candidates. All lost, including its poster boy Shahnawaz Hussain.
This Lok Sabha has the lowest number of Muslim members in all its history
since 1952. Two reputed political scientists, Christophe Jaffrelot and
Gilles Verniers, write: "In terms of parties, never in the past had the
winner of general elections in India counted zero Muslims among its MPs. In
the case of the BJP, this reflects a certain strategy. This involved
identifying the minority groups that would not extend their support to the
BJP and aiming at attracting all the others while working towards creating
rifts and preventing members of the identified minority groups from allying
locally with other groups.

"Indeed, out of 428 candidates, the party fielded a mere seven Muslims...
That said, the Congress did not do much better this time, with 5.8 per
cent."
Embittered with the Congress for its breaches of promises, Muslims turned
to other parties and split their votes. It was disgusting to see Muslim
clerics profess belatedly on TV that they saw virtues in Modi.

He appointed as minority affairs minister Najma Heptullah, a Congress
veteran who left the party about a decade ago and joined the BJP. Her first
pronouncement as minister was: "Muslims are not minorities. Parsis are. We
have to see how we can help them so that their numbers do not diminish."
Modi's aim is to recast India's polity, especially its credo of secularism.
Few in the media oppose this. The battle for secularism has begun in
earnest.

The writer is an author and a lawyer based in Mumbai

By arrangement with Dawn

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