[Though the article below is slightly dated, its relevance appears to
remain undiminished.]

http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/the-human-beast/201107/why-atheism-will-replace-religion-new-evidence

Why Atheism Will Replace Religion: New Evidence
The illusion of religion helps people feel good, despite miserable
experiences.
Published on July 14, 2011 by Nigel Barber, Ph.D.
<http://www.psychologytoday.com/experts/nigel-barber-phd> in The Human Beast
<http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/the-human-beast>

Atheists are heavily concentrated in economically developed countries
<http://www.amazon.com/Atheism-Will-Replace-Religion-ebook/dp/B00886ZSJ6/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1339088332&sr=1-1>,
particularly the social democracies of Europe. In underdeveloped countries,
there are virtually no atheists. Atheism is a peculiarly modern phenomenon.
Why do modern conditions produce atheism? In a new study to be published in
August, I provided compelling evidence
<http://ccr.sagepub.com/content/early/2011/05/08/1069397111402465.abstract>
that
atheism increases along with the quality of life (1).

First, as to the distribution of atheism in the world, a clear pattern can
be discerned. In sub-Saharan Africa there is almost no atheism (2). Belief
in God declines in more developed countries and atheism is concentrated in
Europe in countries such as Sweden (64% nonbelievers), Denmark (48%),
France (44%) and Germany (42%). In contrast, the incidence of atheism in
most sub-Saharan countries is below 1%.

The question of why economically developed countries turn to atheism has
been batted around by anthropologists for about eighty years.
Anthropologist James Fraser proposed that scientific prediction and control
of nature supplants religion as a means of controlling uncertainty in our
lives. This hunch is supported by data showing that the more educated
countries have higher levels of non belief and there are strong
correlations between atheism and intelligence.

Atheists are more likely to be college-educated people who live in cities
and they are highly concentrated in the social democracies of Europe.
Atheism thus blossoms amid affluence where most people feel economically
secure. But why?

It seems that people turn to religion as a salve for the difficulties and
uncertainties of their lives. In social democracies, there is less fear and
uncertainty about the future because social welfare programs provide a
safety net and better health care means that fewer people can expect to die
young. People who are less vulnerable to the hostile forces of nature feel
more in control of their lives and less in need of religion. Hence my
finding of belief in God being higher in countries with a heavy load of
infectious diseases.

In my new study of 137 countries (1), I also found that atheism increases
for countries with a well-developed welfare state (as indexed by high
taxation rates). Moreover, countries with a more equal distribution of
income had more atheists. My study improved on earlier research by taking
account of whether a country is mostly Moslem (where atheism is
criminalized) or formerly Communist (where religion was suppressed) and
accounted for three-quarters of country differences in atheism.

In addition to being the opium of the people (as Karl Marx contemptuously
phrased it), religion may also promote fertility, particularly by promoting
marriage (3). Large families are preferred in agricultural countries as a
source of free labor. In developed countries, by contrast, women have
exceptionally small families. I found that atheism was lower in countries
where a lot of people worked on the land.

Even the psychological functions of religion face stiff competition today.
In modern societies, when people experience psychological difficulties they
turn to their doctor, psychologist, or psychiatrist. They want a scientific
fix and prefer the real psychotropic medicines dished out by physicians to
the metaphorical opiates offered by religion. No wonder that atheism
increases along with third-level educational enrollment (1).

The reasons that churches lose ground in developed countries can be
summarized in market terms. First, with better science, and with government
safety nets, and smaller families, there is less fear and uncertainty in
people's daily lives and hence less of a market for religion. At the same
time many alternative products are being offered, such as psychotropic
medicines and electronic entertainment that have fewer strings attached and
that do not require slavish conformity to unscientific beliefs.

Sources
1. Barber, N. (in press). A cross-national test of the uncertainty
hypothesis of religious belief. Cross-Cultural Research.

Barber, N. (2012). Why atheism will replace religion: The triumph of
earthly pleasures over pie in the sky. E-book, available at:
http://www.amazon.com/Atheism-Will-Replace-Religion-ebook/dp/B00886ZSJ6/

2. Zuckerman, P. (2007). Atheism: Contemporary numbers and patterns. In M.
Martin (ed.), The Cambridge companion to atheism. Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press. This book is not held by any U.S. Library.
3. Sanderson, S. K. (2008). Adaptation, evolution, and religion. Religion,
38, 141-156.

-- 
Peace Is Doable

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