[At this stage, it is rather difficult to gauge whether it is a case
of Hindutva driven "nationalism" taking precedence over (concomitant
and competing) commitment to radical economic neo-liberalism and
globalisation, or simply ministerial incompetence coupled with
over-dependence on the bureaucracy.
Or it's a calculated show of (empty) bravado before finally giving in.

Utterly confusing and conflicting signals have emanated on the West
Asia policy as well.
The obstinate refusal of the GoI in Indian parliament to allow even a
hint of criticism against (the perceived ideological, political and
military) ally Israel stands in stark contrast with official positions
- essentially a continuation of earlier positions, at the BRICS
summit, the UNHRC and the UNSC.]

http://www.firstpost.com/india/modi-sarkar-breaks-with-upa-policy-ends-up-scoring-self-goal-at-wto-1635761.html


*Modi sarkar breaks with UPA policy, ends up scoring self-goal at WTO*

by MK Venu  Jul 26, 2014 13:40 IST


The Modi government is facing diplomatic embarrassment because of its
latest negotiating stand at the WTO which boxes India into a corner with
countries like Venezuela, Cuba and Argentina even as some hitherto strong
and empathetic partners such as China, Brazil, South Africa and Indonesia
have distanced themselves from India by agreeing to move ahead with the new
trade facilitation agreement signed at the Bali ministerial meeting last
December.

India has ended up creating confusion because it had also agreed to be part
of the global trade facilitation agreement (common customs governance
mechanism) at Bali on the explicit condition that the developed countries
will not interfere with India's massive food procurement programme until a
permanent solution was found to some unfair provisions within the WTO in
regard to allowing higher minimum support price to farmers.

The patently unfair provision in WTO puts a permanent cap on the
procurement price the government can give farmers for its food security
programme. India had argued that there can't be a permanent cap on
procurement price as annual inflation must be adequately reflected in the
higher procurement price. If annual inflation is factored in adequately,
then India's procurement price is justified and well within WTO bounds.
India had made this argument in Bali and even had the sympathy and support
of the larger grouping of G-33 nations. Based on this argument the West,
led by the United States, agreed to find a permanent solution to this
problem in the next four years before the next WTO ministerial meeting.
This was discussed by the UPA government in Parliament in the presence of
opposition members like Arun Jaitley. The BJP agreed to the formulation
that we can go ahead and sign the trade facilitation agreement if India is
allowed to continue with its food procurement programme till a permanent
solution is found by the next ministerial meeting on how price paid to
farmers for procurement is fairly determined.

However, the NDA government is seeking to bring about a substantive change
in that position by arguing India will sign the trade facilitation
agreement only if a permanent solution to food procurement is
institutionally initiated simultaneously. Since this is a somewhat new
formulation, India's erstwhile friends among the big developing economies
like China, Indonesia and Africa have moved away from us.

PM Narendra Modi in this file photo. AFPPM Narendra Modi in this file
photo. AFP

The commerce minister Nirmala Sitharam had some unpleasant exchanges with
the G-20 Chiarman in Australia last week who was summarising the collective
position of various countries on the trade facilitation agreement. The
Commerce Minister is believed to have briefed Modi on the matter after her
return. Simultaneously India's ambassador at the WTO secretariat in Geneva
has also taken the stand that trade facilitation agreement must be notified
simultaneously with the announcement of an institutionalised framework to
solve the procurement price issue.

Basically, the Modi government now seems to indicate that India can't wait
for four years till the next ministerial meeting and wants some concrete
assurance now.

This change of stand compared to what the UPA had proposed last December
has somewhat isolated India globally. But BJP can sharpen its domestic
political rhetoric saying it was acting in the interest of the farmers.

Actually, Modi's explicit promise to Indian farmers in public meetings that
the government would ensure a 50 percent profit margin to them over their
total costs could be one reason why India is hardening its position at the
WTO. The Sangh Parivar could also have intervened to ask Modi not to make
any commitment at the WTO at this moment.

Interestingly, Pakistan also had a massive food procurement programme but
it pays cash subsidy to farmers. Cash payment is allowed under the WTO
rules because it doesn't interfere with the market price mechanism. The NDA
can also use cash transfer as a possible bargaining lever at a later stage.
This could be another reason why Modi has reiterated his commitment to cash
transfer as a form of paying subsidy.



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Peace Is Doable

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