I/IV.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/aug/18/us-sanctions-isis-members-mosul-dam-strikes
US places sanctions on senior Isis member as Iraq bombing campaign
intensifies

Ban from financial dealings comes as the US launched air strikes against
Isis positions around the Mosul Dam

   -  Spencer Ackerman <http://www.theguardian.com/profile/spencerackerman>
   in New York
   - theguardian.com <http://www.theguardian.com/>, Monday 18 August 2014
   19.44 BST

Peshmerga fighters head to the Mosul dam that they 'recaptured' from
Islamic State jihadists on August 17, 2014 near the northern Iraqi city of
Mosul. Photograph: Ahmad al-Rubaye /AFP/Getty

The US State Department banned a senior member of the Islamic State (Isis)
on Monday as the United States sharply intensified its new bombing campaign
in Iraq.

The designation came as US fighter jets, bombers and drones on Monday
launched 15 strikes against Isis positions around one of Iraq's most
important pieces of infrastructure, a third day of support for a difficult
effort by Iraqi forces to retake the Mosul Dam that has doubled the lethal
US strike total.

Now banned from any financial dealings in the United States or with people
in the United States is the group's spokesman, Abu Mohammed al-Adnani, a
Syrian whose given name is Taha Sobhi Falaha. Also banned was Said Arif, an
Algerian member of the rival Nusra Front who escaped house arrest in France
and was linked to a plot to bomb the Eiffel Tower.

The designations, which followed sanctions by the United Nations security
council
<https://news.yahoo.com/u-n-security-council-blacklists-islamist-militants-iraq-191259667.html>
on the two Isis and Nusra members and four others, do not explicitly
authorize military targeting of the banned Isis members. But they come as
the US military sharply stepped up its air attacks on Isis positions by a
critical dam, a departure by degree from the previous rounds of US air
strikes.

The US continued to provide air cover for a third day for a force of
Kurdish fighters and Iraqi security forces
<http://www.theguardian.com/world/middle-east-live/live/2014/aug/18/iraq-crisis-uk-mission-could-last-for-months-live-updates#block-53f1fb6ae4b038fb92169cad>
as they attempted to wrest the Mosul Dam away from Isis. Fighting was said
to proceed along a 30-mile front, and both sides traded competing claims on
Monday of control of the dam.

The US Central Command announced that a mix of manned and unmanned
warplanes on Monday destroyed "nine [Isis] fighting positions", a
checkpoint, an anti-aircraft gun mounted on a truck, an "emplacement belt"
for homemade bombs, and at least seven Isis vehicles.

Damage to the Mosul Dam could result in massive flooding across central
Iraq and down to Baghdad. Like the previous waves of air strikes launched
by the US over the past 10 days, President Barack Obama, in a letter to
Congress
<http://m.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/08/17/letter-president-war-powers-resolution-regarding-iraq>
on Sunday, justified air strikes supporting the recapture of the dam
on protection
of US personnel
<http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/aug/08/force-protection-rationale-us-airstrikes-irbil-obama-isis>,
as the hundreds of special-operations "advisers" and diplomats would be
potentially imperiled by the flooding.

But last week's strikes were aimed at breaking Isis's siege of Yazidi and
other civilians atop Mount Sinjar and preventing Isis from entering Iraqi
Kurdistan. By expanding the map of US airstrikes into Nineveh Province,
traditionally under the control of Baghdad, Obama moved the US closer into
outright war against the Islamist army that has overrun significant parts
of Iraq and Syria.

The numbers indicate the extent of the shift in approach. Over the past 10
days, US warplanes have launched 68 airstrikes. Central Command said on
Monday that 35 of them have come "in support of Iraqi forces near the Mosul
Dam" - meaning that just over half the total strikes have come since
Saturday night.

The State Department denied that striking Isis at the Mosul Dam represented
mission creep.

"Anything that threatens our people or facilities is fair game under the
guidelines the president announced," said spokeswoman Marie Harf.

Those attacks, authorized by Obama on Friday, according to the White House
letter, follow a decision by Iraqi prime minister Nouri al-Maliki not to
contest the elevation of his replacement
<http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/aug/14/iraqi-prime-minister-maliki-step-aside-abadi>,
the US-backed Haider al-Abadi. For two months, Obama indicated that US
military support to Baghdad would increase once Maliki, whose thorough
alienation of Iraqi Sunnis contributed to Isis's rise, was out of the
picture. Many Arab Iraqis had questioned Obama's decision to attack Isis on
behalf of Iraq's ethnic minorities and not to protect their own interests.

Obama said in his letter to Congress that the strikes on Isis at the dam
would be "limited in their scope and duration".

The State Department described Adnani, the Isis spokesman, as among "the
first foreign fighters to oppose Coalition forces in Iraq." It said Arif
had fled house arrest in France last year to join an Isis rival in Syria,
the al-Qaida-aligned Nusra Front, after Arif had been convicted of
involvement in a 2006 plot to assault French malls, police stations and the
Eiffel Tower.
II/IV.
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/middleeast/2014/08/group-says-beheads-us-journalist-201481921364705346.html
IS group claims beheading US journalist
Islamic State group says it acted in revenge for US strikes against it and
threatens to kill another US journalist.
  Last updated: 20 Aug 2014 05:22

James Foley, 41, was contributing videos to the AFP news agency for the
media company GlobalPost [AP]

The Islamic State group has released a video purportedly showing one of its
fighters beheading US journalist James Foley, who had gone missing in Syria
nearly two years ago.

The video, titled "A Message To America," was posted on social media sites
on Tuesday, suggesting that it was an act of revenge for US air strikes
against the group's fighters in Iraq.

Foley's mother, Diane Foley, released a statement through a Twitter account
<https://twitter.com/findjamesfoley/status/501902507258302465> the family
had used to campaign in which she confirmed his death and said he died
"trying to expose the world to the suffering" of the Syrian people.

"We implore the kidnappers to spare the lives of the remaining hostages.
Like Jim, they are innocents. They have no control over American government
policy in Iraq, Syria or anywhere in the world," the statement read.

"We thank Jim for all the joy he gave us. He was an extraordinary son,
brother, journalist and person. Please respect our privacy in the days
ahead as we mourn and cherish Jim."

The group claimed in the video to be holding another US journalist and said
his life depended on US President Barack Obama's next move.

"The life of this American citizen, Obama, depends on your next decision,"
said a masked man in the video posted on social media sites, speaking
English with a British accent as he held a prisoner the video named as
Steven Sotloff.

The video could not immediately be verified.

Foley, 41, was contributing videos to the AFP news agency for the media
company GlobalPost before he was kidnapped on November 22, 2012 by
unidentified gunmen.

"We have seen a video that purports to be the murder of US citizen James
Foley by ISIL. The intelligence community is working as quickly as possible
to determine its authenticity," Caitlin Hayden, a spokesperson for the US
National Security Council, said on Wednesday.

"If genuine, we are appalled by the brutal murder of an innocent American
journalist and we express our deepest condolences to his family and
friends. We will provide more information when it is available."

* New recruits *

The IS has an army of more than 50,000 fighters in Syria, and recruited
6,000 people in the last month, a monitoring group said on Tuesday.

Rami Abdel Rahman, the director of the UK-based Syrian Observatory for
Human Rights, said that the group's recruitment push was gathering pace
every month.

Abdel Rahman said the new recruits in Syria included more than 1,000
foreign fighters from Chechnya, China, Europe and Arab countries. He said
most had entered Syria from Turkey.

The IS, formerly known as the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL),
grew out of the US-led war in Iraq, and entered the civil war in Syria last
year.

It has recently taken over vast areas of neighbouring Iraq and its leader,
Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, earlier this year declared himself the caliph of
territory captured on both sides of the border.
III/IV.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-28839343

18 August 2014 Last updated at 15:38
Iraq crisis: Refugee journeys from Mount Sinjar

Pictures from a BBC reporting trip from northern Iraq into Syria, as Iraqi
refugees fled Mount Sinjar after days of fighting.
Snipped.

IV.
[A slightly dated interview, taken before the US launching air strikes
against ISIS targets in a big way, particularly in coordination with the
ground offensives by the Kurdish Army, and the recalcitrant al-Maliki
eventually abandoning the chair of the Iraqi Prime Minister.

It projected evidently too bright a prospect for the ISIS, but nevertheless
manages to highlight some vital facts and provide some valuable insights.]

A lasting presence for IS in Iraq and Syria: interview with Romain
Caillet
Romain Caillet and Christelle Gence 13 August 2014

https://www.opendemocracy.net/arab-awakening/romain-caillet-christelle-gence/lasting-presence-for-is-in-iraq-and-syria-interview-w

On 29 June, after the spectacular takeover of Mosul and other Iraqi
cities, the Islamic State (IS) declared a caliphate in Iraq and Syria.
How can the sudden rise to power of IS be explained? What is the future
of the caliphate, and of the region as a whole? Romain Caillet provides
an assessment. Interview.

Iraqis in flight from their homes in Mosul, July 2014 Iraqis in flight
from their homes in Mosul, July 2014. Joseph Galanakis/Demotix. All
rights reserved. Christelle Gence conducted the following interview with
Romain Caillet in French, originally published on 15 July 2014 by
SaphirNews under the title L'Etat islamique va s'installer durablement
en Iraq et en Syrie. Due to the dynamic nature of the situation in Iraq,
the author later added some paragraphs in August.

Saphirnews: How do you explain the rise of the Islamic State in recent
weeks, particularly since the capture of Mosul?

Romain Caillet: The Islamic State (IS) - initially the Islamic State in
Iraq, then the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant, and now the Islamic
State - has been a state within a state in Iraq for years. It has the
support of the majority of Iraq's Sunnis, who feel marginalised by the
Shiite regime of Nuri al-Maliki, which they see as sectarian. There was
some evidence to suggest that Mosul, Iraq's second largest city, was a
fiefdom of IS, so it was no surprise to see them take Mosul.

S. What does this indicate about the situation in Iraq?

RC. The collapse of the regime of Nuri al-Maliki, which allowed IS to
take many cities, not only in the region of Nineveh, but also in the
regions of al-Anbar, Kirkuk, and Diyala, shows two things: the failure
of al-Maliki to govern Iraq on the one hand, and the total failure of
the Americans to remove the Sunni Arab elite from Iraq's governance and
army. We see the results of this today. Despite the billions of dollars
sunk into Iraq, the Americans have been unable to form either a
government with the Shiite community or a new army - a strategy that has
resulted in the marginalisation of the Sunni community.

S. You say that the majority of Sunnis support IS?

RC. The overwhelming majority of Sunnis supported insurgency against the
al-Maliki regime. It turns out that this insurgency is led by IS. Maybe
it will not last, maybe people will eventually refuse literalist
applications of sharia by IS or find them too authoritarian. However,
virtually all Sunnis today support this insurrection. Without an air
force, helicopters or any real heavy weapons, and with the means that
they do have, IS would have been unable to take all these cities if they
did not have the broad support of the population.

It is particularly significant that during a speech on 12 July, one
month after the takeover of Mosul, 'Izzat Ibrahim al-Duri, formerly
close to Saddam Hussain and current leader of the Iraqi Baathists, paid
tribute to IS, characterising its fighters as heroic knights at the
forefront of the battle. Never has an Arab nationalist spoken of a
jihadi group in such glowing terms, which demonstrates IS's popularity
amongst Sunnis regardless of their ideological affiliation. Following an
ultimatum from IS to either convert to Islam or accept the status of
dhimmi or non-Muslim citizen (entailing the payment of jizya, a special
tax, and accepting an inferior status to Muslims), the Christians of
Mosul left in droves on 18 July. This mass exodus has been condemned by
the Baathists. However, this development still does not imply a rupture
with the Islamic State, since it is the exodus of the Christians that is
being condemned; the condemnation at no point explicitly mentions the
Islamic State itself.

S. Where does IS derive its means? Who pays for it?

RC. They are self funded. Before taking the oil wells in the region of
Mosul, they levied about $100 million per year in tax (extortion,
revolutionary tax). Then, there are also the [resources from] the
operating oil wells in Syria and Iraq, and the taking of western
hostages. IS has virtually no foreign support. Just reading its
literature, it's clear that its worst enemies are Saudi Arabia and the
Gulf regimes, which they vilify regularly. Remember as well that most
rebel brigades fighting IS in Syria today are financed, armed, and
sometimes trained by the Gulf regimes.

S. Why are IS and Saudi Arabia worst enemies?

RC. One of the most famous works in the contemporary jihadist corpus is
a treatise entitled, The Shameful Actions Manifest in the Saudi State's
Disbelief. The author of this book, Abu Muhammad al-Maqdisi, a Jordanian
sheikh of Palestinian origin, outlines three elements justifying the
takfir or exclusion of this state from the sphere of Islam, namely: its
military alliance with the United States (especially since the Gulf
War); Saudi participation in international institutions (as Saudi Arabia
is a founding member of the UN); and finally, the increasing use of more
systematic positive law in the Saudi court system.

S. For now, IS is accepted by the Sunni population. What could reverse
this state of affairs?

RC. The Al-Jazeera journalists were surprised to see people cheering on
IS in Mosul; they could not believe their eyes. The allegiance of the
tribes in the Syrian Euphrates valley is more volatile [The recent
revolt by the Shu'aytat clan, which took hold in a dozen villages
between Mayadin and Bukamal in the Deir Ezzor region, confirms the
volatility of Syrian tribal allegiances. The revolt seems to have been
triggered by IS's ban the evening before on tobacco and the water pipe
for the entire Deir Ezzor region]. But for now, IS is massively
supported by the Sunni population of Mosul, which prefers IS to
al-Maliki's Shiite regime.

S. So could IS settle permanently in Iraq?

RC. Yes, I think IS will settle permanently. Sunnis know that IS is
their only hope of becoming masters again. They certainly have a
demographic disadvantage in Iraq (where they are a minority), but ISIS's
goal is to merge these territories with Syria to reverse this
demographic relationship and have a Sunni state straddling Iraq and
Syria. Perhaps eventually, more moderate people than those of IS will
take their place. But I think the Middle East as we know it is finished;
the regional boundaries from the Sykes-Picot agreement (signed in 1916
between France and Britain to define the borders of the Middle East) no
longer exist.

The idea that the borders will disappear is not new. Walid Jumblatt, the
Druze leader, already expressed this idea when the revolution started in
Syria in 2011. Robert Fisk reformulated it in an article for The
Independent a few weeks ago, when IS bulldozed a wall of sand that
served as a border between Iraq and Syria.

S. Will IS manage to establish itself in a lasting way in Syria?

RC. Certainly. Currently, they occupy more than 90 percent of the area
of Deir Ezzor (in eastern Syria). Generally, the Euphrates valley, where
the population is culturally very similar to Iraqi Sunnis, is clearly
under the control of IS. So there is a historical coherence in a state
like that. In Syria, the Euphrates valley is inhabited by tribes that
were forcibly settled when the borders were only faintly outlined, and
these nomadic tribes were straddling territories in Iraq and Syria. I
did interviews with people who are not close to IS, but feel they belong
to a tribe, who feel more Bedouin than Syrian. They have always felt
closer to Iraqis than to the Syrians of Damascus or the coast - and that's
without even touching upon the religious question. Beyond that, they
also share a common culture.

So, does IS have the option of establishing itself further beyond the
valley of the Euphrates? I do not know. To the west of Aleppo and in the
region of Idlib, where people very much feel themselves to be Syrians,
and not at all close to the Iraqis, there is a wholesale rejection of
IS.

S. What are Nuri al-Maliki's responsibilities in the current situation?

RC. He has practiced sectarian policies marginalising Sunnis. He also
led many to believe that the fight against IS is a fight between Shia
and Sunni. He even said that ISIS was the army of Yazid [who killed
Hussein, the son of Ali and grandson of the Prophet during the battle of
Karbala in 680], which was shocking even if Yazid is not a positive
reference in the Sunni tradition. Nuri al-Maliki systematically refers
in his speeches to the Shiite memory and the fight against the Umayyads.
This has antagonised the Sunni Arabs, who were the elites of Saddam
Hussein's regime. For decades, they were used to being dominant, but
then found themselves in a humiliating situation which they reject. This
is rather different to the case of the Sunni Syrians who were subject to
40 years of Alawite power, which explains the resignation of many
vis-à-vis the regime of Bashar al-Assad. In contrast, until 2003, the
Sunni Arabs in Iraq were the undisputed masters of the country.

Since then, all observers agree that the Sunni community has been
marginalised. Until 2003, the army and the intelligence services were
held by Sunnis, and all these people were overnight excluded from power,
leaving many with a desire for revenge. They had skills, and many joined
the ranks of IS. For the first time in history, a jihadist group has
leaders at its helm who are former high-ranking officers and former
officials of the intelligence services. This organisation has real
strategists at its helm. This is key. These are not mere religious
[extremists] who have been radicalised and want to blow themselves up.
These are professionals of war, intelligence and strategy.

S. Is western intervention feasible?

RC. Western intervention could stop them. But in the current
configuration, the west can not intervene in Iraq because all Sunnis are
with IS at the moment. If the west intervened in a civil war between
Sunnis and Shiites, it would be accused of taking sides.

On the other hand, Syria is more complex than being simply a war between
Shiites and Sunnis. Since western countries have refused to intervene
against the [Alawite] regime of Bashar al-Assad, if the west intervenes
in Iraq against the Islamic State which is Sunni, then, Sunnis in the
region will view this move as systematically intervening against Sunni
interests and always favouring the Shiites. The west would also be
accused of playing Tehran's game, disqualifying the west in the eyes of
Iraqi Sunnis, and radicalising Syrian Sunnis. Generally speaking, the
Muslim world would have the impression that the west supports Iranian
expansionism.

Just as the United States' unconditional support of Israel feeds
anti-American sentiment, the west's unconditional support for Iranian
expansionism would feed Sunni resentment well beyond the case of Iraq.

In Iraq, the overflow of the Islamic State's offensive towards
Kurdistan, an area of importance to Washington and other Western
countries, has forced the US to intervene militarily, striking the
positions of jihadists near Erbil, the capital of Iraqi Kurdistan, where
many American and European companies are established. Moreover, in
Erbil, only the jihadists oppose the Kurdish forces, making things
simpler for the US than in the rest of Iraq, particularly in the Sunni
Arab areas.

In those areas, the Americans would like to obtain a political solution
by bringing together certain actors of the insurgency into a national
unity government, which would initially involve the departure of Nuri
al-Maliki, and then open up to independent Sunni tribes and different
Islamist actors. Will these actors accept abandoning their alliance with
IS in favour of the promise of a new place in Iraqi institutions? While
the emergence of a new sahwa or awakening movement in Iraq is a case not
to be ignored, key stakeholders feel they have been abandoned by the
Americans. After being used to fight the jihadists in 2007, these
stakeholders were put under the tutelage of al-Maliki without any
political autonomy when the Americans left Iraq in 2011.

S. Who then could intervene?

RC. As soon as the population is no longer on IS's side, there could be
an intervention by the Kurds, assisted by other anti-IS forces within
the Sunni community. This could take many forms: through perhaps
considerable western support to the Iraqi government involving
continuous aerial bombing; or simply Sunni forces revolting against IS
with support from the Kurds. However, in both cases, intervention would
require that the Sunni population is no longer on the side of IS, and I
do not know if that will happen.

This translation is by Laura Mitchell of the Norwegian Peacebuilding
Resource Centre (NOREF)

-- 
Peace Is Doable

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