[Amid intensified exchange of fires between the two countries causing death
and destruction on both the sides, Indian Prime Minister, a control freak,
engaged in state electioneering, remains absent for Delhi and the the
physically indisposed part-time Defence Minister somehow manages to issue a
statement, at the end of long official silence, which in no way helps to
resolve.A highly relevant read in the current context: <
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/pakistan/10507342/India-Pakistan-nuclear-war-could-end-human-civilisation.html>.
India and Pakistan, btw, both have around 100 nuclear warheads each,
Pakistan understandably a few more, not that it really matters.]I/II.

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/pakistan-issues-nuclear-warning-to-india/1/395009.html
Pakistan issues 'nuclear warning' to India
Mail Today Bureau
<http://indiatoday.intoday.in/author/Mail-Today-Bureau/1.html>   |   Mail
Today <http://mailtoday.in>  |   New Delhi, October 10, 2014 |
UPDATED 10:17 IST

Pakistan Defence Minister Khawaja Asif.

Pakistan on Thursday responded to India's warning against any "adventurism"
on the borders in Jammu and Kashmir by saying it is capable of responding
to Indian "aggression". "Pakistan has the ability to reply to Indian
aggression. We do not want the situation on the borders of two nuclear
neighbours to escalate into confrontation," Pakistan Defence Minister
Khawaja Asif was quoted as saying by the media.

"India must demonstrate caution and behave with responsibility," Asif said
soon after his Indian counterpart Arun Jaitley warned that the cost of any
adventurism by Pakistan on the borders of J&K would be "unaffordable".

In Islamabad, the Federal Minister for States and Frontier Regions Lt Gen
Abdul Qadir Baloch (Retd) said war is not the solution to any issue but
"India should realise the fact that Pakistan is a nuclear power". He said
Pakistan will continue to provide diplomatic, political and moral support
to the Kashmiris. The Kashmir issue must be resolved according to UN
resolutions and the wishes of the Kashmiri people, Baloch said.

Foreign Office spokesperson Tasnim Aslam claimed India was to blame for the
tensions on the border. "There is loss of life and property on the
Pakistani side. The Pakistan Army is careful about not killing civilians,"
she told the media. Aslam contended that Pakistan "did not start any
aggression" on the border but "we will take action to the fullest
capacity". She further said that if India wanted, the two sides could talk
and end the face off.

In a related development, Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has
convened a meeting of the National Security Committee on Friday to discuss
the ceasefire violations. Earlier, Sartaj Aziz, Sharif's adviser on
national security and foreign aff


Read more at:
http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/pakistan-issues-nuclear-warning-to-india/1/395009.html

<http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/pakistan-issues-nuclear-warning-to-india/1/395009.html>


II.

http://time.com/3489191/military-action-diplomatic-threats-between-india-and-pakistan-in-kashmir/
Diplomatic Threats Between India and Pakistan
in Kashmir

   - Rishi Iyengar <http://time.com/author/rishi-iyengar/>

6:17 AM ET

<http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/priceless-civil-war-photo-slave-selina-gray-found-ebay-n223031?cid=par-time_20141010>

Heavy shelling on the border over the past week has resulted in the deaths
of at least eight Indian and nine Pakistani civilians, and thousands of
villagers have been forced to flee their homes, according to Reuters*.*

Tensions between India and Pakistan, who have fought three wars since the
former was liberated and the latter created in 1947, have long convulsed
South Asia. Border skirmishes between the nuclear-armed neighbors are
relatively common in spite of a 2003 cease-fire agreement, but a sudden
escalation of violence, stronger-than-usual posturing from both
governments, and a departure from the usual methods of resolution are what
sets the current conflict apart.

"This conflict is different first of all in that it's prolonged and
escalating, and secondly in that civilians are getting killed," says Radha
Kumar, director general of the Delhi Policy Group. "It's never gone on for
this long in the past 10 years."

In August this year, there were cease-fire violations along the
Indian-Pakistan border in Jammu, Indian-administered Kashmir's winter
capital. Some civilians were killed and around 2,000 villagers fled their
homes to ramshackle camps. Toward the end of the month, a flag meeting was
held between the two forces and peace had prevailed, only to be shattered
early this week.

Pakistan's Defense Minister Khawaja Asif, in response to his Indian
counterpart Arun Jaitley's warning that Indian forces would render any
"adventurism" by Pakistan "unaffordable," said Islamabad has the ability to
counter Indian aggression, followed by what could be perceived as a veiled
threat. "We do not want the situation on the borders of two nuclear
neighbors to escalate into confrontation," Asif said
<http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/pakistan-issues-nuclear-warning-to-india/1/395009.html>
on Thursday.

The border standoff marks a downturn in India-Pakistan relations under new
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, whose invitation to Pakistan's
embattled Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif for his inauguration ceremony in May
sparked hopes of closer ties between the historic adversaries. The recent
flash floods in Kashmir, which claimed hundreds of lives on both sides of
the border, also saw exchanges of support and goodwill
<http://time.com/3298814/kashmir-flooding-death-toll-rises-to-175-india-pm-modi-vows-180m-aid/>
between the two leaders.

Shuja Nawaz, director of the Washington, D.C.-based Atlantic Council's
South Asia Center, says the current conflict is fairly typical in terms of
the force used by either side and that civilians have been caught in the
cross fire. However, "what makes it different is that you have two new
governments and they are not following the standard operating procedures of
resolving this at the military level," he tells TIME.

*The Indian Expres*s reported
<http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/india-talks-tough-warns-pak-of-effective-reply/>
that India's Border Security Force has refused to engage in another flag
meeting with Pakistani officials, instead asking the Ministries of Home and
External Affairs to use diplomatic channels to resolve the conflict.

"All our efforts to secure peace and tranquility on the Line of Control and
the Work Boundary have elicited no cooperation from the Indian side," said
a statement <http://www.mofa.gov.pk/pr-details.php?prID=2291> from Sartaj
Aziz, National Security Adviser to Prime Minister Sharif. On Friday, the
Pakistani leader called
<http://www.dawn.com/news/1137064/nsc-meets-pm-nawaz-calls-upon-india-to-honour-ceasefire-agreement>
on New Delhi to honor the pre-existing cease-fire agreement.

Certainly, the steadily escalating conflict could not come at a more
inopportune time for Sharif, as he faces widespread protests over
allegations of corruption that have rocked his government for over two
months amid rumors of a potential military coup. "He is trying to show that
he and the military are on the same page," says Nawaz.

However, analysts are split on the long-term consequences of the current
escalation. According to a high-ranking Indian army official in Kashmir,
who spoke to TIME in August on condition of anonymity, border
confrontations with India will only increase as political instability
deepens in Pakistan.

"The fact of the matter is that Nawaz Sharif is not in charge, he's not
even in charge of the capital," agrees former Indian diplomat G.
Parthasarathy, who served as the high Commissioner to Pakistan between 1998
and 2000. "The [Pakistani] army is primed to see how the Modi government
will react to this infiltration."

But Hamayoun Khan, a lecturer in the Strategic Studies Department at
Islamabad's National Defence University, says that Indian politics have
just as much of a role to play in the conflict, pointing to upcoming
state-assembly elections in Haryana and Uttar Pradesh. Khan says the border
situation works to the advantage of nationalist parties like Modi's BJP,
which is not shy about courting anti-Pakistan views to get votes. "Once
they are over, once the rhetoric from the other side stops, this conflict
will abate," he says. "They [India] will mellow down and so will we."

Khan also disagrees with claims that the Pakistani Prime Minister has no
control of his government. "The political situation that has been going on
for over 60 days has put Nawaz Sharif under a lot of pressure, but he's
bearing the burden of that pretty well and is pretty much in control," he
says.

The question of the possibility of rapprochement, meanwhile, is yet to be
answered. "My fear is that the escalation ladder is very steep,
particularly in Kashmir. You can go quickly from exchanging words to
exchange fire," says Nawaz. "It's not in the best interests of either
government to let this issue fester."

*-- With reporting from Nilanjana Bhowmick / New Delhi*

-- 
Peace Is Doable

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