[A very sensible point of view.]

--http://blogs.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/toi-edit-page/war-by-other-means-india-should-not-be-a-bellicose-neighbour-as-pakistan-deals-with-taliban-terror/?utm_source=Popup&utm_medium=Old&utm_campaign=TOIHP

War by other means: India should not be a bellicose neighbour as
Pakistan deals with Taliban terror
December 20, 2014, 12:02 am IST Raghu Raman in TOI Edit Page

One of the challenges while dealing with terrorism is to discern
strategic objectives of the enemy, especially when they are veiled
behind despicable tactics. This is even more difficult when the psyche
of those at the helm of strategy is bloodied by deep personal
tragedies. The Pakistani military has taken possibly its worst body
blow and is understandably enraged. Air strikes into the strongholds
of Taliban before the sun set on black Tuesday are testimony to that.
Unfortunately this is exactly what Taliban wants to achieve.

Restrained and intelligence-driven surgical operations — not
heavy-handed revenge retaliation — is what is most needed now. And
here are the reasons why.

First, terrorism is a format of war, and warfare is fraught with
collateral damage. Having said that, targeting children in cold blood
is a strategic move by Taliban because any strategist would discern
that such slaughter is not meant to scare away the military from its
operations. It never would.

Killing their next of kin is throwing down the gauntlet to aggravate
the Pakistani military, not subdue them. Military operations in North
Waziristan region will only step up with additional resources, higher
intensity and after this provocation — also indiscriminate brutality.

And that serves the purpose of Taliban. Short of chemical weapons, air
strikes are the heaviest hand that a nation can use against its own
citizens. Bombs and missiles are area weapons that pulverise entire
zones without distinction between combatants, civilians, women or
children as has been amply demonstrated in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Instead of weakening the resolve of terrorists, they increase recruits
in hordes, turning bereaved civilians into suicide bombers and
fighters. Giving cause, to those who had none.

Also an attack of this nature now requires the Pakistani military to
divert thousands of frontline troops to safeguard internal assets like
schools in addition to protecting other vital installations. This is
the time for the world including India to demonstratively empathise
with saner Pakistani strategists to allow them room and resources for
manoeuvre, rather than adopting a ‘serves you right’ attitude.

To appreciate this better, imagine if a similar attack was conducted
in a school in the heartland of the majority community in India, by
perpetrators supported from across the border. We have precedence of
the Parliament attack exactly 13 years ago when two nuclear nations
were at the brink of war. This was followed by Mumbai attacks when
again the nation was baying for blood. If a provocation like Peshawar
happened here, how could India not go to war, especially in the
current political environment whose main electoral plank has been a
‘hard’ stance on terrorism? Whose agenda would this serve most?

Definitely not the Pakistani political or military establishments who
would be forced to defocus from their operations against Taliban where
nearly half of their troops are committed. Even if India did not
actually precipitate an offensive — the very real threat that it
could, would dilute pressure on Taliban strongholds.

India and Pakistan have very real and intractable differences on many
issues ranging from Kashmir to the Pakistani penchant of using
non-state actors as strategic assets against India. And even though
Pakistani citizens have been bearing the high cost of this misguided
strategy, the Pakistani military has a tiger by the tail which it
can’t let go or destroy easily. A force as lethal and fragmented as
Taliban in its many flavours could take several years of sustained
military and non-military operations to even contain, let alone
eradicate. An agitated bellicose neighbour is a serious distraction.
And that is what we should not be.

The second reason is that there are deep lessons in preparedness for
us in India. There is no way that thousands of our schools can be
‘protected’. Especially if ‘lone wolves’ start adopting copycat
attacks. Short of converting them into fortresses, it is impossible to
safeguard even a handful of schools meaningfully against a suicide
team. What happened in Peshawar is equally possible in any Indian
city.

Matter of fact, any professional would rate the Pakistani security
forces’ response as creditable in that they were able to save over 80%
of the children surpassing even the formidable Russian Spetsnaz during
the Beslan school attack of 2004 notwithstanding the different
circumstances. It is time to take a reality check on our own
capabilities to discern such and other attacks in the preparatory
stage and respond swiftly when they occur — rather than haranguing
others.

And lastly, we have an opportunity now to strengthen the arraignment
of forces against terrorism. To set aside differences on other issues
and focus on a common enemy. The advocates of ‘Taliban’ methodology
are most isolated at this point. This is the time to assist in their
demise.

The world ought to realise that most terrorist attacks have been
prototyped in Pakistan before being tried elsewhere. Techniques
perfected in that incubation centre will find their way soon into
restof the globe. This time it was Pakistani children. The next time
it could be …

The writer is former CEO of NATGRID.

 DISCLAIMER : Views expressed above are the author's own.
Peace Is Doable

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