I/III.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/18/world/middleeast/israel-election-netanyahu-herzog.html

Netanyahu Soundly Defeats Chief Rival in Israeli Elections
By JODI RUDORENMARCH 17, 2015
Photo

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel celebrated Wednesday at
his party's Tel Aviv headquarters. Credit Nir Elias/Reuters
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TEL AVIV -- After a bruising campaign focused on his failings, Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel won a clear victory in Tuesday's
elections and seemed all but certain to form a new government and
serve a fourth term, though he offended many voters and alienated
allies in the process.

With 99.5 percent of the ballots counted, the YNet news site reported
Wednesday morning that Mr. Netanyahu's Likud Party had captured 29 or
30 of the 120 seats in Parliament, sweeping past his chief rival, the
center-left Zionist Union alliance, which got 24 seats.

Mr. Netanyahu and his allies had seized on earlier exit polls that
showed a slimmer Likud lead to create an aura of inevitability, and
celebrated with singing and dancing. While his opponents vowed a
fight, Israeli political analysts agreed even before most of the
ballots were counted that he had the advantage, with more seats having
gone to the right-leaning parties likely to support him.

Supporters of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's re-election
celebrated on Tuesday night as results came in at his campaign
headquarters in Tel Aviv.News Analysis: Deep Wounds and Lingering
Questions After Israel's Bitter RaceMARCH 17, 2015
Voters in Nazareth Cheer Gains by Arab Alliance MARCH 17, 2015
Moshe Kahlon, center, leader of the upstart centrist Kulanu party,
greeting his supporters Wednesday in Tel Aviv. The party could
determine who becomes Israel's next prime minister.Breakaway Party
Leader Stays Mum on Where He'll Throw Support After Israeli
ElectionsMARCH 17, 2015
Supporters of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel at a
campaign rally in Tel Aviv. Voters go to the polls on
Tuesday.Netanyahu Says No to Statehood for PalestiniansMARCH 16, 2015
It was a stunning turnabout from the last pre-election polls published
Friday, which showed the Zionist Union, led by Isaac Herzog, with a
four- or five-seat lead and building momentum, and the Likud polling
close to 20 seats. To bridge the gap, Mr. Netanyahu embarked on a
last-minute scorched-earth campaign, promising that no Palestinian
state would be established as long as he remained in office and
insulting Arab citizens.

Photo

Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni of the Zionist Union. Credit Ronen Zvulun/Reuters
Mr. Netanyahu, who served as prime minister for three years in the
1990s and returned to office in 2009, exulted in what he called "a
huge victory" and said he had spoken to the heads of all the parties
"in the national camp" and urged them to help him form a government
"without any further ado."

"I am proud of the Israeli people that, in the moment of truth, knew
how to separate between what's important or what's not and to stand up
for what's important," he told an exuberant crowd early Wednesday
morning at Likud's election party at the Tel Aviv Fairgrounds. "For
the most important thing for all of us, which is real security, social
economy and strong leadership."

But it remained to be seen how his divisive -- some said racist --
campaign tactics would affect his ability to govern a fractured
Israel.

Mr. Herzog also called the election "an incredible achievement." He
said he had formed a negotiating team and still hoped to lead "a real
social government in Israel" that "aspires to peace with our
neighbors."

"The public wants a change," he said at an election-night party in Tel
Aviv, before the Likud's large margin of victory was revealed by the
actual vote count. "We will do everything in our power, given the
reality, to reach this. In any case, I can tell you that there will be
no decisions tonight."

Photo

An Arab Israeli woman casting her vote in the Arab town of Umm
el-Fahm. Credit Atef Safadi/European Pressphoto Agency
Based on the results reported on YNet, Mr. Netanyahu could form a
narrow coalition of nationalist and religious parties free of the
ideological divisions that stymied his last government. That was what
he intended when he called early elections in December. President
Reuven Rivlin, who in coming days must charge Mr. Netanyahu or Mr.
Herzog with trying to forge a coalition based on his poll of party
leaders' preferences , said shortly after the polls closed that he
would suggest they join forces instead.

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"I am convinced that only a unity government can prevent the rapid
disintegration of Israel's democracy and new elections in the near
future," he told the Israeli newspaper Haaretz.

Both camps rejected that option publicly, saying the gaps between
their world views were too large. Mr. Netanyahu and Mr. Herzog started
working the phones immediately after the polls closed, calling party
heads to begin the horse-trading and deal-making in hopes of lining up
a majority of lawmakers behind them.

The biggest prize may be Moshe Kahlon, a popular former Likud minister
who broke away -- in part out of frustration with Mr. Netanyahu -- to
form Kulanu, which focused on pocketbook issues. Mr. Kahlon leans to
the right but has issues with the prime minister, and he said Tuesday
night that he would not reveal his recommendation until the final
results were tallied.

Kulanu -- Hebrew for "All of Us" -- won 10 seats , according to the
tally YNet reported Wednesday based on 99.5 percent of ballots
counted. That is enough to put either side's basic ideological
alliance over the magic number of 61 if they also win the backing of
two ultra-Orthodox parties that won a total of 14 seats.

Continue reading the main story
Israel Elections: The Vote and Results
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See All Updates
"The clearest political outcome is that Kahlon is going to be the
kingmaker, and it really depends on how he is going to play his
cards," said Yohanan Plesner, president of the Israel Democracy
Institute. "It very much depends on Kahlon."

Silvan Shalom, a Likud minister, told reporters that the prime
minister would reach out first to Naftali Bennett of the Jewish Home
party and to Avigdor Lieberman of Yisrael Beiteinu, two
archconservatives, and "of course Moshe Kahlon," predicting a
coalition "within the next few days" of 63 or 64 seats.

"Israel said today a very clear 'yes' to Prime Minister Netanyahu and
to the Likud to continue leading the State of Israel," Mr. Shalom
said. "We'll do it with our allies. We'll have a strong coalition that
is able to deal with all the important issues."

The Zionist Union said, essentially, not so fast.

Nachman Shai, a senior lawmaker from the Labor Party, which joined
with the smaller Hatnua to form the new slate, said Mr. Herzog could
still form a coalition, thought he did not specify how, and advised
the public to "wait and see." "They're trying to cash the check and
create a certain atmosphere of victory," Mr. Shai told reporters.
"We'll do the same."

Photo

Voters waiting in line on Tuesday at a polling station for the Israeli
general elections in the West Bank Jewish settlement of Kiryat Arba,
near Hebron. Credit Abir Sultan/European Pressphoto Agency
The murky exit-poll predictions led to a murky reaction from the White
House, where a spokesman said that President Obama remained "committed
to working very closely with the winner of the ongoing elections to
cement and further deepen the strong relationship between the United
States and Israel, and the president is confident that he can do that
with whomever the Israeli people choose."

The Joint List of Arab parties won 13 seats, making it the
third-largest parliamentary faction. Its four component parties
previously had 11.

The unity seems to have lifted turnout among Arab voters to its
highest level since 1969, said the list's leader, Ayman Odeh. Arab
parties have never joined an Israeli coalition, but Mr. Odeh has
indicated that he would try to help Mr. Herzog in other ways in hopes
of ending Mr. Netanyahu's tenure.

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reading the main story
Yesh Atid, a centrist party that won a surprising 19 seats in the 2013
election, its first, earned 11 this time. The Jewish Home lost votes
to Mr. Netanyahu's swing to the right and ended up with eight,
according to YNet, down from its current 12. The ultranationalist
Yisrael Beiteinu had six, and the leftist Meretz four.

A new ultra-Orthodox breakaway faction apparently failed to pass the
raised electoral threshold to enter Parliament, which means its votes
will be discarded, costing the right-wing bloc.

Continue reading the main storyVideo

PLAY VIDEO|1:17
Voting for Israel's Next Prime Minister
Voting for Israel's Next Prime Minister
As the results of Israel's tight election roll in, Israelis reflect on
the issues they hope the next prime minister will make priorities.
Video by Quynhanh Do, Tamir Elterman and Emily B. Hager on Publish
Date March 17, 2015. Photo by Gil Cohen Magen/Agence France-Presse --
Getty Images.
Turnout was near 72 percent, four percentage points higher than in
2013, which analysts attributed to the surprisingly close contest
between the Likud and Zionist Union.

"For the first time in many years, we see a serious strengthening in
the two major parties," said Yehuda Ben Meir of the Institute for
National Security Studies. "Both parties are higher up at the expense
of the smaller parties, which is good for stability, and it's a move
to the center. The larger parties are always more to the center than
the satellite parties."

But Mr. Plesner of the Democracy Institute said the results showed the
need for electoral reform because Israel's "system is so fragmented,
so unstable, so difficult to govern."

Tuesday's balloting came just 26 months after Israel's last election,
but the dynamic was entirely different. In 2013, there was no serious
challenge to Mr. Netanyahu. This time, Mr. Herzog teamed up with Tzipi
Livni to form the Zionist Union, an effort to reclaim the state's
founding pioneer philosophy from a right-wing that increasingly
defines it in opposition to Palestinian national aspirations.

They promised to stop construction in isolated Israeli settlements in
the occupied West Bank, to try to renew negotiations with the
Palestinians, and to restore relations Mr. Netanyahu had frayed with
the White House. Mostly, though, they -- along with Yesh Atid and
Kulanu -- hammered the prime minister on kitchen-table concerns like
the high cost of housing and food.

Mr. Netanyahu talked mainly about the threats of an Iranian nuclear
weapon and Islamic terrorism, addressing economics only in the final
days. That was also when he made a sharp turn to the right, backing
away from his 2009 endorsement of a two-state solution to the
Palestinian conflict and sounding an alarm Tuesday morning that Arabs
were voting "in droves."

Many voters complained about a bitter campaign of ugly attacks and a
lack of inspiring choices.

"I am happy today to be able to vote, but I know I'll be unhappy with
the result, no matter who wins," said Elad Grafi, 29, who lives in
Rehovot, a large city south of Tel Aviv. Sneering at the likelihood of
any candidate being able to form a coalition stable enough to last a
full term, he added, "Anyway, I'll see you here again in two years,
right?"

In the Jerusalem suburb of Tzur Hadassah, Eli Paniri, 54, a longtime
Likud supporter, said he "voted for the only person who should be
prime minister: Netanyahu."

"I am not ashamed of this," Mr. Paniri said after weeks of
Netanyahu-bashing from all sides. "He is a strong man and, most
important, he stood up to President Obama."

Reporting was contributed by Irit Pazner Garshowitz from Tzur
Hadassah, Israel, and Tel Aviv; Isabel Kershner, Myra Noveck and Carol
Sutherland from Jerusalem; Michael D. Shear from Washington; Diaa
Hadid from the West Bank; Rina Castelnuovo from Beit Zayit, Israel;
and Gabby Sobelman from Rehovot, Israel.

II/III.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-31933326

18 March 2015 Last updated at 04:47 Share this pagePrint
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Israel election: Netanyahu's Likud 'set for win'
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The BBC's Jeremy Bowen: "If the result that emerges is a government of
national unity, another election might not be too far off"
Continue reading the main story
Related Stories

Israel election results: as it happened
Likud celebrates surprise success
What do voters want? Watch
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's right-wing Likud party has claimed
a surprise victory in Israel's election, Israeli media report.

Earlier exit polls had suggested a dead heat with centre-left Zionist Union.

With most votes counted, Likud is said to be on course to take 29
seats in the 120-seat parliament, the Knesset, with the Zionist Union
on 24 seats.

If confirmed, this would indicate another coalition government led by
Mr Netanyahu.

Mr Netanyahu would need support from other parties to form a coalition.

In a speech to his jubilant supporters in Tel Aviv after Tuesday's
polls closed, Mr Netanyahu said he had already spoken to the leaders
of other right-of-centre parties about forming a new government
"without delay".

Israeli Likud party supporters react to the exit polls while they wait
for the announcement of the first official results of Israel's
parliamentary elections at the party's headquarters in the city of Tel
Aviv, 17 March 2015
Likud supporters celebrated after the exit polls were announced
Supporters of the centre-left Zionist Union party react to the exit
polls outside the party's headquarters during the announcement of the
first official results of Israel's parliamentary elections in the city
of Tel Aviv, 17 March 2015
Zionist Union had been ahead in the opinion polls
He described the vote as a "great victory" for Likud, which had
trailed the Zionist Union in opinion polls in the run-up to the
election.

Mr Netanyahu said the result was achieved "against all odds".

line
At the scene: BBC's Kevin Connolly, Likud HQ, Tel Aviv

The Likud activists were dancing and singing within minutes of the TV
stations broadcasting their exit polls quite simply because they can
see a relatively simple pathway towards the formation of another
right-wing coalition.

It would involve Mr Netanyahu teaming up with the secularists of
Yisraeli Beitenu and Kulanu, and adding the religious nationalists of
Jewish Home and the parties that represent ultra-orthodox Jews like
Shas.

The outline of a workable coalition can be seen much more easily from
this vantage point than from the point of view of the leftist Zionist
Union led by Yitzhak Herzog.

He campaigned well and if the exit polls are to be believed he polled
pretty well too - but the coalition arithmetic simply doesn't look so
good for him.

Likud celebrates surprise success

line
Speaking after the exit polls were published, Zionist Union leader
Yitzhak Herzog told his supporters he was confident of forming the
next government.

"We have achieved an unbelievable achievement today.

"I will do all that I can in order to create a real socially minded
government for Israel."

When final results are known, President Reuven Rivlin will give the
task of forming a government to a party leader who he thinks has the
strongest chance of assembling a coalition.

Israel's form of proportional representation always produces smaller
parties and coalition government, the BBC's Middle East editor Jeremy
Bowen in Tel Aviv reports.

Divide
Mr Netanyahu could become Israel's longest-serving leader if he
secures a fourth term.

No party has ever won an outright majority under Israel's proportional
representation voting system.

Almost 72% of those eligible voted in the election, which ended at
22:00 local time (20:00 GMT). The turnout was four points higher than
the previous election in 2013.

Israel's Channel 1 and Channel 10 both projected 27 seats each for
Likud and Zionist Union, while Channel 2 gave Likud a one-seat lead,
with 28 seats.

Sixty-one seats are needed in order to secure a majority.

The Joint Arab List, an alliance of Israeli Arab-dominated parties,
has come third with about 13 seats, the exit polls suggested.

It has said, however, that it will not take any positions in government.

Mr Netanyahu had vowed not to allow the creation of a Palestinian
state if he wins a fourth term, while Zionist Union has expressed
support for a two-state solution and promised to repair relations with
Palestinians and the international community.

line
The main players
Benjamin Netanyahu: Victory for his Likud party could mean a fourth
term for the veteran of Israeli politics. His hawkish stance on the
Palestinians and Iran have made him popular with the right but a
divisive figure.
Yitzhak Herzog: The co-leader of the centre-left Zionist Union
electoral alliance, Mr Herzog has accused Likud of depressing Israeli
living standards and campaigned against Mr Netanyahu's foreign policy.
He has tried to counter Mr Netanyahu's accusations he is "soft" by
pointing to his special forces background.
Tzipi Livni: Mr Herzog's co-leader in the Zionist Union, Ms Livni is a
prominent advocate of seeking more co-operation with the Palestinian
Authority.
Moshe Kahlon: A former Likud welfare and communications minister under
Benjamin Netanyahu, Mr Kahlon's centre-right Kulanu party could play
kingmaker in a coalition.
Who are the key candidates?

line
Did you vote in the election? You can share your views by emailing
[email protected]. If you are available to speak to a BBC
journalist, please include a contact telephone number.

III.
http://www.haaretz.com/news/israel-election-2015/1.647304

LIVE BLOG: Likud cements victory with nearly all votes counted
Netanyahu's party set to win 30 Knesset seats, Zionist Union gets 24;
Netanyahu calls for 'strong' government to safeguard security, welfare
* 'Kingmaker' Kahlon says doesn't rule anyone out.
By Haaretz      | Mar. 18, 2015 | 6:06 AM |

With nearly all votes counted, Benjamin Netanyahu's Lkud party is set
to emerge as the election's big winner with 29 seats. The Zionist
Union trails behind with 24 seats. The Joint List of Arab parties is
the third-largest party at this point, followed by Yesh Atid, Kulanu,
Habayit Hayehudi, Shas, Yisrael Beiteinu, United Torah Judaism, Meretz
and Yahad.

President Reuven Rivlin said he would work for a national unity government.

Ballots were cast at 10,372 polling stations throughout Israel. There
are 5,881,696 Israelis (citizens over the age of 18) who were eligible
to vote today for the 20th Knesset.

Latest opinion and analyses: Netanyahu resorts to race-baiting in
attempt to win elections | Netanyahu, Herzog fight Election Day battle
of the gap | A last-minute bid to block Netanyahu's 'rescue me'
campaign (Yossi Verter) | Top 10 last-minute observations as Israelis
start heading for the polls (Chemi Shalev) | A black hole at core of
Israeli electoral politics (Aluf Benn) | The winners and losers of
Israel's election campaign (Anshel Pfeffer) | Even if Likud forms
government, Netanyahu era is over (Barak Ravid)

Live updates:

6:06 A.M. With 99 percent of the ballots counted, Likud is increasing
its lead with 30 Knesset seats, compared to the Zionist Union's 24.

The Joint List, the third-largest party, gets 14 seats, followed by
Yesh Atid with 11, Kulanu with 10, Habayit Hayehudi with eight, Shas
with seven, United Torah Judaism with six, Yisrael Beiteinu with six,
and Meretz with four. It appears at this point that Yahad has not
crossed the electoral threshold. (Haaretz)

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu waves to supporters at party
headquarters in Tel Aviv, March 18, 2015. Photo: Reuters

4:30 A.M. Likud increases its lead over the Zionist Union as the vote
count nears completion. (Haaretz)

3:23 A.M. With 60 percent of votes counted, Likud leads with 23.73
percent over Zionist Union's 19.07 percent. Yesh Atid stands at 8.92
percent, the Joint List at 9.63 percent, Kulanu at 7.53 percent,
Habayit Hayehudi at 6.4 percent, Shas at 5.88 percent, Yisrael
Beiteinu at 5.26 percent, United Torah Judaism at 5.15 percent, Meretz
at 3.95 percent and Yahad at 3.04 percent.

2:45 A.M. Some 71.3 percent of Israeli soldiers voted on Tuesday, a
2.3 percent bump compared to the 2013 election. The rate does not
include soldiers voting in civilian polling stations. (Gili Cohen)

2:30 A.M. The chief Palestinian negotiator expects Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu to form the next Israeli government and has
declared that the Palestinians in turn will push forward with
diplomatic efforts at the International Criminal Court.

"It is clear that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next
government, and for that, we say clearly that we will go to the Hague
Tribunal, we will accelerate, continue and intensify" diplomatic
efforts, top Palestinian negotiator Saeb Erekat told Agence
France-Presse. (JTA)

1:10 A.M. Netanyahu: "Dear friends, against all odds we have achieved
a great victory for Likud, for the national camp which is headed by
Likud, for our people. I am proud of the Israeli people, who
recognized what's important ... and stood up for real security, economy
and social welfare, which we are committed to.

"This is what's important to... everyone, Jews and non-Jews alike," he
said. "All of you are important to me.

"Now we must form a strong and stable government that will care for
the security and welfare of all of Israel's citizens," he said.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu kisses his wife, Sara, as he
addresses supporters. Photo: Tomer Appelbaum

12:25 A.M. Yesh Atid Chairman Yair Lapid: "We are the biggest centrist
party, and will remain a political force for many years to come."

12:16 A.M. Zionist Union Chairman Isaac Herzog on the exit polls:
"These results will bring Labor back into power." He calls on the
"social parties" to unite under him to form "a real reconciliation
government."

"This is a big victory for the Labor Party, which hasn't done this
well since Yitzhak Rabin won in 1992."

Referring to his efforts to from a governing coalition, Herzog says
"no decision will be made tonight. We have formed a negotiating team."
(Haaretz)

Zionist Union party co-leaders Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni. Photo by AP

12:20 A.M. Yisrael Beiteinu Chairman Avigdor Lieberman says his
party's five Knesset seats are a triumph over attempts to "take out"
his "entire party."

Lieberman says the close election results are further proof that
Israel needs a different system of government.

Shas Chairman Arye Dery says this election has been the "toughest we
have ever experienced."

"This was a great battle for legacy, a struggle for a path, a struggle
of leadership, a very tough struggle," he said. "But, thank God, the
way of the truth won, the Torah's way won."

He said that he made efforts to unite with Eli Yishai, but the latter resisted.

Zionist Union MK Shelly Yacimovich suggests that Shas and Moshe
Kahlon's Kulanu may join a government led by Isaac Herzog.

"You treat Kahlon like he's in Netanyahu's pocket, and Shas like it's
clearly with Netanyahu," she said in an interview with Channel 2.
"People say a lot of things before the election. It's possible that
they will understand that they could fulfil their desires under Herzog
as prime minister."

12:15 P.M. Kulanu Chairman Moshe Kahlon says he will work with any
party working on social, economic lines.


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Peace Is Doable

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