[Right at the moment, a battle of nerves - a tough tug-of-war, is on.
No one wants to be the first to blink.
All at the same time, the four main players - the Syriza regime, the
IMF, the ECB and the ESFS - directly engaged are, apparently, rather
interested in avoiding the looming Grexit, given its likely unsettling
consequences, all across the divide. But only on their own terms, as
much as possible.
That makes the things really tricky and the eventual Grexit quite
probable as the final outcome of this eyeball-to-eyeball
confrontation.
But the final word remains to be spelled out.]

Tsipras Signals Greece May Accept Bailout Terms
By SUZANNE DALEY and NIKI KITSANTONISJULY 1, 2015

[Video in Greek, and no subtitle]
The Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras made a televised address on
Wednesday during which he said the government remained committed to
reaching an agreement with its creditors. By The Associated Press on
Publish Date July 1, 2015. Photo by Andrea Bonetti/Greek Prime
Minister's Office.

ATHENS — An unexpected new effort by Greece to compromise with its
creditors on a bailout package prompted a cool response from most of
the rest of Europe on Wednesday as the financial pressures on Athens
intensified and efforts to find a way out of the crisis remained
chaotic.

On another day of twists and turns, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras’s
government reversed course and said it would be willing to accept many
of the terms of a bailout package that it had previously rejected, if
they are part of a broader deal to address the country’s funding needs
for the next two years.

While reviving hopes for a deal to end Greece’s latest financial
crisis, the seeming reversal by Mr. Tsipras further underscored the
confusion over his strategy as well as over where the monthslong
muddle of negotiations now stood. The sudden turn of events raised
questions about what offer was actually still on the table for Greece,
whether Mr. Tsipras would still go ahead with a referendum scheduled
for Sunday on a deal and, if so, what deal Greeks would actually be
voting on.

Tuesday to the creditors — the European Central Bank, the
International Monetary Fund and other eurozone countries — Mr. Tsipras
said Greece was “prepared to accept” a deal set out publicly over the
weekend by the creditors, with small modifications to some of the
central points of contention: pension cuts and tax increases. In the
letter, released publicly on Wednesday, Mr. Tsipras linked Greece’s
acceptance of the terms to a new package of bailout aid that would
need to be negotiated.

The development initially raised the prospect of progress in resolving
a financial crisis that has sent shudders through global markets and
deeply strained European unity. President François Hollande of France
called for talks in the hopes of getting a deal by the weekend,
saying, according to Agence-France Presse: “We need to be clear. The
time for a deal is now.”

But other European leaders, fed up with Mr. Tsipras and in no mood for
quick compromise, dashed any hopes of an immediate breakthrough.

Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany responded by repeating her
position that there should be no further negotiations until Greece
holds the referendum on Sunday — a vote that many European leaders
hoped would amount to a rebuke of Mr. Tsipras.

Any further talks are likely to be complex and contentious. An
existing bailout agreement expired at midnight Tuesday, meaning that
Greece and its creditors would have to start over in assembling a
package of aid and budget cuts. Moreover, many European officials
remain deeply skeptical about whether Mr. Tsipras’s leftist government
would implement the more painful elements of any agreement. The
initial responses from European officials to the latest Greek proposal
ranged from cautious to dismissive.

[Photo]
A woman is squeezed as she waits to receive part of her pension
outside a National Bank branch in Athens on Wednesday. Credit Alkis
Konstantinidis/Reuters

The European Union’s executive arm, which has played a central role in
trying to broker a settlement between Greece and its creditors,
dampened hopes of a swift deal by stressing that the revised terms
offered by Greece addressed issues that had been raised during months
of fruitless haggling over an old bailout program that is no longer
under discussion as it expired at midnight and Tuesday.

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Continue reading the main story
Valdis Dombrovskis, a vice president of the European Commission who is
responsible for the euro, said that the expiration of the old bailout
program meant that “we are now in a new situation,” with far worse
conditions than before. Greece’s decision to close banks and impose
other capital controls, he said, “make the situation much more
problematic.”

He added, “Now much more damage has been done and much more effort
will be needed to restore the situation.”

The European Commission, he said, still hopes for an agreement so that
Greece can meet loan payments to the European Central Bank that are
due in late July.

“The doors for talks are open,” Mr. Dombrovskis said, blaming Greece
for upending previous negotiations with its decision early Saturday to
call a referendum. “There is certainly a possibility to reach an
agreement before the next payments come due, but it is important that
both sides have a willingness” to reach an accord, he added.

Continue reading the main story

Document: Tsipras Letter to European Leaders
Mr. Tsipras went on public television Wednesday afternoon, telling
Greeks that they should vote no on the referendum to improve his
negotiating position.

He said that despite European characterizations, the vote was simply
about a deal on how to manage the country’s debt crisis and not a vote
on whether to leave the euro as the country’s currency.

“No does not mean a rift with Europe,” he said. “But a return to a
Europe with principles.”

With shelves full of leather-bound books in the background, he also
assured his country that he would continue to negotiate this week and
after the referendum. And he thanked Greeks for staying calm in hard
times. “This situation is short term and will not go on for long,” he
said.

Finance ministers from the countries using the euro decided in a
conference call on Wednesday to wait for the outcome of the referendum
before any further negotiations. They had turned aside a last-minute
plea for help on Tuesday night.

[Video]
The German chancellor said on Wednesday that the door for negotiations
with Greece remained open, but that Europe would stand by for the
result of the referendum. By Reuters on Publish Date July 1, 2015.

The change of tone from Mr. Tsipras, who in recent days had vehemently
opposed the terms sought by the creditors, came hours after Greece
missed a debt payment to the I.M.F., leaving Greece effectively in
default and raising the pressure on the country to find a solution to
its rapidly escalating financial squeeze. With its banking system shut
down and access to more aid cut off, Greece faced the prospect of
further debt defaults and the possibility of being forced to abandon
the euro as its currency.

The letter from Mr. Tsipras was first reported by The Financial Times.
The report sent stock prices in Europe higher.

News of the letter emerged ahead of a meeting of the European Central
Bank’s Governing Council to consider whether to cut off entirely the
line of credit that has kept the Greek banking system from collapsing.

In the letter, Mr. Tsipras said he was prepared to accept the European
Commission’s proposal last Sunday, with five amendments on issues that
had been particular sticking points.

He continued to ask for a lower value-added tax on Greek islands, for
instance, to help bolster tourism and compensate for the high price of
delivering goods to such areas. And he still objected to a system of
automatically adjusting pension payments according to the financial
strength of the underlying pension funds rather than relying on
government assistance to maintain the payments.

But he accepted the bulk of what the Europeans had asked for in their
last proposal, including creating strong disincentives to early
retirement.

The situation left unclear what Greeks would be voting on in Sunday’s
referendum, assuming it goes ahead as planned. The wording was to ask
Greeks to vote yes or no on whether they supported the terms offered
by creditors last week — an offer that in effect expired with the
existing bailout package on Tuesday night, and that appears to have
been supplanted in any case by the offer put forward by Mr. Tsipras.

A recent poll found majority support for Mr. Tsipras’s call to vote no
in the referendum, though that support shrank after the banks were
closed and a cap of 60 euros per day was put on the amount that Greeks
could withdraw from A.T.M.s.

The poll, by ProRata, conducted from Sunday to Tuesday, found 57
percent of Greeks said they would vote against the deal the creditors
proposed, with about 30 percent saying they would vote for it, and
about 13 percent saying they were not sure. After the banks closed on
Monday, the gap narrowed, with about 46 percent saying they would vote
against the proposals, 37 percent said they would vote yes, and 17
percent said they were not sure.

In Berlin, Ms. Merkel indicated that Germany no longer considered the
offer that the Eurogroup of eurozone finance ministers made to Greece
over the weekend to be valid, telling lawmakers in an address to
Parliament that the proposal had been coupled to the aid program that
expired at midnight on Tuesday.

Continue reading the main story
Greece’s Debt Crisis Explained
The weak link in the 19-nation eurozone is struggling to tame its
debt. On Tuesday, Greece missed an important payment to the
International Monetary Fund.


“With the expiration of the program, the basis for the offer has been
removed,” Ms. Merkel said.

The chancellor repeated her view that Europe depends on trust and
compromise, but said that Germany was not willing to make concessions
at any price.

She emphasized that Europe’s strength meant that it was in a position
to take time to hammer out a new aid program for Greece, and said that
the International Monetary Fund, the European Commission and the
European Central Bank would all have to be involved.

“The overarching goal has always been to create a union of stability
in Europe, with responsibility and corresponding rewards,” the
chancellor said.

Wolfgang Schäuble, Germany’s finance minister, backed the chancellor’s
remarks, telling reporters that additional talks would be necessary
before a new assistance program could be considered for Greece.

He said the process had been made more difficult by a breakdown of trust.

The first step toward a resumption of negotiations, Mr. Schäuble said,
would be clarity from Athens about its aims and goals. “The Greek
government needs to clarify what it wants,” he said.

“It’s not just about Greece,” Mr. Schäuble said. “We need to make sure
the basis of people’s trust in Europe is not completely destroyed. We
are defending Europe.”

Andrew Higgins contributed reporting from Brussels, Melissa Eddy from
Berlin, and Dimitris Bounias from Athens.
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Peace Is Doable

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