http://thewire.in/2016/03/01/the-idea-of-india-makes-little-room-for-its-ecology-23139/

ENVIRONMENT
The Idea of India Makes Little Room for Its Ecology

BY NAGRAJ ADVE ON 01/03/2016    

NASA’s Aqua satellite passed over the Himalayan Mountains, the MODIS
instrument captured this image of snow on the ground in October 2014.
Credit: NASA

At a time when public debate about nationalism and the idea of India
is being intensely conducted across university campuses and in
millions of drawing rooms, we must remind ourselves that our lives,
culture and understanding of land are ecologically grounded. An
ecological perspective interrogates dominant views of nationalism and
allows us to approach the question with greater nuance and
sensitivity.

A couple of years ago, I went to the Sunderbans – the vast deltaic
ecosystem straddling eastern India and Bangladesh – to talk to people
there about how sea level rise was affecting their lives. An
encroaching sea had been nibbling away at those islands for years –
and continues to do so – causing tens of thousands to abandon their
homes and fields, and move further inland, or move out. We stayed one
night at the edge of Sagar island; all along that stretch of coast
were abandoned homes and saline lands, broken trunks of dead coconut
trees jutting into the sky, creating a landscape one can only describe
as surreal.

This erosion of our lands is happening not just in West Bengal, but in
many parts across India’s vast coastline. It’s happening along parts
of the Orissa and Tamil Nadu coasts; on the other side of the Indian
landmass, it was reported some years ago that the advancing sea was
forcing people to move out from Gujarat’s Valsad and Bharuch
districts. “The poorest are the most directly affected,” said a
scientist who studied this manifestation of global warming. “They
can’t afford to shift but they can’t stay here either.”

That sea level rise is going to increase and accelerate over the next
few years and decades is an accepted scientific fact; the only point
of debate is how fast this will happen. It will happen to a greater
degree because the great ice sheets on Greenland and Antarctica will
melt at an accelerating rate, a trend that may have already begun.
Most timeframes of this process tend to stop at the end of this
century, but the nature of ice sheet melting is such that once it
starts, it carries on for thousands of years. The greatest threat to
our lands may come from just beyond our shores, not from what we
think, but from the sea.

If any of us have fixed geographical notions of the nation-state, the
rise and fall of sea levels everywhere ought to give us pause. Not
just in warnings about the near future, but also lessons from the
past. As the Earth went into and out of warm interglacials – such as
the present one – water got frozen in the ice sheets at the peak of
ice ages or melted into the sea during the interglacials, altering the
levels of ocean waters by dozens of metres and re-creating land
borders in the process. Not just here, but also elsewhere; perhaps the
most striking example is the Channel that now divides England and
Europe. At one time, England and France were contiguous landmass. Over
anything beyond the short term, our borders are drawn not by us, but
by the oceans.

There are at least two other ways in which global warming and its
effects gently – and sometimes more abruptly – interrogate our modern
political imagination of the nation. Some ecosystems effortlessly
straddle national boundaries. That is to state the obvious; but in an
era of global warming, so do its effects, which raises questions about
how we ought to respond. Most of the hundreds of glaciers studied
across the Himalayan ecosystem are melting – in India, Pakistan and
China. A number of Asia’s legendary rivers – including the Indus, the
Brahmaputra, the Salween, the Mekong and the Yangtze – originate in
the glaciated heights of the Tibetan Plateau. The effects of global
warming in one region will hurt people across boundaries. This
particularly holds true for the Indus, whose waters derive – much more
than say, the Ganga or the Brahmaputra – to an overwhelming degree
from glacial melt. Glaciers melting and then receding in Tibet will
dry up the Indus, and will devastate agriculture and shrink water
supplies for millions of people dependent on them beyond its borders,
in Ladakh, and in Pakistan. Ecological crises of this nature and scale
demand political and policy responses that transcend rigid
nation-state frames.

Third, as global warming’s effects begin to intensify and speed up,
millions of people will pour across borders. Some studies indicate
that one of the multiple, complex factors that have influenced the
current refugee crisis in Europe is the massive drought – likely
influenced by climate change – that has hit Syria over the past few
years. As rising sea levels engulf the Maldives and particularly large
tracts of low-lying Bangladesh, India becomes an obvious destination
for their climate refugees. If you’re alarmed at the prospect, reflect
on the fact that migration might also likely happen in the other
direction – desperate Indians also running away, from persistent
droughts, a collapsing agriculture and rising heat levels. These are
not prognostications; the signs of all of these have already begun.
They might end up being internal migrants, or migrate beyond our
shores to places with more water or a more hospitable climate. Will
they be received with greater grace than the Shiv Sena displayed a few
years ago towards job-seeking migrants from North India? Will they be
more welcome than the Syrian and other refugees are in Europe
presently?

The answers to those questions will depend upon the openness, or
rigidity, with which people here and elsewhere regard the idea of the
nation, who ‘we’ are. Ecologies and a changing climate – which is far
more powerful than we give it credit – ought to make us realise that a
hard notion does not capture changing complexities, nor is very
helpful. On the other hand, greater flexibility and more humbleness
may make us better prepared to cope with the challenges that a warming
climate and other ecological crises pose before us.

Nagraj Adve works and writes on issues related to global warming. He
can be reached at [email protected].
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Peace Is Doable

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