I/II.
http://www.ndtv.com/opinion/kairana-as-kashmir-the-bjps-farce-with-impending-tragedy-1419578?pfrom=home-topstories

In Modi And Amit Shah Speeches, The 2 Sides Of The BJP

Mihir Swarup Sharma

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For a shining example of the Narendra Modi-era BJP's ability to be two
things at once, look no further than the parivartan rally in Allahabad
that effectively launched the Uttar Pradesh election campaign. At
practically the same time you could hear, with unusual clarity, the
two sides of the BJP: Narendra Modi, the "development-minded" Prime
Minister, declare that UP just needed to grow once to catapult India
into the first world; and Amit Shah, the "tough-guy" party president,
further the party's core agenda of ensuring that every Hindu remembers
that they are constantly threatened by Muslims.

Almost simultaneously with Modi reminding his party to be committed to
"service, balance, restraint, coordination, constructiveness,
sensitivity and dialogue", Shah gleefully broke several of these Seven
Commandments by warning the voters of UP that they had better sweep
the BJP to power in Lucknow unless they wanted a repeat of the
"exodus" of Hindus from the town of Kairana. It was an "eye-opener",
he said, "no ordinary event".

What earth-shattering event was Shah talking about? Well, the sequence
of events is instructive. More than a week ago, the local member of
parliament for the west UP district where Kairana is located, one
Hukum Singh - watch the name, he's both villain and hero of this story
- declared that Hindus were leaving the area, changing its demography
permanently. The BJP set up a fact-finding mission to investigate
Hukum Singh's startling claim. (With the attention to institutional
strength for which the party is justly celebrated, it was reported at
first that the team examining Hukum Singh's claims would be led by -
Hukum Singh.)

Singh's accusations certainly were startling. He said Hindu families
had been forced to sell their property at reduced rates; that some
were outright grabbed by Muslims; and that this process, which
certainly sounded like ethnic cleansing the way he told it, was
spreading from the town of Kairana to the surrounding countryside.

Naturally, the Internet went mad.

#StopHinduExodus and various other such phrases trended on Twitter.
Tens of thousands of young men online had simultaneous aneurysms at
the thought that this ethnic cleansing was being ignored by the
mainstream media. Except of course for the television channel Zee
News, which, with its trademark restraint and accuracy, spread the
news far and wide. "You've heard of the exodus of the Kashmiri
Pandits," began the award-winning anchor. "But can you believe that
Hindus are being forced to leave their homes barely 124 km from the
nation's capital? The national media is ignoring it." He went on to
claim that the proportion of Hindus in Kairana had dipped from 32 per
cent to just eight per cent. I literally lost count of the number of
times he said "Hindu" in a seven-minute segment. As is appropriate in
a well-functioning republic, once something trends on Twitter, the
awesome majesty of the Government of India steps in. The Union
Minister Shripad Naik declared that Modi was watching matters himself,
and that three Union Ministers would shortly travel to the small town
to discover what happened (presumably by talking to Hukum Singh). The
National Human Rights Commission, hated by the BJP during the previous
government as being full of Congressi meddlers, but now of course
proudly independent, demanded an explanation from UP's Chief Secretary
and its Director General of Police, etc, etc.

You see, for the BJP, this was a godsend. It fit perfectly into the
narrative they prefer to craft: of Muslim thugs and terrorists
intimidating good Hindu families and making "their own country" unsafe
for Hindus. So the Vishwa Hindu Parishad's Joint Secretary declared
that it was "jihadi elements" who were behind the exodus, and that
they were protected by the "anti-Hindu" leadership of the Samajwadi
Party. The Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh's leading intellectual, Rakesh
Sinha, went further, and blamed Jinnah, according to news agency ANI:
"Any intervention would be welcomed to rehabilitate Hindus there. It
is not only the question of rehabilitation but also fighting the
mindset of Jinnah. It is a vestige of Jinnah which is creating such a
situation. It is this ideology which parted the country in 1947."
Kairana, he added helpfully, in case any newspaper was short of a
sensational headline, was "becoming Kashmir". (Frankly, we should all
be glad both Kairana and Kashmir start with K, given how compulsory
alliteration is for the BJP these days.)

Worst of all, to my mind - because it came from a man directly
responsible for law and order in India - is the statement of the
junior Home Minister Kiren Rijiju, who spoke of people having to leave
their villages "in their own country".

So the message was so clear it doesn't even deserve to be called
subtext: Hindus "in their own country" are under threat from
aggressive jihadi Muslims who want to turn Western UP into Kashmir.
(And pinko liberal media in Delhi doesn't want you to know.)

Unfortunately for the junior Home Minister, the BJP president, various
functionaries of the Sangh Parivar, and all those apoplectic tweeters,
the story soon fell apart. The first few reporters to reach Kairana
discovered that the place was in fact in the grip of various local
gangs, and the law and order situation was terrible - but there wasn't
really a Hindu vs Muslim angle to it. According to one report, at
least 150 Muslim families had moved out of the crime-hit town too.
Then the list of ethnically-cleansed Hindus that Hukum Singh released
was discovered to have various cringe-inducing errors - people who
were dead, or still in the town, or had left a decade earlier. News
reports began to be filled with delightful quotes from locals, along
the lines of "What, him? No he hasn't gone anywhere, unless it's the
liquor store. He's bound to be back after dark", and that kind of
thing.

The upshot of all this was that just as a high-powered BJP team
arrived in the area, poor Hukum Singh had to bend to the facts and say
that he was shocked - shocked! - that people were giving a "communal
angle" to things. "This is not a question of Hindus and Muslims," said
the poor MP. "It is about law and order."

This, incidentally, is why Hukum Singh is both villain and hero of
this story - for, after all, who in today's politics is actually
willing to change their mind when presented with facts? Not Twitter,
which, when I last checked, was trending #MediaLiesOnKairana.

A warning, though. Indian political history is backwards - it can
frequently repeat itself - the first time as farce,  but the second
time as tragedy. The farce that was the BJP's attempt to create a
Kashmir out of Kairana has genuinely dangerous implications for the
future. Because the fallout of the Muzaffarnagar riots a few years in
ago is indeed a move towards ghettoisation in Western UP. Communities
that were once integrated are separating from each other - which is,
of course, just what the BJP wants. A time may well come, unless
action is taken soon, when Muslim and Hindu-majority localities
actually become homogenous in terms of religion,  no-go areas for
people of the other creed.

What we just saw was the harbinger of what will in fact happen unless
UP politics reverses course. Both the BJP and the SP benefit from
polarising voters. The SP needs to keep Muslim voters on its side and
prevent them from defecting to Mayawati - which means they need to
feel insecure, and confined to their own ghettoes.

And the BJP needs to remind Hindus that they are constantly under
threat, and that only the Sangh Parivar is awake to the dangers posed
to Hindus in "their own country".  Shah's party will carry this
message aloft on their trishuls through India's largest state - the
world's fourth-largest democracy - as it prepares for its election.

And in the middle of it all, Narendra Modi will talk serenely about development.

(Mihir Swarup Sharma is a fellow at the Observer Research Foundation.)

II.
http://thewire.in/42647/up-is-not-assam-and-kairana-may-not-be-another-muzaffarnagar/

CRIME

UP is Not Assam, and Kairana May Not be Another Muzaffarnagar

BY GAURAV VIVEK BHATNAGAR ON 14/06/2016

The BJP’s reliance on divisive politics over Kairana may end up
strengthening the BSP.

After its thumping election victory in Assam, where it successfully
managed to play the twin cards of development and polarisation (over
the perceived threat from Bangladeshi migrants), the Bharatiya Janata
Party can be excused for believing the ‘Kairana story’ will allow it
do divide voters on religious lines in Uttar Pradesh in the same way
that it believes the Muzaffarnagar riots did.

But in equating Kairana with Muzaffarnagar, or Uttar Pradesh with
Assam, the party could just be making a huge mistake. It is once again
trying to build up a situation of fear psychosis among the Hindus in
the state by presenting the apparent out-migration of families from
Kairana as one similar to the forced exodus of Hindus from Kashmir.
Several right-leaning channels have been doing stories to build this
argument.

Blinded by the urge to repeat its magical performance of the 2014 Lok
Sabha elections, in which it had won 71 of the 80 seats, what the BJP
is overlooking is the fact that a tirade against the Muslims will
prove counter-productive for the assembly elections due next year, .

At the BJP national executive meet, party president Amit Shah had also
attacked the Akhilesh Yadav government for the way it handled the
situation in Kairana. While ahead of the “year of challenges’’ – 2017
– Shah has been careful in his selection of words and names of
communities while driving home the point, other party leaders have
spoken their hearts out and not left an iota of doubt about where they
stand on the issue.

Many of the party leaders have termed Kairana as a “Kashmir in the
making”, giving the impression that Hindus are being deliberately
driven out of there. At the forefront of this campaign has been BJP MP
Hukum Singh who claimed that 346 families had moved out of the
township as they feared a threat to their lives. The list contains the
names of several persons who are dead or migrated in order to better
their prospects.

In view of Singh’s allegations,however,  the National Human Rights
Commission had on June 9 ordered a probe into the alleged exodus of
Hindus from the area due to fear of criminals belonging to the
minority community. The party state unit announced on June 12 that an
eight-member team, comprising four members of parliament, has been
formed to probe the allegations. Subsequently, at the BJP national
executive in Allahabad too it was announced that a team has been
probed to investigate the issue.

While the issue has been covered at length by several news channels
and it has indeed come to light that many Hindu families have migrated
from Kairana, the reasons have been many.

The issue is more of a law and order problem than a communal one. The
NHRC notice also made a mention of this aspect, when it said:
“According to the complaint dated June 10, 2016, a woman belonging to
Kashyap caste was abducted, gang-raped and killed, yet no action has
been taken by the police against the offenders. Two of the
businessmen, Shankar and Raju, both brothers, were shot dead by the
criminals in broad daylight in the market when they did not pay
protection money…”

Television crews who visited Kairana reported how many of the houses
in several localities like Mohalla Kayasthwada, Jain Mohalla and even
Teachers’ Colony were lying abandoned as their residents had moved
out. Many of them also had sale signs or messages painted on them with
 contact numbers.

Most of the traders in Kairana spoke about ransom calls and notes
becoming more common and police not acting on their complaints. Some
even charged that their farms, shops and properties were being
grabbed, but there was little or no confirmation of this. While a
bullet mark outside the shop of Shiv Kumar and Rajender, both of whom
who ran a successful iron rod business from Panipat Road and were
killed in 2013, still bears testimony to the terror unleashed by gangs
of extortionists, a close reading of the statements of their family
members as also other traders reveals that  the problem lies with the
Akhilesh Yadav government’s poor handling of law and order rather than
of any communal plot.

As a former employee of the brother duo said, the criminals would just
leave behind a slip with the extortion demand and then kill to show
that they meant business. While much of this is true, it is equally
true that most of the Hindu families had left Kairana over a long
period of time and even around 150 Muslim families have moved out of
the township in search greener and safer pastures. Kairana has a few
active gangs which not only extort from Hindus but also Muslims. Two
of these gangs are led by Mukim Kala and Furqan, who are both in jail
right now.

By giving a law and order situation a communal colour, the BJP is
gambling on religious polarisation as a poll strategy. Not
surprisingly, the Kairana discourse is creating a sense of insecurity
among the Muslims in Uttar Pradesh. It is also taking the focus away
from development issues, which the saffron party had earlier described
as its main poll plank.

In the context of UP, it should be remembered that Dalits constitute
about 21% of the population and Muslims about 19%. While one survey in
2014 suggested that about 10% of the state’s Muslims had voted for the
BJP in the general election, the party’s reliance on divisive politics
will not only cost it this  new-found support but also end up
brightening the chances of Mayawati, who this time around is hoping to
be able to do a repeat of 2007 and that too without much of her famed
social engineering.
-- 
Peace Is Doable

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