http://scroll.in/article/811912/nepali-prime-minister-kp-oli-was-once-called-man-of-india-why-has-he-turned-such-a-bitter-critic

INDO-NEPALI TIES

Nepali Prime Minister KP Oli was once called 'Man of India'. Why has
he turned such a bitter critic?

His government is now in a minority after the Prachanda's Communist
Party of Nepal (Maoist-Centre) pulled out of the alliance.

Yesterday · 03:30 pm
Updated Yesterday · 04:28 pm
Special Correspondent

Embattled Nepal Prime Minister KP Oli has indicated that he holds
India responsible for the decision of the Communist Party of Nepal
(Maoist-Centre) to withdraw support to the ruling coalition – a charge
that India vehemently denied. At a conference on national security in
the capital city of Kathmandu, Oli had reportedly said that “India’s
role was primarily behind” the crisis and that his government had been
destabilised “by remote control”

On July 12, the CPN(M-C) announced its decision to pull out of the
coalition government, alleging that the prime minister had failed to
honour past agreements. Oli, who refused to step down even though his
party has only 175 seats in the 601-member Legislature Parliament, now
faces a no-confidence vote. The CPN(M-C), which has 80 seats in the
Parliament, has struck a deal with the Nepal Congress, the main
opposition party.

This is not the first time that Oli has alleged political interference
by India. Though Nepal and India have historically enjoyed good ties
and strong trade relations – ties between the two have hit an all-time
low over the last year or so.

‘Man of India’

However, relations between Oli and India weren’t always this hostile.
Contrary to his current stance, Oli was once portrayed as a “Man of
India”, or pro-India in Nepali politics.
His role in historic Mahakali Treaty (1996) – on equal rights and
joint development of the Mahakali River – between the two countries
was perceived as a sign of loyalty towards the Indian establishment.

Oli was a Cabinet minister in the early 1990s and post 2006 he held
several roles in the government – including a stint as foreign affairs
minister till 2007. During these years, he established a good
relationship with the Indian government.

In 2008, Pushpa Kamal Dahal , widely known as Prachanda, chairman of
the CPN(M-C), became prime minister when Nepal formed its first
Parliament. This was the culmination of a decade-long civil war where
the Maoists, led by Prachanda, had waged a campaign against the ruling
monarchy of Nepal.

Oli was deeply unhappy with Prachanda's victory. As a longstanding and
sharp critic of the Maoist party, Oli, it is believed, used all his
energy to vilify Prachanda and dislodge his government. When Prachanda
attempted to sack Army Chief General Rukmangad Katwal, Oli, political
analysts say, rallied several parties and players to pressurise
President Ram Baran Yadav into blocking Prachanda’s plan. As a result,
Prachanda stepped down as prime minister in May 2009.

Prachanda was known for his anti-India stance and India, on its part,
wanted to tame the former insurgent. Oli purportedly used India’s help
to have Prachanda replaced with Madhav Kumar Nepal as prime minister.

Friends to foes

Things, however, changed with time. Oli and Prachanda entered into an
unlikely alliance in October 2015, when Oli became prime minister.
Prachanda hoped this would help him consolidate his dwindling power,
and Oli would help get his name cleared in several cases dating back
to the civil war.

The two together invoked an anti-India rhetoric after the four-month
blockade in Nepal starting September 2015. Madhesi groups – an ethnic
minority in the country from the plains – had blocked roads leading to
India, demanding adequate representation in the country’s
constitution, which was passed towards the end of that month. Tharus,
another ethnic group, residing in the western plains, also backed the
protest. The blockade caused a shortage of fuel and other supplies,
including supply of relief material shortly after a devastating
earthquake in April that year in Nepal. The government accused India
of supporting the Madhesi protests and having a hand in the blockade,
which India denied.

The Nepal government then amended the constitution in January, but
failed to meet a key demand of the Madhesis and Tharus – that of
redrawing provincial boundaries to form contiguous provinces
comprising only of plains instead of including flatlands and hills in
the same province. This, the minority communities say, is the only way
to ensure they are not discriminated against.

Cracks appear

The cracks in the ruling coalition first came out into the open in
May, when Prachanda announced that he would withdraw support to Oli,
but less than 24 hours later, purportedly under pressure from China,
he decided to continue backing the prime minister.

This time, however, there was no such reconciliation. The CPN(M-C)
said Oli’s party had gone back on a nine-point agreement signed
between the two parties after their reconciliation in May. The
agreement included expediting reconstruction of properties damaged by
the earthquake, building national consensus around the constitution
and initiating processes to withdraw war-era cases against Prachanda’s
party. The CPN(M-C) said Oli had failed on the aforementioned counts.

With these promises broken, Prachanda struck a deal with the Nepal
Congress, which has 196 seats in the Parliament. A seven-point
agreement was reportedly passed between the two, one aspect of which
was a fresh amendment to the constitution based on the demands of
agitating ethnic groups.

Oli, now thoroughly weakened, is looking to keep the anti-India
rhetoric alive by painting Prachanda’s party as a puppet of India –
this, he believes, will help him consolidate his position in the
politically strong hill constituencies of Nepal. If the CPN(M-C) and
Nepal Congress form the new government, Oli, in the role of opposition
leader, is certain to obstruct all its efforts in creating political
consensus for the amendment of the constitution. And without an
amendment, it is nearly impossible to address the demands of the
Madhesis and win their support.


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Peace Is Doable

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