http://blogs.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/talking-terms/europe-in-agony-trumps-triumph-raises-fears-of-the-continent-lurching-rightward-and-swiftly-falling-apart/

Europe In Agony: Trump’s triumph raises fears of the continent
lurching rightward and swiftly falling apart

November 12, 2016, 2:00 AM IST Dileep Padgaonkar in Talking Terms |
Edit Page, US Election 2016, World | TOI

The tremors of the tectonic shift in American politics have rattled
Europe down to its very roots. Like much of the world, it was
convinced that Donald Trump stood not the slimmest chance to move into
the White House. But now that the unthinkable has come to pass it is
at a loss to figure out how to adjust to what a French weekly called
‘Trump-apocalypse’.

Trump’s election comes at a time when the continent has had to contend
with serious problems on multiple fronts. It could do precious little
to arrest, let alone roll back, Russia’s muscle flexing in the Ukraine
and the takeover of Crimea. Add to this the massive influx of
refugees, especially from Syria, jihadi terror attacks, niggardly
economic growth and high levels of unemployment. To boot there is a
pervasive fear that Brexit heralds the unravelling of the European
Union.

Taken together, these factors have triggered a rightward lurch in one
European country after another. Hungary and Poland already have
autocratic, right-wing governments. Austria could well have one soon.
In France, the popularity of Marine Le Pen, leader of the extreme
rightist National Front, is on the ascendant. Ultra-nationalist forces
have reared their head in Germany and even in parts of Scandinavia,
the bastion of European liberalism.

Trump’s victory could give a major boost to such forces. The first
test of their strength will be in France where the presidential
election is due this coming spring. Le Pen shares Trump’s distrust of
Muslim migrants. She is also hostile both to Nato and the European
Union. Sensing that she might well be the main beneficiary of the
outcome of the American poll, leaders of the main conservative and
centrist parties have begun to sing a Trump-like tune.

Trump is only the latest in a series of authoritarian, even demagogic,
leaders who have received massive mandates from the electorate. This
has happened in Russia, Japan, Turkey, the Philippines and in our own
Mother India. If European countries follow suit, one would be well
within one’s right to ask if the trend signals something pretty
sinister: a growing animosity towards the democratic system itself.

Significant in this regard is an opinion poll published in the
influential daily Le Monde just the other day. It reveals a growing
disenchantment with democracy. In 2014, three out of four French
citizens of voting age preferred this system to any other. Today only
two out of three of them do so. What is more, almost 20% of the
population of voting age favours an authoritarian regime.

The reasons, according to the survey, are primarily related to the
disconnect between the ruling elites and the ruled. Time and again,
the former have demonstrated their incompetence to address economic
and social crises that have afflicted France for over four decades:
the negative fallout of a no-holds-barred globalisation, the
malfunctioning of the European Union and, not least, of the menace of
jihadi terrorism. Nor has the establishment sought to assuage an acute
and growing fear of the French viz the emasculation of what they
cherish above all else: their national and cultural identity.

Another spectre looms over Europe in the wake of Trump’s triumph: the
spectre of the swift collapse of the Atlantic Alliance. Since the end
of World War II, America has guaranteed Europe’s military security.
Both have had a vested interest in each other’s economic prosperity.
The alliance was rooted in their shared commitment to democracy,
defence of human rights and the market economy.

But the president-elect now wants Europe to pay America for the
military protection and to bear the consequences of the trade war he
is keen to wage against Mexico, China and Japan. Clearly, the bulwark
of ‘shared values’ has begun to wobble. And it will well-nigh be
shattered should the new tenant in the White House embrace Europe’s
bête noire: Vladimir Putin.

All of this has led some European commentators – such as Clemens
Wergin of the German daily Die Welt – to ask whether Trump’s ‘America
First’ policies foreshadow the end of the West as the world has known
it for seven decades. As of now this terrifying question appears to
have numbed the reflexes of European leaders.


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Peace Is Doable

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