http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/opinion/interviews/demonetisation-in-a-booming-economy-is-like-shooting-at-the-tyres-of-a-racing-car-jean-drze/articleshow/55547554.cms?from=mdr

Demonetisation in a booming economy is like shooting at the tyres of a
racing car: Jean Drèze

By Vasudha Venugopal, ET Bureau | Nov 22, 2016, 11.18 AM IST

The debate on monetization is vitiated by delusional hopes of the
impact it might have on the black economy, says Drèze.

"Demonetisation in a booming economy is like shooting at the tyres of
a racing car," says development economist Jean Drèze . A leading
advocate of welfare policies, Drèze who was a member of the National
Advisory Council during the UPA regime, tells ET that the sudden move
to demonetize high-value currency notes has created a scary situation
for people who live on the margin of subsistence, and that opposition
parties may well be the real targets of the move. Edited excerpts:

How do you view this sudden demonetisation measure?
The debate on monetisation is vitiated by delusional hopes of the
impact it might have on the black economy. Tall claims are being made
about the ability of demonetisation to “flush out black money”, “crush
the shadow economy”, or achieve “an all-out assault on the parallel
economy”, to quote just a few expressions used by the government and
its admirers. These claims are based on what might be called the hoard
theory of black money. In this view, black money is a gigantic hoard
of illegal income that keeps growing and needs to be flushed out. This
is wrong. Crooks know better than to keep their illegal income in
suitcases of cash. Instead, they spend, invest, launder or convert it
in one way or another. They use it to buy property, fund lavish
weddings, shop in Dubai or oblige politicians. Of course, at any point
of time some black money is likely to be lying in jars or
pillow-cases. But going after that residual liquidity is like mopping
the floor under the shower. Thinking of it as a decisive strike on the
black economy is a severe delusion. This point has already been made
by many eminent economists, but the government seems to prefer its own
echo chamber.

Snipped


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