[Cash recovery has been less than 6% of the undisclosed income seized
from tax evaders, shows an HT analysis of data from tax raids from
financial year 2012-13 onwards.
...
Tax data seem to bear that out. For instance, in income-tax probes
from April 1 to October 31 this financial year, black-money holders
accepted having stashed Rs 7,700 crore worth of ill-gotten assets. The
cash component was merely Rs 408 crore or 5%. The remaining was
invested in business, stocks, real estate and benami bank accounts,
the data show. Financial year 2015-16 saw the highest black-money
detection in the period, of which 6% was cash.
The actual proportion of cash would be even lower as the tax
department’s classification of seizures considers currency and
ornaments as one unit.]

http://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/cash-has-only-6-share-in-black-money-seizures-reveals-income-tax-data/story-JfFuTiJYtxKwJQhz2ApxlL.html

Why govt’s demonetisation move may fail to win the war against black money

Appu Esthose Suresh, Hindustan Times, New Delhi |  Updated: Nov 12,
2016 09:01 IST

The demonetisation of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 banknotes is unlikely to
help the government suck out black money from the economy as hoarders
keep a tiny portion of their ill-gotten wealth in hard cash, going by
income-tax data.

***Cash recovery has been less than 6% of the undisclosed income
seized from tax evaders, shows an HT analysis of data from tax raids
from financial year 2012-13 onwards.*** [Emphasis added.]

In a move that received a mixed response, Prime Minister Narendra Modi
announced on Tuesday night a recall of the two currency denominations
and set a 50-day deadline to exchange old banknotes with new at banks
and post offices. Critics argued the move would do little to unearth
black money hoarded by the rich who park their cash in different asset
classes than keep it idle.

***Tax data seem to bear that out. For instance, in income-tax probes
from April 1 to October 31 this financial year, black-money holders
accepted having stashed Rs 7,700 crore worth of ill-gotten assets. The
cash component was merely Rs 408 crore or 5%. The remaining was
invested in business, stocks, real estate and benami bank accounts,
the data show. Financial year 2015-16 saw the highest black-money
detection in the period, of which 6% was cash.*** [Emphasis added.]

***The actual proportion of cash would be even lower as the tax
department’s classification of seizures considers currency and
ornaments as one unit.*** [Emphasis added.]

One of the reasons why tax evaders and corrupt public officials prefer
not to stash cash could be the sheer logistics of it. Rs 1 crore in Rs
1,000 notes, if stashed evenly, occupies one sq ft and weighs 13 kg.
Rs 100 crore would weigh 1.3 tons and occupy an area the size of a
three-wheeler goods carrier, making the movement of cash without
detection difficult.

Ill-gotten wealth mostly enters the formal economic system through
real estate and shell companies, a finance ministry source said.

HT reported on Thursday the currency switch could result in hardship
for low-income groups as only 28%-32% of Indians have access to
financial institutions, including post offices and banks. Further, 33%
of the 138,626 bank branches are in 60 Tier-1 and Tier-2 cities,
leaving rural India at a huge disadvantage.
-- 
Peace Is Doable

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