*ToxicsWatch Alliance (TWA)*

*Press Release*



*USA should ratify Doha Amendment to Kyoto Protocol for pre-2020, $500
million to Green Climate Fund (GCF) for post-2020 not enough *



*Ratification of mandatory Doha Amendment for pre 2020 period is a logical
necessity, voluntary Paris Agreement is just a post dated cheque  *



New Delhi: Towards the fag end of his tenure and ahead of the next
Conference of the Parties (COP 23) to Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change (UNFCCC) in November, 2017 in Germany, US President Barack
Obama has transferred $500 million to the Green Climate Fund (GCF), a small
mechanism for climate change adaptation and renewable energy projects in
the Global South. This step is significant given the fact that incoming
President Donald Trump has promised to defund international climate action.


Countries which are genuinely committed to preventing climate crisis should
join efforts to ensure that nuclear power is kept out of the $ 100
billion/year Green Climate Fund (GCF), a very small player in climate
finance established five years ago in Cancun, Mexico. After getting funds
from the US President, GCF should be made to create an accountability
mechanism and persuaded to adopt an information disclosure policy.


The fact remains that Kyoto Protocol is the only international treaty on
climate till 2020 attempts to implement the objective of the UNFCCC to
fight global warming by reducing greenhouse gas concentrations in the
atmosphere to "a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic
interference with the climate system" (Art. 2). The Protocol is based on
the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities: it puts the
obligation to reduce current emissions on developed countries on the basis
that they are historically responsible for the current levels of greenhouse
gases in the atmosphere. The Protocol’s first commitment period started in
2008 and ended in 2012.  A second commitment period was agreed on in 2012,
known as the Doha Amendment to the protocol for post 2012 period. It is
noteworthy that submit that USA has neither ratified the first commitment
period nor the second commitment period of the Protocol.


But the pre-2020 climate treaty has not come into force as yet. For
pre-2020 period, out of 144 states whose ratification needed for its entry
into force, so far only 75 countries have ratified Doha Amendment to Kyoto
Protocol. Out of 37 the countries with binding commitments, only 7 have
ratified. This demonstrates the sincerity towards climate action. USA
remains a non-party to Kyoto Protocol of the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) which was adopted in May, 1992. Neither
Doha Amendment to the Kyoto Protocol or Paris Agreement guarantee the
safety of the world's most vulnerable but former is better than the latter
for it makes provision for binding commitments and unlike the latter.


Kyoto Protocol succeeded in adopting precautionary approach but the Paris
Agreement fails because it does not satisfy the provisions of Article 3.3
of UNFCCC. It reads: “The Parties should take precautionary measures to
anticipate, prevent or minimize the causes of climate change and mitigate
its adverse effects. Where there are threats of serious or irreversible
damage, lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason
for postponing such measures, taking into account that policies and
measures to deal with climate change should be cost-effective so as to
ensure global benefits at the lowest possible cost. To achieve this, such
policies and measures should take into account different socio-economic
contexts, be comprehensive, cover all relevant sources, sinks and
reservoirs of greenhouse gases and adaptation, and comprise all economic
sectors. Efforts to address climate change may be carried out cooperatively
by interested Parties.”

Civil society groups failed to support a small country like Nicaragua in
the Paris Climate Conference which raised its flag questioning the
autocratic change introduced in the final draft at the last moment (from
‘shall’ to ‘should’) while adopting the 12 page long Paris Agreement dated
12th December, 2015. The Agreement being a legal text required application
of basic legal knowledge by negotiators from India. In law schools across
the globe students are taught that “shall” is “mandatory”. The drafters of
legal documents are trained into the use of “shall” as it conveys “a duty
to” be performed. It conveys obligation.



Had “shall” been not important 76 pages of Words and Phrases, a multi
volume work of legal definitions would not have been devoted to case laws
around it. The word “should” does not express a legal obligation; the word
“shall” expresses a legal requirement.



Initially, Article 4.4 of the Draft Agreement read: “Developed country
Parties shall continue taking the lead by undertaking economy-wide absolute
emission reduction targets. Developing country Parties should continue
enhancing their mitigation efforts…” This formulation aptly captured the
historic responsibilities of rich countries and differentiated
responsibilities of poorer countries. But disregarding the voice of a
Central American country like Nicaragua which is a member of Group of 77,
succumbing to the USA’s demand shall was substituted with should. India’s
decision to maintain a deafening silence when the voice of a fellow member
from G77 was disregarded is contrary to its stature. India should revise
its position at CoP-23.



There was a total failure in comprehending that States have a fundamental
responsibility to preserve resources like the land, water, and air, which
belongs to the future generations. Its responsibility “predates statutory
law”. So far most civil society groups have failed to highlight it.



As chairperson of the Group of 134 developing countries (G77 and China
Group), Nozipho Joyce Mxakato-Diseko revealed that Intended Nationally
Determined Contribution (INDC) for mitigating climate *change is “a
perversion of the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities”
because it undermines the “legal obligation in accordance with historical
responsibilities for finance” *accepted under the bullying influence of USA
and its allies.

It is quite outrageous that INDCs are not legally enforceable. The
paragraph 52 of the Decision of CoP 21 makes a categorical declaration that
Article 8 of the Paris Agreement which deals with the issue of addressing
loss and damage associated with the adverse effects of climate change “does
not involve or provide a basis for any liability or compensation.”

Although such announcement sets a regressive precedent in international
negotiations, given the fact Paris Agreement is not legally binding by
implication, this attempt to escape liability for loss and damage appears
unsuccessful. The 12 page long Paris Agreement dated 12th December, 2015
adopted by the countries that are Parties to UNFCCC, is an articulation of
how ‘climate-inequality’ shapes the text of an international treaty
supposedly aimed at climate justice and for the protection of Mother Earth.

It may be recalled that the false solution of carbon trade and off setting
was introduced in the Kyoto Protocol at the behest of USA which had made it
a pre-condition to sign the Protocol. Notably, after diluting the Protocol
USA unsigned the Protocol. Unmindful of the fraud and corruption ridden
carbon trade projects, instead of discarding this fake remedy the Paris
Agreement makes way for global carbon market through Article 6 of the
Agreement. It makes space for “voluntary contribution” among countries in
the implementation of their emission reduction targets and “to allow for
higher ambition in their mitigation and adaptation actions”.

It creates a new class of carbon assets namely, “internationally
transferred mitigation outcomes” (ITMOs) for trading and “support for
results- based payments to implement policy approaches”. This new mechanism
of UNFCCC has been incarnated as Sustainable Development Mechanism (SDM) as
main mitigation tool in place of pre-existing Clean Development Mechanism
(CDM) and Joint Implementation post-2020.

What is charitably referred to as “dangerous anthropogenic interference
with the climate system” in the text of the UNFCCC is in reality an act of
industrial warfare against climate and its allied ecosystem whose impact
has become glaring. It is quite surprising that green house gas emissions
from the war industry which is reaping unprecedented profits amidst
conflicts around natural resources has not been included as one of the key
sources of climate crisis.

It is apparent that world governments have adopted Ostrich policy with
regard to climate crisis under the influence of undemocratic economic
organizations. Richer countries became prosperous and dominant due to
carbon emission since 1750. Between 1850 and 2011, USA, European Union,
Russian Federation, Japan and others contributed over 2/3rd of total global
emissions. Notably, developed countries have been outsourcing their
carbon-intensive industries to developing countries like India.

Admittedly, the estimated aggregate greenhouse gas emission levels in 2025
and 2030 resulting from INDCs do not fall within least –cost 2 degree C but
rather lead to a projected level of 55 gigatons in 2030. The Decision
underlines that in order to hold the increase in global average temperature
to below 2 degree C above pre-industrial levels there is a need for
reduction of emissions to 40 gigatons.

It is quite bizarre that while almost all the countries have stated their
commitments to reduce emissions from 1990 levels, USA has decided to count
its reduction in emission using 2005 as the base year. Thus, its commitment
of reduction is only 14% instead of 28% as has been claimed quite
deceptively.

It has been estimated that India’s current per capita income is close US’s
per capita income in the 1890s. Like most developed countries where coal
remains unavoidable, India continues to argue that it will continue to use
coal as its primary source in its energy mix. Meanwhile, in a remarkable
move, the share of renewables in India has increased over 6 times between
2002 and 2015. India has also announced that it will add 175 GW of
renewable energy capacity (almost equal to the total installed power
generation of Germany) by 2022. This will lead to avoidance of burning over
300 million tonnes of coal.

India cannot afford to be complacent citing emissions by top polluters
given the fact emissions of top 10 % of urban Indians is about 27 times the
emissions of the bottom 10 % of rural India that the carbon footprint of 1
% of the India’s wealthy class is being veiled by 823 million poor class of
the country. Saving climate from poisonous market interference

Paris Agreement panders to the whims and fancies of commercial czars who
are obstinately commodifying and monetizing nature and interfering with
climate and allied ecosystems. The natural resource dependent communities
are facing unprecedented deprivation. This has created an episteme that
blindly bulldozes technical and market solutions as “real” solutions.
Meanwhile, World Bank Group feigned wished “to see the extent and detail on
carbon markets” included in the Paris Agreement that paves the way for
“Carbon Markets 2.0”.

A new, non-market, climate finance mechanism is needed to support the
formalization and expansion of mitigation and technology transfer as a
genuine solution to combat the propensity of promoting free trade in carbon
at the cost of climate system. Climate talks remain relevant because fate
of the communities and global order is linked to the decision by the
richest countries to undergo mandatory fossil fuel de-addiction. But the
Agreement fails to make top polluters liable for “dangerous anthropogenic
interference” and for endangering human ecosystem which is the substratum
for the existence of living beings.

In effect, despite the brave effort of a G77 country, Paris conference
failed to save climate and intra-generational and inter-generational equity
from the banks and markets that threaten our planet by integrating carbon
pricing policies in all sectors of economy. It failed to make ratification
of Doha amendment 2012 to Kyoto Protocol, 1997 developed under the UNFCCC’s
charter covering 2012-2020 time span a priority.

In such a scenario, even at this late stage India should take ethical
leadership by declaring carbon trading as a fake solution and by choosing
not “to pursue the reckless and environmentally harmful path to
development” that the developed countries have taken so far. It should have
sought early ratification of the Doha Amendment to the Protocol which is
the international law till 2020. But this law has not entered into force as
yet. This exposes the hollowness of the claims about leading “nearly 200
nations to the most ambitious agreement in history to fight climate change”
made by President Barack Obama in his last State of the Union address in
front of the US Congress. The failure to apply “public trust doctrine” for
safeguarding climate system is quite evident.

India must combat the propaganda of developed countries which have
unleashed an information war to submerge the primacy of Doha Amendment, the
only existing international climate treaty at least till 2020.



There is a logical compulsion to undertake climate action to prevent
irreversible global changes in the pre-2020 and post-2020 period. India
must explore the remedial nature of the proposed solutions for combating
climate crisis instead of falling into the tarp of false solutions.



Ahead of the next Conference of the Parties (COP 23) from 6 to 17 November,
2017 in Bonn, Germany, under the Presidency of Fiji, India and other
affected countries should take recourse to “long memories” to mobilize G-77
countries to put limits on ungovernable national and transnational business
enterprises by adopting principles that account for the imminent danger to
the very substratum of human existence.

It is evident that the dominant economic and political ideology has
constrained the actions needed to strengthen the provisions on mitigation
and in dealing with the impacts of climate crisis. Most donor driven civil
society groups and a section of media appear complicit with this ideology.
As a consequence almost all visible climate-related activities end up being
hand in glove with status quo that prefers to remain tight-lipped about Doha
Amendment, carbon trade and false climate solutions.



There is a logical compulsion to seek ratification of mandatory Doha
Amendment for the pre 2020 period in right earnest, voluntary Paris
Agreement is just a post dated cheque.



*For Details*: Gopal Krishna, ToxicsWatch Alliance (TWA), Mb: 9818089660,
08227816731, E-mail: [email protected], Web: www.toxicswatch.org

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