[Sadly, he [i.e. Modi] has not delivered. So voters either don’t know
his record or they voted for BJP for quite different reasons.
What is the prime minister’s record on development and governance? In
three years of BJP rule at the Centre, GDP has grown by 7.4% on
average (if you accept the method of calculating growth brought in by
the Modi government). The record of UPA was 7.8% in its first 5 years,
7.5% in the next 5 years, and 7.65% over 10 years. UPA achieved these
figures despite the 2008 financial crisis and dipping growth in
2011-13. It also recorded rates of 9.3% in 2005 and 2006 and 10.3% in
2010 – Modi has come nowhere close.]

http://blogs.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/toi-edit-page/not-much-vikas-did-the-prime-ministers-record-on-development-and-governance-impress-up-voters/


Not much vikas: Did the prime minister’s record on development and
governance impress UP voters?
March 25, 2017, 2:00 AM IST Kanti Bajpai in TOI Edit Page

Whatever else won UP for BJP it wasn’t development and good
governance. Prime Minister Narendra Modi came to office ostensibly on
a plank of economic and administrative ‘acche din’. ***Sadly, he has
not delivered. So voters either don’t know his record or they voted
for BJP for quite different reasons.*** [Emphasis added.]

***What is the prime minister’s record on development and governance?
In three years of BJP rule at the Centre, GDP has grown by 7.4% on
average (if you accept the method of calculating growth brought in by
the Modi government). The record of UPA was 7.8% in its first 5 years,
7.5% in the next 5 years, and 7.65% over 10 years. UPA achieved these
figures despite the 2008 financial crisis and dipping growth in
2011-13. It also recorded rates of 9.3% in 2005 and 2006 and 10.3% in
2010 – Modi has come nowhere close.
Attracting FDI is supposed to be a great success story for the BJP
government. In 10 years of the UPA government, FDI as a proportion of
GDP averaged 1.86%. This is after the 0.76% of the Vajpayee years.
Over the past three years, the NDA government has averaged 1.83% –
hardly a breathtaking pace.*** [Emphasis added.]

The prime minister promised to ‘Make in India’. Has manufacturing
boomed and produced jobs for the tens of millions entering the labour
market? The figures for both are not that easy to access – which
raises questions of its own. But no one would say that there has been
much improvement.

Even before demonetisation, it was clear that manufacturing was
stagnant. If you go to the Make in India page, you will read a lot
about all the initiatives of the government, but you won’t find
figures on manufacturing growth. On the other hand, RBI figures reveal
that in 2015-16, manufacturing actually shrank, to the tune of 3.7%.
As for jobs, 1.35 lakh jobs were created in 2015 – also the lowest in
7 years. Again, there are no figures available for 2016, as far as i
can tell.

The one thing i credited Modi with when he came to power was his
bluntness on sanitation. Here was a prime minister willing to talk
about an almost taboo subject, especially open defecation, and the
horrible state of Ganga. After that brave start, what’s the record?

The government claims that a lot of new toilets have been built. Under
UPA-II, the Comptroller and Auditor General reported that 16 states
exaggerated the figures on individual household toilets, by 190%.
There is no reason to suppose that reporting has improved. In the
meantime, bafflingly, funding to the public education campaign on open
defecation and overall funding to Swachh Bharat has been reduced. Over
half of India still defecates publicly.

On Ganga, the government allocated Rs 20,000 crore in its first year,
20 times more than all the spending on the river since 1985. No one
seriously claims anything has been achieved – hardly surprising if you
put Uma Bharti, the great administrator, in charge.
If development remains in the doldrums, has governance improved?
Cronyism involving senior ministers and high officials at the Centre
seems to have reduced. That is probably all that can be said. On the
other hand, the Vyapam scam in Madhya Pradesh, under a BJP government,
has seldom excited the Modi government’s attention. Governing through
secretaries to the government of India is the prime minister’s
trademark. It has not been a success, and has alienated senior members
of BJP and the joint secretaries (who everyone knows are the
workhorses of administration).

If demonetisation is anything to go by, the BJP government has a lot
to learn about governance. Whatever it achieved, notebandi made
absolutely no impact on black money. And what does it say about good
governance to appoint as chief minister of UP one of the most
communally polarising figures ever in the state’s history?

The prime minister is a formidable politician and election campaigner.
He could do a lot for India. Unfortunately, he rode the tiger of
divisive politics to power and now he cannot dismount.

Poor old UP, my ancestral state, and poor old India. Not much vikas ahead.

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Peace Is Doable

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