https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2017-06/news/ban-talks-advance-treaty-draft

Ban Talks Advance With Treaty Draft

June 2017

By Alicia Sanders-Zakre

The first draft of a landmark treaty to prohibit nuclear weapons,
released May 22, set the stage for pivotal efforts to conclude a
treaty document by the July 7 deadline established by the UN General
Assembly.

The draft by Elayne Whyte Gómez, Costa Rica’s ambassador to the UN in
Geneva and president of the negotiating conference on the ban treaty,
reflects the areas of broad agreement during the first round of
negotiations in March at the United Nations in New York. It leaves out
several controversial proposals that states will likely debate when
talks resume June 15.

A computer displays the symbol of the International Campaign to
Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN) at the UN Conference to negotiate a
nuclear weapons prohibition treaty in New York March 31. (Photo
credit: Manuel Elias/UN Photo)A computer displays the symbol of the
International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN) at the UN
Conference to negotiate a nuclear weapons prohibition treaty in New
York March 31. (Photo credit: Manuel Elias/UN Photo)The envisioned
treaty reflects an historic effort to shift international norms
against the acquisition, possession, and potential use of nuclear
weapons. The international effort is pressed by non-nuclear-weapons
states and rejected by nuclear-armed countries that see the ban as
impractical and potentially destabilizing if it undermines nuclear
deterrence.

The initiative is driven by growing recognition of the catastrophic
humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapons, the rising risk of
accidental or intentional nuclear use, and the frustration of many
non-nuclear-weapon states at the slow pace of nuclear disarmament. The
pace of disarmament was a critical point of contention at the May 2-12
meeting of preparatory committee for the 2020 nuclear Nonproliferation
Treaty (NPT) review conference, where many states alleged that
nuclear-weapons states have failed to fulfill their NPT Article VI
obligation to pursue negotiations in good faith towards complete
disarmament.

Following the recommendation of the last of three open-ended working
groups on disarmament, the UN General Assembly First Committee on
disarmament voted in October 2016 to begin negotiations on a treaty
prohibiting nuclear weapons (see ACT, November 2016). During the last
week of March, about 130 non-nuclear-weapon states engaged in the
first round of negotiations (see ACT, May 2017).

In March, states agreed on many of the prohibitions in the draft,
including on the acquisition, possession, stockpiling, use and
transfer of nuclear weapons, as well as on assistance with any
prohibited activities. The prohibition on testing was the most
controversial element included in the draft text, in part because of
debate over whether it might inadvertently undermine the existing
Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT). Other contested prohibitions—on
the threat of use of nuclear weapons, as well as on transit and
financing—were left out pending further negotiations.

The text does not call for states-parties to adopt the stricter
verification requirements embodied in the Inter-national Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA) Additional Protocol which some states, such as Sweden
and Switzerland, advocated for in March.

While the draft treaty did outline verification provisions for states
that will have disarmed before the treaty’s entry into force, the
draft treaty itself did not clearly describe a path to accession for
nuclear-weapons states after it enters into force.

Verification of disarmament by former nuclear-weapons states that do
so before the treaty’s entry into force will be determined by an
agreement between the state and the IAEA. This clause only pertains to
states that possessed nuclear weapons after 2001, thereby exempting
several post-Soviet states, including Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan,
which dismantled their arsenals before that date.

In a so called non-paper, Whyte Gomez identifies a path for accession
of nuclear weapons states to the treaty following the model of South
Africa’s accession to the NPT; nuclear weapons states could dismantle
their nuclear arsenals and then sign the treaty, accepting
verification provisions under the treaty.

Ban treaty advocates hailed the draft as a clear and strong basis for
a nuclear-weapons prohibition but treaty skeptics raised questions
about the text’s uncertain relationship to existing nonproliferation
treaties. In an effort to dispel concerns that the new treaty will
contradict the NPT, the draft text declares that the ban treaty will
not influence the “rights and obligations” of states under the NPT.

However, some experts claim the NPT allows for temporary and limited
nuclear possession, and thus a treaty prohibiting nuclear weapons
would inherently infringe upon the NPT rights of nuclear-weapons
states. Ban advocates counter that the NPT does not allow for the
indefinite possession of nuclear weapons and therefore the two
treaties are compatible.

Some are concerned that the prohibition of testing of nuclear weapons
in the draft text does not include a reference to the CTBT’s
International Monitoring System (IMS), a global network of sensors
which detect nuclear explosions. Duplicating language from the CTBT,
which bans nuclear testing, without referencing the IMS could
undermine that treaty, they argue.

Concerns and criticisms will be aired when negotiators take up the
draft text in the second round of negotiations. According to a
timetable circulated in late March, the first two days will be
dedicated to a general discussion of the draft. During the following
week, states will examine the text thematically, with separate
negotiating sessions devoted to the preamble, positive obligations,
core prohibitions, implementation and institutional arrangements and
universality and final provisions. Additional time is reserved for
consultations. On June 23, states will determine the organization of
the remainder of the negotiations.

The United States, along with most NATO allies, and other
nuclear-weapons states are expected to continue to boycott the
proceedings.

“Almost all the nuclear armed states put pressure on smaller countries
to not participate, to not attend, and there will be even more
pressure when the time for signing the treaty comes,” said Beatrice
Fihn, executive director of the International Campaign to Abolish
Nuclear Weapons, in a May 16 interview with Arms Control Today. “I
think that is going to continue. It’s not going to get easier for us.
But I don’t think it’s going to get easier for them to ignore the
treaty either. It’s moving forward whether or not they like it.”

Draft Convention on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons: Key Elements

Preamble

The preamble references the humanitarian consequences of nuclear
weapons use, the suffering of victims of nuclear use and testing,
international and humanitarian law, the UN Charter, the nuclear
Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT), and the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty.

Article 1: Core Prohibitions

Article 1 prohibits acquisition, possession, stockpiling, use,
transfer, testing, stationing, installment, and deployment of nuclear
weapons and assistance with prohibited activities. The draft text does
not include prohibitions on threat of use, transit, and financing of
nuclear weapons, but states will debate whether to include them during
the final round of negotiations.

Article 3 and Annex: Safeguards

Article 3 and the annex state that safeguards should be the same as
required in connection with the NPT. States are not required to ratify
an additional protocol to their safeguards agreement.

Article 4: Verification

Article 4 pertains to states-parties that had nuclear weapons after
2001 but will have eliminated them before the prohibition treaty
enters into force. These states must conclude an agreement with the
International Atomic Energy Agency to verify the elimination of their
arsenals. This clause does not cover Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine,
the former Soviet states that eliminated their arsenals before 2001,
or states possessing nuclear weapons after the treaty’s entry into
force.

Article 5: Other Disarmament Provisions

Article 5 suggests that other effective measures relating to nuclear
disarm­ament that are not covered by Article 4 be considered in future
meetings of states-parties or review conferences.

Article 6: Victim Assistance

Article 6 asserts that states-parties “in a position to do so” should
provide assistance to individual victims of nuclear testing or use on
their territory and that states that were victims of nuclear use or
testing by other states should also receive assistance. Environmental
remediation is included.

Article 9: Meeting of States-Parties

The first meeting of states-parties will take place within one year of
entry into force and biennially thereafter.

Article 16: Entry Into Force

The ban treaty will enter into force 90 days after ratification by the
40th state.

Article 17: Reservations

No reservations to articles are allowed.

Article 18: Withdrawal

The treaty is of “unlimited duration,” but withdrawal is permitted and
would take effect three months after the notice is received.

Article 19: Relationship to NPT

Article 19 states that the prohibition treaty does not impact the
“rights and obligations” of states-parties to the NPT.

Nonpaper: Accession of Nuclear-Weapon States to the Treaty

The nonpaper submitted by Ambassador Elayne Whyte Gómez, who authored
the draft treaty, presents a model for nuclear-weapon states to accede
to the treaty: disarm first and then sign the treaty, referenced
during the first round of negotiations as “South Africa-plus” because
it is modeled after South Africa’s accession to the NPT.

Posted: May 31, 2017




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