At the start of 2017 nine states—the United States, Russia, the United
Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, Israel and North Korea—possessed
approximately 4150 operationally deployed nuclear weapons. If all nuclear
warheads are counted, these states together possessed a total of
approximately 14 935 nuclear weapons, compared with 15 395 in early 2016
(see table 1).
...
The decrease in the overall number of nuclear weapons in the world is due
mainly to Russia and the USA—which together still account for nearly 93 per
cent of all nuclear weapons—further reducing their inventories of strategic
nuclear weapons. However, despite the implementation of the bilateral
Treaty on Measures for the Further Reduction and Limitation of Strategic
Offensive Arms (New START) since 2011, the pace of their reductions remains
slow. At the same time, both Russia and the USA have extensive and
expensive nuclear modernization programmes under way. The USA, for example,
plans to spend $400 billion in 2017–26 on maintaining and comprehensively
updating its nuclear forces. Some estimates suggest that the USA’s nuclear
weapon modernization programme may cost up to $1 trillion over the next 30
years.

‘The projected increases in US spending are not unexpected,’ said SIPRI
Associate Senior Fellow Hans Kristensen.* ‘The current US administration is
continuing the ambitious nuclear modernization plans set out by President
Barack Obama.’

The other nuclear weapon-possessing states have much smaller arsenals, but
have all either begun to deploy new nuclear weapon delivery systems or
announced their intention to do so. China has started a long-term
modernization programme focused on making qualitative improvements to its
nuclear arsenal. India and Pakistan are both expanding their nuclear weapon
stockpiles and developing their missile delivery capabilities. North Korea
is estimated to have enough fissile material for approximately 10–20
nuclear warheads, which is an increase on the estimates for previous years.
North Korea carried out an unprecedented number of flight tests of
different missile systems in 2016 with mixed results.

‘Despite the recent progress in international talks on a treaty banning
nuclear weapons, long-term modernization programmes are under way in all
nine states,’ said SIPRI Senior Researcher Shannon Kile. ‘This suggests
that none of these states will be prepared to give up their nuclear
arsenals for the foreseeable future.’

(Excerpted from: 'Global nuclear weapons: modernization remains the
priority', July 3, at <
https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2017/global-nuclear-weapons-modernization-remains-priority
>.)

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Peace Is Doable

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