<<Far more significant, however, is the ominous ring about the editorial
comment by the Global Times (at sl. no. III below), an official newspaper
of the Chinese Communist Party, in the subject context.>>

Things have since turned even more ominous.
Now, China has opted to issue an open threat to India, pretty much shorn of
diplomatese.

<<Defense ministry spokesman Col. Wu Qian reiterated China's demand that
Indian troops pull back from the Doklam Plateau, an area also claimed by
Indian ally Bhutan where Chinese teams had been building a road toward
India's border.
"China's determination and resolve to safeguard national security and
sovereignty is unshakable," Wu said at a news conference to mark the
upcoming 90th anniversary of the founding of the People's Liberation Army.
"***Here, I wish to remind India, do not push your luck and cling to any
fantasies*** [emphasis added]," Wu said. "The 90-year history of the PLA
has proved but one thing: that our military means to secure our country's
sovereignty and territorial integrity has strengthened and our
determination has never wavered. It is easier to shake a mountain than to
shake the PLA.">>

The situation, admittedly, has turned even trickier.]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/china-india-must-pull-back-troops-amid-border-043207055.html?.tsrc=daily_mail&uh_test=2_11

China warns India of its 'resolve' amid border standoff

Associated Press

CHRISTOPHER BODEEN

Associated PressJuly 24, 2017

China's defense ministry spokesman Wu Qian speaks during a news conference
at the State Council Information Office in Beijing, Monday, July 24, 2017.
China is warning India not to underestimate its determination to safeguard
what it considers sovereign territory amid an ongoing standoff between the
two neighbors over a contested region high in the Himalayas. (AP Photo/Andy
Wong)

BEIJING (AP) — China on Monday warned India not to "push your luck" by
underestimating Beijing's determination to safeguard what it considers
sovereign Chinese territory, amid an ongoing standoff between the two
neighbors over a contested region high in the Himalayas.

Defense ministry spokesman Col. Wu Qian reiterated China's demand that
Indian troops pull back from the Doklam Plateau, an area also claimed by
Indian ally Bhutan where Chinese teams had been building a road toward
India's border.

"China's determination and resolve to safeguard national security and
sovereignty is unshakable," Wu said at a news conference to mark the
upcoming 90th anniversary of the founding of the People's Liberation Army.

"Here, I wish to remind India, do not push your luck and cling to any
fantasies," Wu said. "The 90-year history of the PLA has proved but one
thing: that our military means to secure our country's sovereignty and
territorial integrity has strengthened and our determination has never
wavered. It is easier to shake a mountain than to shake the PLA."

India has called for both sides to withdraw forces and a negotiated
settlement to the standoff that began last month after Chinese troops began
working to extend southward the road from Yadong in Tibet.

While the sides have exercised restraint thus far, heated rhetoric in both
Beijing and New Delhi has raised concern over a renewal of hostilities that
resulted in a brief but bloody frontier war between the sides in 1962. The
nuclear-armed neighbors share a 3,500-kilometer (2,174-mile) border, much
of it contested, and China acts as a key ally and arms supplier for India's
archrival, Pakistan.

The crisis is expected to be discussed when Indian National Security
Adviser Ajit Doval visits Beijing at the end of this week for a security
forum under the BRICS group of large developing nations that includes
Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.

The standoff has been fueled in part by a muscular and increasingly
vociferous nationalism among both the Chinese and Indian publics against
the background of competition for dominance between the two for influence
in Asia.

India has felt threatened by the growing presence of China's navy,
diplomats and state-backed companies in the Indian Ocean region, while
Beijing resents closer relations between New Delhi and Washington. India's
decision not to participate in a massive Chinese-funded push to develop
infrastructure and transport routes in Asia, known as the "One Belt, One
Road" initiative, has also rankled Beijing.

Keeping up a weeks-long propaganda assault on New Delhi, official Chinese
newspapers on Monday again labeled India's actions on the Doklam Plateau as
illegal and threatening to China's security.

"Even if the standoff is resolved diplomatically, it has already crippled
the bilateral relationship. This will have a long-term impact on
Sino-Indian ties," Chinese India scholar Long Xingchun wrote in the Global
Times, a nationalistic tabloid published by the ruling Communist Party.

END


[A discerning reader can hardly miss the striking difference between the
presentations (at sl. no. I & II below) of the same speech by the Indian
External Affairs Minister in the parliament by two Indian national
newspapers.
Be it as it may, Swaraj's speech is definitely a climb down, at least
partially, as compared to the Rambo-like boast of the Indian CoAS (see,
e.g.: <
http://www.huffingtonpost.in/2017/06/08/indian-army-is-fully-ready-for-a-two-and-a-half-front-war-says_a_22131995/>),
quite unnecessary at that point of time, as regards India's capabilities to
fight a two-and-a-half front war simultaneously, which triggered off an
unending round of vituperative verbal exchanges. He'd, quite significantly,
later be duly backed up by the India's part-time Defence Minister (see: <
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/not-the-1962-india-anymore-jaitleys-response-to-china/articleshow/59387725.cms
>).

Far more significant, however, is the ominous ring about the editorial
comment by the Global Times (at sl. no. III below), an official newspaper
of the Chinese Communist Party, in the subject context.]

I/IV.
http://www.asianage.com/india/all-india/210717/end-standoff-before-talks-sushma-swaraj.html

If China pulls Army, we can talk, says Sushma Swaraj
THE ASIAN AGE. Published : Jul 21, 2017, 12:34 am IST Updated : Jul 21,
2017, 6:17 am IST

China says diplomatic channels with India unimpeded.

External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj speaks during the fourth day of
Monsoon Session of Parliament. (Photo: Twitter | ANI)

 External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj speaks during the fourth day of
Monsoon Session of Parliament. (Photo: Twitter | ANI)

New Delhi/Beijing: India said on Thursday that it is ready for talks with
China but that both sides first have to pull back their armies to end the
standoff in the Doklam area of Bhutan which China covets. “We are willing
to talk, but both sides have to first take back their armies,” external
affairs minister Sushma Swaraj told Parliament.

China, meanwhile, said that diplomatic channels with India remained
“unimpeded” to discuss the military standoff in Sikkim sector but is
insisting that that the withdrawal of the Indian troops from Doklam area is
a “precondition” for any  meaningful dialogue. Ms Swaraj also told
 Parliament that China’s attempts to unilaterally change the status of the
tri-junction with Bhutan pose a challenge to India’s security. She added
that India has the support of all countries as  it is legally in the right
and that its stand is reasonable. Her ministry later said India would
pursue a peaceful resolution of the standoff through diplomatic channels,
reiterating its stand that “differences” should not become “disputes”.
National Security Adviser (NSA) Ajit Doval, meanwhile, will visit China on
a two-day visit on July 27 and 28 for the BRICS NSA’s meet, the MEA
confirmed.

Mr Doval is likely to discuss possible options with his Chinese counterpart
to resolve the issue on the sidelines of the meet.

In Parliament, Ms Swaraj on Thursday said, “India’s position is not wrong
on the tri-junction and all nations are with it. The law is with our
country.” Ms Swaraj said all countries are supporting India and they
understand that the stand taken by India on the issue is not wrong.

In Beijing, foreign ministry spokesperson Lu Kang told reporters, “Our
diplomatic channel is unimpeded,” while confirming talks between Indian and
Chinese missions to resolve the standoff. Mr Lu, however, reiterated that
“the withdrawal of the Indian border personnel is the precondition for any
meaningful dialogue and communication between the two countries”.

Indian and Chinese troops have been locked in a face-off in the Doklam area
of Bhutan for over a month after Indian troops stopped the Chinese Army
from building a road.

II/IV.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/china-to-blame-for-doklam-stand-off-all-nations-with-india-sushma/articleshow/59691312.cms

China to blame for Doklam stand-off, all nations with India: Sushma

TNN | Updated: Jul 21, 2017, 02:24 AM IST

HIGHLIGHTS
Sushma Swaraj ruled out unilateral withdrawal of Indian troops as is being
insisted on by Beijing.
Swaraj said China’s attempt to build a road through Bhutan posed a security
challenge to India.
"All countries, including Bhutan, are with us," she added

Sushma ruled out meeting Beijing’s demand for a pullout of Indian troops as
a condition for deescalation on the Doklam plateau.China to blame for
Doklam stand-off, all nations with India: Sushma

NEW DELHI: Blaming China for trying to change the status of the
India-Bhutan-China tri-junction, minister for external affairs Sushma
Swaraj on Thursday ruled out unilateral withdrawal of Indian troops as is
being insisted on by an increasingly belligerent Beijing.

Responding to queries during question hour in the Rajya Sabha, Swaraj said
China's attempt to build a road through Bhutan posed a security challenge
to India. She ruled out meeting Beijing's demand for a pullout of Indian
troops as a condition for deescalation on the Doklam plateau.

The external affairs minister referred to China's insistence and said:
"India wants that all troops are removed from the tri-junction point before
discussing the issue together. All countries, including Bhutan, are with
us."

If, China had any guts, it would have attacked by now, instead of daily
barking. But, the most amusing thing is Pakis are entering the fray. Last
time it was Bangladesh, this time it will be Baluchis... Read More
BM

"Their (China's) intention was to reach the tri-junction so that they could
unilaterally end the status of the tri-junction. It was only then that
India came into the picture. If China unilaterally changes the tri-junction
point, then India's security is challenged," she said.

The day saw China repeating its demand that India call back its troops as
the first step towards resolution of tension. Chinese foreign ministry
spokesman Lu Kang told reporters that "our diplomatic channel is
unimpeded", an indication that the two sides were talking to defuse the
crisis.

III/IV.
http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1057440.shtml

Military conflicts to escalate if India refuses to withdraw troops
Source:Global Times Published: 2017/7/21 15:50:43
Addressing the ongoing border face-off between China and India, Indian
Foreign Minister Sushma Swaraj told her country's parliament on Thursday
that "all countries are in India's support," and said India is alert to the
need to protect its security near "the border where the boundaries of
China, India and Bhutan meet," Indian media reported Thursday.

She was lying to the parliament. First, India's invasion of Chinese
territory is a plain fact. New Delhi's impetuous action stuns the
international community. No other country will support India's aggression.
Second, India's military strength is far behind that of China. If the
conflict between China and India escalates to the intensity where their row
has to be resolved through military means, India will surely lose.

India should abandon the fantasy of a long-term standoff at Doklam. China
will by no means agree to the withdrawal of troops from both sides in order
for talks to be held. Doklam is Chinese territory. The withdrawal of Indian
troops must be a precondition for talks and China will not compromise on
this stance.

We notice that India's stance has recently changed subtly and started to
stress that Doklam is "a tri-junction area of China, India and Bhutan" and
attempts to call for "both sides to withdraw troops" to allow for talks.
These changes show New Delhi's guilty conscience.

China has reiterated its stance on the issue and shown the utmost tolerance
and patience toward India. If Indian troops continue trespassing into
China's territory, what Beijing may do next is to get prepared for a
military confrontation  against New Delhi and resolve the conflict through
non-diplomatic means.

India should have heard about the news that the People's Liberation Army
(PLA) has deployed troops near the China-India border and transported
materials and supplies to the area. The PLA is also reportedly conducting
drills for mountain operations. These are certainly not for show. Now that
the PLA has moved in on the China-India border, they will definitely not
call back troops unless they recover the Chinese territory.

China cannot afford to "lose an inch" of territory. This is the sacred wish
and request of the Chinese people. The Chinese government will not breach
the fundamental will of the people and the PLA will not let the Chinese
people down.

If New Delhi remains stubborn, India should get prepared for all
possibilities from a potentially grave escalation of tension in the future.


The PLA's mobility and logistics capability cannot be matched by that of
its Indian counterpart. PLA troops may appear in any area beyond the line
of actual control that was previously controlled by India. The China-India
border area may become a stage where China showcases the achievement of its
long-term military development and reforms.

The way some Indians compare China's military strength with that of India
at the border is extremely comical. They bragged that India has more troops
in the area but they fail to realize that the PLA's strong capability to
deploy troops can reverse the balance of power at the border within a day.
The PLA's long-range combat capability can also allow its troops in remote
area to provide fire support to troops at the border. China's military
spending is four times that of India where its GDP volume is five times
that of India. The great gap will shape the actual pattern of power balance
between the two countries at the border.

Back in 1962, India underestimated China's resolution to safeguard its
territory. We hope India won't repeat this mistake.

India should by no means count on support from the US and Japan because
their support is illusory. If India fancies the idea that it has a
strategic card to play in the Indian Ocean, it could not be even more
naïve. China does hold a lot of cards and can hit India's Achilles' heel,
but India has no leverage at all to have a strategic showdown with China.


Lastly, we must say that the later India withdraws troops, the greater the
risk that it will face from a military counteraction and the more clout it
will lose politically. China's military pressure on India will increase
every day and India will end up losing face and be totally disgraced.

Posted in: EDITORIAL

IV.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-40653053

Why is the India-China border stand-off escalating?

Soutik Biswas
India correspondent

20 July 2017

File photo of an Indian and Chinese soldier on the borderImage
copyrightGETTY IMAGES
Image caption
India and China have a long history of border disputes

If you browse through the latest headlines about the now month-long border
stand-off between India and China, you might think the Asian rivals are
teetering on the brink of an armed conflict.
The rhetoric is full of foreboding and menace. A Delhi newspaper says China
is warning that the stand-off "could escalate into full-scale conflict".
Another echoes a similar sentiment, saying "China stiffens face-off
posture".

In Beijing, the state-run media has begun reminding India of its defeat in
the 1962 war over the border, digging out old reports and pictures of the
conflict. Global Times has been particularly bellicose, first accusing
India of undermining Bhutan's sovereignty by interfering in the road
project, and then declaring that if India "stirs up conflicts in several
spots, it must face the consequences of all-out confrontation with China".

What's behind the India-China border stand-off?
India opens longest bridge on China border
The latest row erupted in mid-June when India opposed China's attempt to
extend a border road through a plateau known as Doklam in India and
Donglang in China.

The plateau, which lies at a junction between China, the north-eastern
Indian state of Sikkim and the Himalayan kingdom of Bhutan, is currently
disputed between Beijing and Bhutan. India supports Bhutan's claim over it.

India is concerned that if the road is completed, it will give China
greater access to India's strategically vulnerable "chicken's neck", a 20km
(12-mile) wide corridor that links the seven north-eastern states to the
Indian mainland. And since this stand-off began, each side has reinforced
its troops and called on the other to back down.

There is a dreadful sense of deja vu about the way the stand-off appears to
be escalating.
Indian soldier along China borderImage copyrightAFP
Image caption

An Indian soldier on the China border - Beijing has reiterated what it says
is its right to territory
This is not the first time the two neighbours who share a rocky
relationship have faced off on the ill-defined border, where minor
incursions by troops have been common. The region saw armed clashes between
China and India in 1967, and a prolonged stand-off and build-up of troops
along the border in Arunachal Pradesh in 1986-87.

Delhi believes that Beijing is testing India's commitment to Bhutan in the
latest stand-off, writes analyst Ajai Shukla. "China has always been galled
by this close relationship, which has withstood sustained Chinese pressure
to divide it," he says.

This time China has upped the ante against India. Foreign Ministry
spokesman Lu Kang told reporters in Beijing on Tuesday that Indian forces
should leave the area to avoid an "escalation of the situation".

'Not a bluff'
Indian analysts believe China's warnings cannot be ignored. "In general,
the Chinese pattern of use of force has been to prepare the ground with
adequate statements and warnings. Hence, I think we should not take them
lightly or see it as a bluff," a China expert told me.

In 1962, the state-run news agency Xinhua warned well in advance that India
should "pull back from the brink of war". During the Korean War in 1950
which pitted the US and its allies against the USSR, North Korea and
communist China, the Chinese warned the US through India that if they
crossed the Yalu River the Chinese would be forced to enter the war.

To be true, this doesn't mean that China is girding up for war. As things
stand, both sides can share some blame for the stand-off in what is a
strategically important area.

In 2012, India and China agreed that the tri-junction boundaries with
Bhutan and Myanmar (also called Burma) would be finally decided in
consultation with these countries. Until then, the status quo would prevail.

India and China fought a bitter war in 1962Image copyrightGETTY IMAGES
Image caption
India and China fought a bitter war in 1962. Photograph: Hulton Archive

India believes China violated the status quo by building the road. Indian
troops were sent to resist their Chinese counterparts in the area only
after Bhutan, which has close ties with India, requested India to help.

China insists Indian troops invaded Doklam/Donglang to help Bhutan, and it
was a violation of international law. Mr Lu says India should not "take
trespass as a policy tool to reach or realise their political targets".

Some analysts say India possibly made a mistake by openly conflating the
building of the road with talk of potential "serious security implications
for India".

"I agree that there were security concerns, but it was wrong for India to
voice them strongly. We could have just said that China had breached the
status quo. By overplaying the security angle, we may have scored an own
goal, and the Chinese are exploiting it," an analyst told me.

Tricky situation
He has a point. Long Xingchun, an analyst at a Chinese think-tank, says "a
third country's" army could enter the disputed region of Kashmir at
Pakistan's request, using the "same logic" the Indian army has used to stop
the Chinese troops from building the road in Doklam/Donglang. "Even if
India were requested to defend Bhutan's territory, this could only be
limited to its established territory, not the disputed area."

Clearly, for the stand-off to end, all three sides need an agreeable
solution without losing face. As China hardens its position, many believe
that finding a "three-way, face saving solution" would be tricky and time
consuming. Relations between the two countries are also at their lowest ebb
in many years.

Both sides possibly passed up an opportunity to resolve the crisis earlier
this month when a potential meeting between President Xi Jinping and Prime
Minister Narendra Modi on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Hamburg did
not happen. India said a meeting with Mr Xi had never been on Mr Modi's
agenda; and China's foreign ministry had said the atmosphere was not right
for a meeting.

Indian PM Narendra Modi with China's President Xi Jinping at the G20
meeting in Hangzhou on September 4, 2016Image copyrightGETTY IMAGES
Image caption
Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping are both in Hamburg for the G20 summit

There's another window of opportunity coming up. India's influential
National Security Adviser Ajit Doval is to visit Beijing for a meeting of
Brics nations later this month. Mr Doval, who is also the special
representative for the India-China border, is likely to meet his Chinese
counterpart Yang Jiechi.

"Both sides have made it a prestige issue. But diplomacy is all about
keeping things going in difficult circumstances," a former diplomat says.

Despite the deteriorating relationship, a war is unlikely to break out.

"I don't think either side wants an armed conflict. Nobody is interested in
a war. Nothing in the [stand-off] area is worth a conflict. But both sides
see their reputations at stake and that could lead to a prolonged
stand-off," Srinath Raghavan, a senior fellow at the leading Delhi-based
Centre for Policy Research think-tank told me.


-- 
Peace Is Doable

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