I/III.
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/07/give-up-on-denuclearizing-north-korea/535347/?utm_source=atltw

North Korea's leader Kim Jong Un watches a military drill marking the 85th
anniversary of the establishment of the Korean People's Army (KPA) in this
handout photo by North Korea's Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) made
available on April 26, 2017. KCNA/Handout via REUTERS/File PhotoKCNA

Give Up on Denuclearizing North Korea
The question now is how to convince it not to use its weapons.

JON WOLFSTHAL  JUL 28, 2017   GLOBAL

Strategic milestones don’t come along everyday. Today was one of those days.

On Friday, North Korea tested a missile than can deliver a nuclear weapon
to almost any target in the continental United States, marking a major
accomplishment for a state than many thought was on its last legs in the
early 1990s. But far from dead, North Korea has managed to evade every
political, military, and economic barrier that five successive U.S.
presidents put in its way. Now, the United States under President Donald
Trump has a massive but surmountable challenge on its hands—deterring a
nuclear-armed North Korea and preserving and strengthening America’s
alliances with South Korea and Japan, countries currently questioning
whether Kim Jong Un’s new capabilities might prevent the United States from
coming to their defense.

In recent years, America’s North Korea debate has focused on whether
Washington should talk to Pyongyang and seek a freeze on its program. Those
debates now seem pretty played out. Today, the main challenge is preventing
North Korea from hurting the United States and its allies now that the Kim
regime has long-range nuclear missiles. This debate is the one that
Washington should have been having for years—may as well have it now.

The first question for U.S. policymakers: What are America’s deterrence
objectives for North Korea? In other words, what does it want North Korea
not to do, and how can it be convinced not to do those things? Kim Jong Un
must be made to understand that, under no uncertain terms, can he ever use
his nuclear weapons; doing so would mean the end of North Korea. Whether
the United States likes it or not, the country now poses a clear strategic
threat, and it must be treated as such.

Deterrence is by no means a perfect solution, but for it to have a chance
of success, the Trump administration must communicate directly with its
North Korean counterparts to ensure they have a clear understanding of what
actions would provoke a direct U.S. response. There are lots of ways to
ensure North Korea gets the message, but none are as reliable or convincing
as direct U.S. discussions with North Korean officials. These could take
the form of military-to-military contacts, but whatever the choice, it will
need to be well above the traditional channel U.S. diplomats have used in
New York at the UN.

Even communicating through China, as the United States has done in the
past, won’t be enough to ensure that Pyongyang feels the full impact of
these messages. Those messages must make clear that the use of nuclear
weapons, and any transfer of nuclear weapons or ICBMs or production
capabilities to other states, is unacceptable. If America cannot prevent
North Korea from possessing nuclear weapons, it has to make clear that any
decision to use them would be the last one any North Korean leader would
ever make. Senior officials in the Obama administration, where I worked on
nuclear nonproliferation at the National Security Council, began to unpack
these issues in anticipation that North Korea would continue to pursue an
ICBM. It has now fallen to Trump to take that work and find a way to
influence North Korea’s future actions.

As much as I would like North Korea to freeze and end its nuclear program,
no combination of threats, engagement, negotiations, and sanctions, has
produced that outcome. At best, any negotiations with the North must seek
an agreement to avoid steps that could provoke a crisis, including no
regular deployments of mobile missiles and an agreement to end or limit
missile and nuclear weapon tests. In a perfect world, the United States
could eventually start to negotiate an agreement where North Korea caps its
nuclear program and stops producing materials that can be used to build
nuclear weapons. But Washington does not know, and North Korea will not
say, where all of its productions sites are. Nor will it allow inspectors
access to verify they are shut down. Short of this, a ban is not viable and
should not be a major focus of U.S. action.

The United States does not yet know what North Korea might demand in return
for such constraints, but Washington and Seoul should consider offering
their own steps that could reduce the risk of a military confrontation or
escalation—something that’s in no one’s interest.

As important as deterrence is now, reassuring South Korea and Japan may be
even tougher in the face of a growing North Korean threat. Leaders in both
countries have been wondering if America will risk New York or Los Angeles
to protect Tokyo and Seoul. Now that North Korea can reach those American
cities with its missiles, those worries will naturally grow. America worked
for decades to convince European states that it would defend them even in
the face of global nuclear war with the Soviet Union. This process of
making sure extended deterrence is credible continues to this day,
especially in light of increasingly dangerous Russian behavior. It’s time
to extend the principle to America’s friends in Asia.

Reassurance is hard—even harder these days because official U.S. statements
and policies are difficult to discern and less consistent. But this is one
challenge the country must get right, both through political statements and
with increased military and security cooperation in the region, including
possible increased deployments of missile defenses and other conventional
systems in South Korea and Japan.

These actions must, first and foremost, defend U.S. allies, but may also
make clear to China that it, too, has a price to pay. Having gone soft on
North Korea for decades, Beijing has much to answer for in North Korea’s
new nuclear status. If U.S. actions to defend its troops and allies in the
region also undermine China’s security, that should no longer be a major
impediment to action. Then, perhaps, China can use its influence to
convince North Korea to accept certain limits on its program.

This day has been a long time coming. North Korea began its nuclear efforts
in the 1950s. But the world is long since past the point of deciding
whether or not to not accept a nuclear-armed North Korea. The question is
how the United States can convince the world that these new weapons are
unusable, and convince its allies that it means what it says. The first
step: deciding, on its own, what to do.

The good news is America has done all this before, with more threatening
states like the Soviet Union and China. The bad news is that it has lost
valuable time and now has to play catch up. The Trump administration has
its work cut out for it.

II/III.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/north-koreas-terrifying-reveal-an-unknown-number-of-secret-missile-bases?utm_content=bufferaeabe&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

North Korea’s Terrifying Reveal: An Unknown Number of Secret Missile Bases
We should consider it a likely possibility that North Korea has dispersed a
number of ICBMs around the Hermit Kingdom.

Jeffrey Lewis
JEFFREY LEWIS
07.28.17 10:25 PM ET

REUTERS/TORU HANAI/FILE PHOTO

A few weeks ago, some crackpot in The Daily Beast wrote a column arguing
that North Korea’s new ICBM, the one tested on July 4, could travel a lot
farther than Alaska. He said that models of the missile based on its size,
the type of fuel, and the power of the engine, that North Korea could
strike targets throughout the United States, including New York City.
I told you so.

So, while everyone is freaking out that, yes, North Korea’s missile test on
Friday really does prove that North Korea can deliver a missile to Trump
Tower, that’s old news. What is truly worrisome about the missile launch is
that the regime performed it at night, from deep within North Korea.
You may recall that, after North Korea’s missile test on July 4, Ankit
Panda reported that the United States had detected launch preparations for
the ICBM more than an hour before North Korea fired it. That triggered all
sorts of absurd chest thumping in the United States, with keyboard warriors
demanding that the United States blow up the missile or try to kill Kim
Jong Un. This was not helpful.

I presume the North Koreans noticed all that. And this time, they did
something unexpected: They tested from a surprise location deep inside
North Korea, near the Chinese border where it would be hard to strike. And
they did it at night when satellites that rely on optical images are
useless. (That’s not every satellite, but it is a good number of them.)
This looks like a test from an operational missile base. You know that
Washington Post report that the missile will “will have advanced from
prototype to assembly line” sometime in 2018? Surprise!

North Korea may have dispersed a number of ICBMs prior to its first test in
July. This is not a capability North Korea will have next year—it is a
capability North Korea has now. We’re just getting let in on the secret. It
might seem risky to deploy a missile before testing it, but with the the
101st Fighting Editorialists over at The Wall Street Journal still talking
about regime change, maybe Kim Jong Un decided that was a risk worth
taking. It seems to have worked out for him.

To be fair, I don’t know whether the U.S. was surprised by the location of
the launch, but I do notice something disturbing. The press was abuzz with
rumors that North Korea was going to launch a missile on July 27, weather
permitting. The buzz was so strong that I wore a jacket to the office
yesterday and then again today—something that is pretty damn weird in
California. But the prelaunch rumors suggested that North Korea was going
to do another launch out of Kusong. I am left with the very uncomfortable
feeling that North Korea distracted us by setting up to launch from one
place, then surprised us by launching from another.

Forget Alaska. N. Korea Might Soon Be Able to Nuke New York.
America Has No Plan to Stop North Korea's Nuclear Ambitions
North Korea’s Nuclear and America Has No Plan to Stop It

Hey Trump, North Korea Missiles Fly on Chinese Tech
This test, from a missile base deep within North Korea and conducted in the
dead of night, helps illustrate precisely why it would have been a terrible
mistake to try to attack North Korea before the last test or try to kill
Kim Jong Un: because there are more missiles out there, in places we might
not expect, and probably armed with nuclear weapons. More hawkish voices
sometimes talk about the importance of “preemption” or “preventive war” in
regard to countries that threaten to develop nuclear weapon. That’s how we
got into Iraq.

The thing is—and I hate to be pedantic—but the “pre-” in “preventive
attack” means “before.” If you attack a country after it develops nuclear
weapons, like North Korea has, you are just having a plain old nuclear war.

III.
http://www.38north.org/2014/02/jlewis020314/

That Ain’t My Truck: Where North Korea Assembled Its Chinese
Transporter-Erector-Launchers

BY: JEFFREY LEWIS
FEBRUARY 3, 2014WMD

This article is co-authored by Jeffrey Lewis, Melissa Hanham and Amber Lee.

On April 15, 2012, North Korea paraded what appeared to be six road-mobile
missiles, quickly identified in the media as KN-08 intercontinental
ballistic missiles (ICBM), through Kim Il Sung Square in Pyongyang.[1][2]
Attention immediately focused on these unusual vehicles, after Chinese
bloggers identified them as Chinese-manufactured
transporter-erector-launchers (TELs) used by Beijing’s strategic missile
forces.[3]

Officials in Beijing initially denied exporting “any items prohibited by
relevant UN Security Council resolutions and Chinese laws and regulations.”
However they later stated that the Chinese firm in question had only
exported civilian-use chassis, which can be used for a variety of civil
purposes, including logging and construction.[4] Although the chassis
export appeared to violate sanctions on North Korea and Chinese domestic
law,[5] the Chinese showed evidence that the North Koreans had provided the
name of a false end-user for the vehicles, a standard tactic for evading
export controls, and stated that North Korea had added the erectors and
other specialized equipment to the chassis themselves.[6]

It is possible, using open source information, to make some preliminary
judgments about China’s claim, as well as North Korea’s infrastructure for
producing TELs. Although it is hard to believe that the Chinese were not
aware that North Korea would use the vehicle chassis for its illicit
missile program, available evidence suggests that Pyongyang did indeed add
the erectors at facilities known to assemble missile TELs.

The Wanshan Special Vehicle Sale

Following the April 2012 parade, Chinese officials told the United Nations
Panel of Experts charged with monitoring sanctions enforcement that a
Chinese firm, the Wanshan Special Vehicle Company (WSV), had exported six
heavy-duty vehicle chassis to North Korea in 2011.[7] The delivery appears
to have been made in two shipments: two chassis in May 2011 followed by
another four in October 2011.[8]

In retrospect, information concerning the shipments was available in the
public domain. The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration
Commission of the State Council (SASAC or 国资委) announced the export of
heavy-duty vehicle chassis to an unnamed foreign customer at the time of
the sale, as did WSV.[9] Neither statement mentioned the number of chassis
or the identity of the customer, but they did indicate that the
recipient—China’s first foreign customer for such vehicles—paid 12 million
RMB in advance on a 30 million RMB order.[10]

Chinese officials subsequently claimed that Pyongyang had told them that
the vehicles were to be used in logging by the Ministry of Forestry.
Although the story is difficult to believe, logging and construction are
plausible civil uses for these otherwise highly specialized vehicles.

Figure 1. April 15, 2012 Parade Image and Marketing Photo of the Chinese
WS51200


For all photos, click to enlarge. Photo (left) KCNA; (right) wstech.com.cn.
One question that remained was whether the Chinese exported fully assembled
launchers, or, as Chinese officials claimed, just the chassis-and-cab
assembly, leaving North Korea to mount the launcher and other specialized
equipment.

Kim Jong Il’s Efforts to Defend the Country

In 2013, North Korea released a commemorative video entitled, Kim Jong Il’s
Efforts to Defend the Country, posted by pro-North Korean groups on
YouTube. Although it is strange to think of North Korea using social media
extensively, the country’s state-run propaganda apparatus and affiliated
groups in foreign countries make extensive use of such platforms to share
and distribute the regime’s propaganda internationally. This propaganda
also can provide outside analysts with important clues about activities in
the North that otherwise are off limits to foreigners, for example,
factories where North Korean leaders conduct field inspections.

Kim Jong Il’s Efforts to Defend the Country contains the only known footage
taken inside North Korea’s facility for completing assembly of TELs for
ballistic missiles. Three clips lasting a few seconds show Nodong TELs
inside a spacious, rectangular, high-bay building as well as a KN-08 TEL in
a very similar building. Kim Jong Il appears in some frames, looking at a
Nodong TEL.[11] The first analysis of the film, along with still images,
appeared on North Korea Leadership Watch, a website which regularly
analyzes North Korean propaganda.[12]

Figure 2. Stills from Kim Jong Il’s Efforts to Defend the Country


All images stills from KCTV, “Kim Jong Il’s Efforts to Defend the Country.”
Modeling the Building from the Inside Out

Because the internal images show a distinct building, it is possible to
model the outside of the structure by first simulating the inside. First,
along one of the long sides of the building there is an unusual pattern of
clerestory windows—high windows above eye level—as well as the cupola-like
structure near the center of the building. Second, windows run along only
one of the long sides of the building, suggesting that it is either
partially buried or has an adjoining structure on the opposite side.
Finally, the windows along the short side of the building are spaced in an
irregular manner and make an identifiable pattern.

Referencing the video footage, we digitally constructed the building
interior on SketchUp, a free, widely-available 3D modeling program. This
rendering revealed the structure’s approximate dimensions, and based on the
windows and roof, suggested that the two clips may have been filmed in
different buildings.

Figure 3. Comparison of Stills with the Virtual Model


Images (top) KCTV, “Kim Jong Il’s Efforts to Defend the Country”; (bottom)
Melissa Hanham/ James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the
Monterey Institute for International Studies.
Combining what we knew about the windows, roof, and building dimensions, we
created external models of the two buildings—one with a square cupola, and
another with a larger cupola spanning the width of the roof.

Figure 4. Artist Sketches of Nodong Building and KN-08 Building


Images: Melissa Hanham/James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at
the Monterey Institute for International Studies.
Defining the Search Area

Once the configurations of the structures were identified, the next
question we addressed was, where might such unusual buildings be located?
Google Earth houses an enormous repository of high-resolution satellite and
aerial images, including fairly comprehensive coverage of built-up areas of
North Korea. Additional images can be purchased from other providers, such
as Astrium. The only problem is where to start looking.

A number of defector accounts describe the location of various North Korean
defense industries, including some linked to the production of vehicle
chassis and the final assembly of transporter-erector-launchers. We mined
Korean-language social media sites and other electronic resources
containing defector accounts to create a search area. Although the accounts
differ from one another, descriptions of facilities to assemble missile
launchers converged on an area in Chagang (Jaggang) Province that is well
known as the heart of North Korea’s defense industries. (Chagang is also a
center of forestry, an amusing coincidence given the stated end-use for the
Chinese vehicles.)

Figure 5. Ch’onch’on, Chagang-do (also written Jonchon, Jagang Province)

Image: 38 North: DPRK Digital Atlas.
Image: 38 North: DPRK Digital Atlas.
For example, Ko Chong Song, a North Korean defector, published a book in
Japan describing the locations of defense enterprises, stating Pyongyang
produces “missile launchers” at the No. 81 Factory located in the
“Chungsonggan workers’ district, Songgan County, Chagang Province, about
2.5 to 3 kilometers from Songgan-up.”[13] However, Ko cautions that the No.
81 Factory may only produce some components for launchers with final
assembly done elsewhere.

Another account, posted online by an anti-DPRK dissident group, describes a
gruesome incident of cannibalism at the “No.11 munitions factory (Hakmu
worker’s district 6 km northwest of Jonchon, Jagang) where missile
launchers are manufactured…”[14] Jonchon and Songgan are close to one
another, lying about 10 kilometers apart along a river valley.

Songgan, Chunsonggan and Jonchon (Chonchon) all appear in the Gazetteer
maintained by the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency.[15] Hakmu does
not—although the description of the place as about 6 kilometers northwest
of Jonchon is consistent with a mention in a survey conducted by UNICEF and
the World Health Organization.[16] Ko also mentions Factory 11—although he
claims it is near Songgan.

All of these locations are within a few kilometers of each other, creating
a manageable search area centered on the river valley between Songgan and
Jonchon, particularly the Chungsonggan and Hakmu Worker’s Districts, which
lie between the two locations.

There are other possible locations mentioned in defector accounts, but this
is the only cluster of possibilities. This became our initial search area.

While the ten kilometers along the river valley between Jonchon and Songgan
represent a manageable search area, it was further simplified through
crowdsourcing. The social media site Wikimapia and the North Korea
Uncovered KMZ file offered by North Korean Economy Watch provide the
locations of many known defense sites, including surface-to-air missile
installations. Although the No. 81 and No. 11 Factories are not listed,
clusters of surface-to-air missiles sites often help identify locations
that the North Koreans regard as important enough to warrant air
defenses.[17]

The area six kilometers northwest of Jonchon—consistent with the location
of the Hakmu Worker’s District—appears to be well-defended so our search
started there.

Figure 6. Initial Search Area Showing Surface-to-Air Missile Sites


Image © 2011 Google Earth.
North Korea’s Final Assembly Facility for TELs

Less than one kilometer from a surface-to-air missile site, and 4.6
kilometers northwest of the Jonchon train station (a proxy for central
Jonchon), lies a building located at 40°38’44″N, 126°25’58″E that matches
one of our models. We will call this structure Site A.

Figure 7. Site A


Image © 2011 Google Earth.
Several interesting details emerge right away looking at the satellite
imagery.

The Site A building is a close match based on the modeled dimensions and
the windows. The building has a single row of high, clerestory windows
because the main building has an adjoining structure. The completely
windowless opposite side appears to be flush with another hall. The windows
at the eastern short end match very closely. The large cupola is revealed
to be a curved, fan-like structure (consistent with the arc made by the tip
of an erecting missile on a TEL inside).

As it turns out, the two different roofs are actually from the same
building. Satellite images show that North Korea remodeled the roof at Site
A between 2004 and 2011—probably at the same time it negotiated for the
export of the KN-08 chassis.

Figure 8. Historical Comparison of Site A in 2004 and 2011


Image © 2011 Google Earth.
Most conclusive, was the fact that a KN-08 missile could easily be erected
on a launcher under the 2011 cupola, where the previous 2004 cupola could
only support the shorter Nodong missile.[18] Frank Pabian and Tamara Patton
built a model of the KN-08 TEL and missile using parade images and
SketchUp. Wanshan’s original marketing materials for the WS51200 chassis
also included specifications, thus they were able to scale the model to the
correct size.[19]

Figure 9. 3D Model of KN-08 TEL and Missile


Image: “KN-08 TEL Model,” Frank Pabian and Tamara Patton, 2012.
This detail not only provides strong confirmation of the site’s purpose,
but indicates that China probably only exported the bare chassis. It would
seem the launcher modifications were added here near Jonchon.

Figure 10. Erected KN-08 in Model


Image: Frank Pabian/Tamara Patton/Melissa Hanham/James Martin Center for
Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute for International
Studies.
Working with 38 North, we purchased new satellite images, including a
low-angle view that shows the windows running alongside the south of the
building. They are not evenly spaced, presenting the opportunity to match
the inside of the building with the outside. The matching window pattern is
strong evidence that the KN-08 launchers seen in the video were located in
the building at Site A.

Figure 11. Window Pattern Visible along the South Side of the Building


Image © 2012 Astrium. All rights reserved. For media licensing options,
please contact [email protected].
The windows in one video clip of the Nodong launcher, however, do not seem
to match. In particular, one image shows a Nodong with a row of continuous
windows behind it. It is possible that the windows were altered when the
roof was remodeled.

There is, however, another possibility. In addition to the building at Site
A, we found a nearly identical building a few kilometers away at what we
call Site B (40°36’43″N, 126°25’34″E). This structure appears to be located
in the same industrial facility, which is spread out over many square
kilometers in the river valleys. This roof was also modified to receive a
new cupola sometime before 2011.

Figure 11. Historical Comparison of Site B in 2004 and 2011


Images © 2004, 2011 Google Earth.
The available evidence strongly suggests these buildings are the ones shown
in Kim Jong Il’s Efforts to Defend the Country, as well as described in
defector accounts. Based on Kim Jong Un’s visit, as well as the presence of
the KN-08 launchers, this would appear to be North Korea’s most important
facility for the final assembly of TELs.)

Figure 12. Locations of Site A and Site B in the Search Area


Image © 2008 Google Earth.
Conclusion

While much remains unknown about North Korea’s infrastructure for producing
ballistic missiles and launchers, a persistent analyst can identify the
primary facilities for ballistic missile TEL assembly by referencing
various resources—in this case, footage available online, a 3D modeling
program, published defector accounts, mapping projects, and satellite
images. In isolation, none of these tools would offer much insight into
North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs. Together, they make it possible
to establish with high confidence when and where North Korea fixed the
erectors and launchers to imported Chinese heavy-duty vehicle chassis.

Many of these steps were already possible[20] but labor-intensive (perhaps
prohibitively so). Today, nearly all of the necessary information is
available to any nongovernmental analyst with a decent internet connection.
Satellite images purchased from private companies can simply be downloaded.
Questions can be asked, and answered, by email or social media. Images and
models can be shared online. Our team operated virtually, using email and
Dropbox to connect participants from offices in Monterey, California;
Washington, DC; and Vienna, Austria. The result helps answer an interesting
policy question—yes, the North Koreans added the KN-08 launch
hydraulics—but more importantly, this analysis illustrates both the new
realities and opportunities for open source research in the field of arms
control, nonproliferation, and disarmament.

Jeffrey Lewis is Director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the
James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS), Monterey Institute
of International Studies. Melissa Hanham a Research Associate in the East
Asia Nonproliferation Program at CNS. Amber Lee is a Graduate Research
Assistant at CNS.

[1] This publication results from research supported by the Naval
Postgraduate School’s Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for
Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction (PASCC) via Assistance
Grant/Agreement No. N00244-13-1-0012 awarded by the NAVSUP Fleet Logistics
Center San Diego (NAVSUP FLC San Diego). The views expressed in written
materials or publications, and/or made by speakers, moderators, and
presenters, do not necessarily reflect the official policies of the Naval
Postgraduate School nor does mention of trade names, commercial practices,
or organizations imply endorsement by the US Government.

[2] See: Joshua Pollack, “North Korea’s ICBM Unveiled,” Arms Control Wonk,
April 15, 2012,
http://pollack.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/3932/north-koreas-icbm-unveiled.

[3] Commenters on the blog Arms Control Wonk worked together to analyze
parade footage from April 15, 2012. They quickly identified the WS51200
vehicle and posted announcements about the sale of the vehicles. Joshua
Pollack, “North Korea’s ICBM Unveiled.”

[4] “Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Liu Weimin’s Regular Press Conference on
June 13, 2012,” Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of
China, June 14, 2012, www.fmprc.gov.cn; Mark Hibbs, “China and the POE DPRK
Report,” Arms Control Wonk, July 2, 2012, http://hibbs.armscontrolwonk.com.

[5] Melissa Hanham, “North Korea’s Procurement Network Strikes Again:
Examining How Chinese Missile Hardware Ended up in North Korea,” Nuclear
Threat Initiative, July 31, 2012,
http://www.nti.org/analysis/articles/north-koreas-procurement-network-strikes-again-examining-how-chinese-missile-hardware-ended-pyongyang
.

[6] Annex XII includes a copy of the end-user certificate received by
China. United Nations, “Report of the Panel of Experts Established Pursuant
to Resolution 1874 (2009),” S/2013/337, June 11, 2013, pg. 80,
http://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=S/2013/337.

[7] United Nations, “Report of the Panel of Experts Established Pursuant to
Resolution 1874 (2009),” S/2013/337, June 11, 2013,
http://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=S/2013/337.

[8] Asahi later obtained documents that suggested from the second shipment
of four vehicles in October 2011. Yoshihiro Makino, “Chinese Shipper May
Have Ties to N. Korean Arms Dealer,” Asahi, June 25, 2012,
http://ajw.asahi.com/article/asia/china/AJ201206250007. It would not be
unusual to pay 6 million RMB each for the first two vehicles, then less for
the next installment of four (18 million RMB total).

[9] “中国航天科工研制成功国内最大越野运输车 [CASIC Successfully Develops Country’s Largest
Off-road Vehicles,” State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration
Commission of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China, May 26,
2011, http://www.sasac.gov.cn/n1180/n1226/n2410/n314319/13551197.html;
Note: Hubei Sanjiang Space Wanshan Special Vehicle Co. Ltd took down its
announcement: http://www.wstech.com.cn/en/show.asp?id=734.

[10] See also:“九院:首次获大型非公路运输车批量出口订单 [China Sanjiang Space Group (9th
Academy): First Order of Heavy-Duty Off-Road Trucks],” China Aerospace
Science & Industry Corp., October 19, 2010,
http://www.casic.com.cn/n16/n1115/n2888/548509.html; “湖北三江航天万山特种车辆有限公司
[Hubei Sanjiang Space Wanshan Special Vehicle Company, Ltd.],” China
Sanjiang Space Group, 31 March 2011, http://www.cssg.com.cn/Item/235.aspx;
“湖北三江航天万山特种车辆有限公司 [Hubei Sanjiang Space Wanshan Special Vehicle Company,
Ltd.],” Yuan’an County Economy, Trade and Information Bureau, July 23,
2009, http://jjsw.yuanan.gov.cn/art/2009/7/23/art_876_25463.html.

[11] Rodrigorojo1, “KCTV (Kim Jong Ils Efforts to Defend the Country),”
YouTube, uploaded August 24, 2013,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bQKFC7pK3wc.

[12] Michael Madden, “DPRK Documentary Film Shows Kim Jong Il Inspecting
Nodong, KN-08 Missiles,” North Korea Leadership Watch blog, August 28,
2013,
http://nkleadershipwatch.wordpress.com/2013/08/28/dprk-documentary-film-shows-kim-jong-il-inspecting-nodong-kn-08-missiles
.

[13] 高靑松 中根悠 [Chonson Ko and Yu Nakane], 金正日の秘密兵器工場: 腐敗共和国からのわが脫出記 [Kim
Jong Il’s Secret Weapons Factory]. 東京 [Tokyo]: ビジネス社 [Bijineshusha], 2001.

[14] “김정일이 죽든 내가 죽든 둘 중 하나 [Either Kim Jong Il or I will die],” DailyNK,
December 5, 2005,
http://www.dailynk.com/korean/read.php?num=15656&cataId=nk00300.

[15] The Gazetteer is available online at:
http://earth-info.nga.mil/gns/html/namefiles.htm.

[16] Stephen K. Lwanga, “EPI Coverage Evaluation Survey—2008, Democratic
People’s Republic of Korea,” UNICEF, December 2008,
http://dev.undprk.matth.eu/content/uploads/2012/04/EPI-Coverage-Evaluation-Survey-2008-DPR-Korea-Final-Report.pdf
.

[17] www.wikimapia.org; and
www.nkeconwatch.com/north-korea-uncovered-google-earth.

[18] CNS built a model of the Nodong TEL, using components from: Abel
Nightroad, “苏联SS-1c“飞毛腿”导弹发射车(SS-1c ‘Scud B’wMAZ-543 Tel),” 3D Warehouse,
January 5, 2010,
http://sketchup.google.com/3dwarehouse/details?mid=6c2184e69080ea072d5c0718d7322deb
.

[19] “外交部回应朝鲜最新导弹发射车来自中国传言 [Ministry of Foreign Affairs to Respond to
Latest Rumors about North Korean Missile Launch Vehicles],” Phoenix News
(Hong Kong), April 20, 2012,
http://news.ifeng.com/mil/2/detail_2012_04/20/14031451_6.shtml.

[20] See for example: Frank Pabian, “Making Discoveries in Virtual Worlds
via the Cloud,” Earth Imaging Journal, October 2013,
http://eijournal.com/2013/making-discoveries-in-virtual-worlds-via-the-cloud
.


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