[Shows up the nervousness among Modi backers.

Thus this old prescription of depositing some (unspecified) amount of money
to every Jan Dhan account, before the next parliamentary poll, makes a
fresh appearance, with some touch-up.
Of course, no need to even talk of bringing back a single rupee from
illegitimate foreign accounts.

But when the suggestion had originally been put across (see, e.g.: <
http://www.deccanchronicle.com/nation/current-affairs/201116/jan-dhan-accounts-to-get-rs-10000-sop-for-beneficiaries-with-nil-balance.html>),
there was a strong expectation of a fairly decent harvest, even if not a
windfall outright, as a consequence of demonetisation.
Such an expectation now stands just horribly belied.
And, the GDP is sinking.
Also, so appears to be the confidence of the business and entrepreneurial
communities in the Indian economy.
In informed circles, people are voicing their apprehensions of capital
flight in the event of fiscal profligacy.

Thus the backdrop has changed rather significantly.]

http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31816&articlexml=Write-of-Centre-DeMo-Dividend-How-PM-Modi-02102017003019


Oct 02 2017 : The Economic Times (Delhi)
Write of Centre DeMo Dividend & How PM Modi can Revive His Mojo
R SRIRAM

*Govt should try to transfer some of the wealth from demonetisation and
benami property to the poor*

A few weeks ago, a former CEO walked up to me at party and shared some
information. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he said, was losing the goodwill
of the people and could come a cropper in forthcoming polls like British
Prime Minister Theresa May .
The reference to Ms May whose Conservative Party barely managed to eke out
a victory after being ahead by 20 points in the polls was meant to indicate
that Mr Modi, whose party -the BJP -is riding the crest of popularity may
soon find itself floundering. The ex-CEO cited examples like ground-level
discontentment in UP over Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath's handling of law
order and the chaos in GST filings as reason for the possible turn in the
tide.

This was before former finance minister Yashwant Sinha's rant and the
horrific stampede in Mumbai that killed 23 people and shone a harsh
spotlight on the dilapidated nature of India's railway system. Mr Sinha's
rant may not sway lower middle class and rural voters given his diminished
stature in the party and lack of popular appeal, but Friday's tragedy in
Mumbai is going to stay in people's memories for a long time.

Video clips of people struggling, jostling, pushing and dying in the
railway bridge stampede is going to be part of campaign attacks not just in
Gujarat but also in other states. Events of the past few weeks have
disrupted PM Modi and BJP's attempts to control the narrative and
highlighted the serious problems they have in setting the economy right.

Leave aside Theresa May and relevance of UK polls to India, what the former
CEO said is also important from a larger perspective. The narrative, at
least among certain parts of the urban middle class, traders and
businessmen, has changed in the past few months. The drop in GDP to 5.7% in
the first quarter, the continued agitation among farmers and the Mumbai
railway station tragedy have focused attention on certain failings of the
Modi's administration.

Turning around the railways or lifting farmers' incomes is not an easy task
and there will always be problems along with way . Having said that, there
are two or three specific problems that the government should focus on.

One is the complex, time-consuming nature of filing GST returns. It is all
right for big companies to file three returns a month but for smaller firms
and shopkeepers, the burden is just too much. The problem has been worsened
by data connectivity issues though the ministry says that filers have
exacerbated it by coming in a bunch on the last two days of the month.

Whatever it is, the government should immediately set right this problem.

Finance minister Arun Jaitley has made the right noises when he said the
compliance burden should come down and that the number of rates could be
compressed once the revenue neutral situation becomes clear. Some relief
has already been given to small exporters who have exempted from providing
a bank guarantee. If the government cuts some red tape and streamlines the
whole process by middle of next year, it would have put the issue of
burdensome GST on the backburner. The biggest indirect tax reform since
Independence should enhance tax collections and make people pay tax
willingly , not cramp their ability to do business.

Demonetisation is another matter. Last year and this year, people voted
overwhelmingly for the BJP across elections partly in the hope that the Mr
Modi has struck a blow against the rich and that the poor would be taken
care of. In Gujarat, in December, they may still vote the same way . But
will the mood remain the same in 2019? By then, people may want to see
results in terms of better infrastructure and quality of life. The
government is hoping that its social and welfare programmes like free
electricity connections and toilets would do the trick. It may . But what
can definitely do the trick is a demonetisation dividend in form of
transfer of a portion of ill-gotten wealth into the hands of the poor and
the needy . Mr Modi hinted at this in one of his campaign speeches when he
asked about how it would be if `15 lakh is transferred to each Indian's
account from the black money stashed abroad.Now, I don't know whether `15
lakh is possible and that too to every account but Mr Modi should attempt
to transfer some of the wealth from demonetisation and benami property
crackdown into the poorest of the poor, the 28.9 crore Jan Dhan account
holders.

The financial implications can be worked out by the ministry of finance but
if it happens, this should go a long way in assuaging the restive public
desirous of exemplary action against the corrupt.

Obviously , infrastructure needs should be taken care of but if Mr Modi is
eager to show the results of demonetisation and benami property crackdown,
he should definitely consider this option.


-- 
Peace Is Doable

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