I/II.
[But two wins don’t constitute a tectonic shift, or even a trend. If
anything, the Nanded outcome offers a series of lessons for the Congress, a
list of to-do items, if it has to emerge as a credible alternative in
subsequent elections elsewhere. ]

http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/editorials/the-nanded-municipality-poll-portent-maharashtra-congress-ashok-chavan-bjp-4898315/

The Nanded portent
Poll outcome offers lessons for both the victor and the vanquished

By: Editorial |

Published:October 20, 2017 12:06 am

The Nanded outcome is also a cautionary note against hubris in the BJP,
which completes three years in power in Maharashtra later this month and
may want to use the occasion to introspect and self-assess.

Nanded is the home constituency of the Maharashtra Congress chief Ashok
Chavan, and the Congress party has held uninterrupted sway over the
Nanded-Waghela Municipal Corporation for nearly two decades. The BJP, which
has had, until recently, only a marginal presence in the former Nizam-ruled
district, has witnessed its corporator strength in the Nanded municipality
dwindle over the course of four previous elections. It has, in fact,
notched up its best ever performance in the city, with six corporators, in
the elections held last week. On the other hand, the Congress, confident of
winning and even improving its 2012 tally of 41 corporators, was no doubt
pleasantly surprised at the extent of its sweep — 73 of the 81-member
corporation. This, and the Gurdaspur bypoll victory immediately afterwards,
has led local leaders to declare that the Nanded result is symptomatic of a
shift in the popular mood despite counter claims by the BJP that its growth
continues unabated, including in recent polls to gram panchayats.

But two wins don’t constitute a tectonic shift, or even a trend. If
anything, the Nanded outcome offers a series of lessons for the Congress, a
list of to-do items, if it has to emerge as a credible alternative in
subsequent elections elsewhere. While this is one of the few regions where
the party still has a strong cadre of foot soldiers, the poll managers also
ensured a certain clarity of leadership, vision, agenda and strategy. It
addressed the minorities with a low-key campaign on specific local issues
relevant to them. The Congress also benefited from the disorganisation and
turmoil within the other Opposition parties. A number of sitting All India
Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) corporators moved to the Congress,
most of them retained their seats. It was in Nanded in 2012 that the
Asaduddin Owaisi-led party burst on to the political scene in the state,
winning 11 seats. It failed to win a single seat this time, its internal
struggles to establish a state-level leadership, internal processes and
structures, apparent. The NCP, which has recently suffered a series of
electoral setbacks, did not win a single seat either, going from seven
corporators to zero. Clearly, the anti-BJP vote could be consolidated, and
the Congress leadership was paying attention to the task. In addition, the
party reached out to small traders, daily wagers and others affected by
demonetisation, by the introduction of GST and recent job losses.

The Nanded outcome is also a cautionary note against hubris in the BJP,
which completes three years in power in Maharashtra later this month and
may want to use the occasion to introspect and self-assess. It was
enunciated by the Shiv Sena, which has taken upon itself the role of the
BJP’s chief opponent. It wrote of Nanded’s portent in party mouthpiece
Saamana, calling the result a sign to political parties and voters that the
BJP can be defeated.

II.
[A political strategist who worked for the BJP in the 2014 Lok Sabha and
assembly polls in Maharashtra said the Nanded result did offer “a
mahagathbandhan-like opportunity to the opposition”. “The BJP has claimed
that its vote share in Nanded has gone up from 3.81% in 2012 to nearly 25%
now. It is a fair observation but it ignores the rise in the Congress vote
share too. The Congress has got nearly 50% of the votes and the remaining
25% votes are divided among non-BJP parties,” the strategist said
requesting anonymity.]

http://www.livemint.com/Politics/ZG9EX849WK8C6zgKHTE3AJ/Nanded-mandate-a-grand-alliance-cue-for-opposition-in-Maha.html

Nanded mandate a ‘grand alliance’ cue for opposition in Maharashtra?
After the Congress sweep in the Nanded municipal corporation polls, non-BJP
parties feel the civic poll results convey the message that the saffron
party is not invincible

Abhiram Ghadyalpatil

Maharashtra Congress chief Ashok Chavan (left) and party workers celebrate
the party’s win in the Nanded municipal elections. Photo: PTI
Maharashtra Congress chief Ashok Chavan (left) and party workers celebrate
the party’s win in the Nanded municipal elections. Photo: PTI
Mumbai: The spectacular Congress sweep in the Nanded municipal corporation
polls last week has offered a glimmer of hope to all non-Bharatiya Janata
Party (BJP) parties in Maharashtra, including the Shiv Sena.

The Congress won 73 of 81 seats in the municipal body and the BJP only six.
While crushing the BJP, the Congress obliterated other parties including
the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) and the All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul
Muslimeen Party (MIM) which drew a blank. The Shiv Sena won a single seat.

Yet, with the exception of the MIM, most non-BJP parties in the state have
preferred to project what they consider the “big message from Nanded” for
the BJP—that “it is not invincible”. While conceding that Nanded, with its
sizeable Muslim population like in other parts of Marathwada, and its
long-standing loyalty to the Congress party, was a relatively easier
constituency to conquer for the Congress as compared to other parts of the
state, political functionaries and observers feel the Nanded mandate offers
some important lessons for the BJP and the opposition parties.

“For once, it has come as a big feel-good factor in the sense it halts the
BJP’s victory run. The big takeaway for us is if we get our act together
and run a positive campaign, we can beat the BJP,” said a Congress
functionary close to state Congress president and Nanded MP Ashok Chavan.
“We focused on our traditional vote banks and also reached out to the BJP
vote bank of small traders and businesses on the issue of demonetization
and GST (goods and services tax). But we ran a low-profile campaign,” said
the Congress functionary requesting anonymity.

The NCP was quick to congratulate the Congress even though the former lost
all the 10 seats it had won in the 2012 Nanded polls. NCP spokesperson
Nawab Malik said the BJP’s loss was significant because the voters in
Nanded had rejected “the BJP’s dirty tricks of importing leaders from other
parties”. “For the record, we have congratulated the Congress because it is
a splendid victory. But for us, the result underlines the need for
introspection as to why we are losing in civic elections,” said another NCP
functionary requesting anonymity. He, however, termed the Nanded mandate as
Maharashtra’s “Delhi 2015 and Bihar 2015 moment”, recalling how the Aam
Aadmi Party (AAP) and Janata Dal-Rashtriya Janata Dal-Congress
mahagathbandhan had decimated the BJP in Delhi and Bihar, respectively.

A political strategist who worked for the BJP in the 2014 Lok Sabha and
assembly polls in Maharashtra said the Nanded result did offer “a
mahagathbandhan-like opportunity to the opposition”. “The BJP has claimed
that its vote share in Nanded has gone up from 3.81% in 2012 to nearly 25%
now. It is a fair observation but it ignores the rise in the Congress vote
share too. The Congress has got nearly 50% of the votes and the remaining
25% votes are divided among non-BJP parties,” the strategist said
requesting anonymity.

The Shiv Sena too, which rarely lets go of an opportunity to attack the
BJP, has gloated more over the Congress than pondered its own decline from
14 to one seat in Nanded. While the Sena mouthpiece Saamana wrote that the
Nanded loss put paid to the BJP’s dream of ‘Congress-mukt Bharat”, Sena
president Uddhav Thackeray last week concurred with Ashok Chavan’s view
that the Nanded debacle was “the beginning of the decline of the BJP”.

Political commentator and senior journalist Bhau Torsekar, said the Nanded
result has long-term lessons for every political party. “The decline of MIM
and NCP is a major takeaway which not many have noted. The entire Muslim
vote bank in Nanded has moved from MIM and other parties to the Congress
which indicates the possibility of communal polarization in future.
Whenever and wherever Muslims have voted en-bloc for the Congress, it has
almost led to reverse Hindu polarization towards the BJP. In that sense,
Nanded elections could be an indicator of things to come,” he said.


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