Two pre-poll surveys in Karnataka. One by C fore, report carried, on May 4, by the web portal <oneindia.com>.
The other is by an unidentified agency, carried on May 5, by the very same web portal. While the survey by C fore, reportedly, interviewed 6247 voters from 61 assembly constituencies covering all regions using a structured questionnaire between April 20th and 30th, 2018 and provides thereby a detailed (six) regionwise break up, the second makes no mention of any of these details. The second one just blandly predicts 102-108 seats for the BJP, 72-74 and 42-44 That means a hung assembly, and the JD(S) the king maker. The C fore survey predicts, out of total 224 seats, 118-128 for the Congress with 45% vote share - a hike of 8% points; 63-73 seats for the BJP, with 32% vote share - a hike of 12% points (because of return of the prodigal sons and daughters since the last poll?); 29-36 seats for the JD(S), with 18% vote share - a drop of 2% points. It means clear victory for the Congress. Incidentally, C fore in March had predicted 126 seats for the Congress, 70 for the BJP and 26 for the JD(S). respective vote shares 46%, 31% and 16%. So, no significant change over the last one month. (Sources: < https://www.oneindia.com/india/karnataka-pre-poll-survey-congress-128-bjp-73-jds-38-2687410.html>, < https://www.oneindia.com/india/karnataka-polls-new-survey-gives-bjp-108-congress-74-2690020.html>, < http://www.newindianexpress.com/states/karnataka/2018/mar/27/karnataka-polls-survey-predicts-126-seats-for-congress-opposition-calls-it-biased-1792925.html >.) There were, in the past, other surveys predicting hung assembly with Congress as the largest party. The pre-poll surveys by C fore, reportedly, had "never been off the mark". (Ref.: < https://www.firstpost.com/politics/karnataka-assembly-election-2018-opinion-polls-divided-as-c-fore-goes-for-congress-others-predict-hung-result-4409325.html >.) Sukla -- Peace Is Doable -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Green Youth Movement" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send an email to [email protected]. Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/greenyouth. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
