[《"India’s short term debt obligations at $218 billion due on December 2018
if rolled over could add a significant cost on the government. Second, oil
import bill could go up manifold. Third, with yields increasing, this could
add up government fiscal costs too. On all these counts the costs could add
up to 0.7 per cent of GDP,” he (an expert) added.》]

http://www.asianage.com/business/economy/070918/rupee-breaches-72-against-dollar.html

Rupee breaches 72 against dollar

THE ASIAN AGE.

Published : Sep 7, 2018, 5:03 am IST Updated : Sep 7, 2018, 5:03 am IST

Analysts foresee possibility of Rs 75 a dollar.

After touching an all-time low of 72.11 a dollar, the rupee finally closed
the day at 71.99 a dollar, down 0.32 per cent from its Wednesday’s close of
71.76.

Mumbai: Extending its fall for the seventh consecutive session, the rupee
breached the 72 level mark on Thursday as expectation regarding further
fall in the local currency triggered heavy demand for the dollar. After
touching an all-time low of 72.11 a dollar, the rupee finally closed the
day at 71.99 a dollar, down 0.32 per cent from its Wednesday’s close of
71.76.

With fear about an escalation in trade wars, soaring oil prices and higher
interest rate in US forcing investors to shy away from emerging market
assets, experts believes the worst is not yet over for rupee.

A report, authored by Soumya Kanti Ghosh, group chief economic advisor at
SBI, said that the 13 per cent fall in the rupee since the beginning of
2018 and 7 per cent depreciation since June when RBI started hiking
interest rates is largely in consonance with the dollar strengthening
against major currencies. “The rupee could not have been immune to such and
hence the current depreciation was long overdue and trends in non
deliverable forward market (rupee at 75 and implied one year yield at 7.7
per cent) suggest the pain might not be just over yet,” he said.

According to Mr Ghosh, the cost of rupee depreciation could add up to 0.7
per cent of GDP and the continued slide in value could also result in rate
action by RBI in October.

“India’s short term debt obligations at $218 billion due on December 2018
if rolled over could add a significant cost on the government. Second, oil
import bill could go up manifold. Third, with yields increasing, this could
add up government fiscal costs too. On all these counts the costs could add
up to 0.7 per cent of GDP,” he added.


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