[The promise of 10% reservation quota, in education and government
employment, round about 100 days before the forthcoming general election
is, obviously, a vote gathering stratagem.
No point quibbling over that.
A government in power, let it be clearly acknowledged, is quite entititled
to such tricks.
And, it has got to be noted, it doesn't fall in the class of vote gathering
by triggering bloodlust.

What's of far greater salience is how genuine is the promise?
Does it belong to the category of promise of farm loan waiver by the
Congress in its poll manifestos for Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and
Rajasthan?
Or is it something like Rs.15 lakh in the bank accounts of all the poor, as
promised by Modi in the run-up to the last general election (ref.: <
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dqsDChcPxRU>)?

Reproduced below are four informed comments examining the various
dimensions and implications of the, sort of, last-minute promise.

As regards the implementation of the measure, assuming that the necessary
legislative procedures, needed for the necessary amendment in the
Constitution, would, eventually, be gone through, the Lok Sabha and the
Rajya Sabha having already showing the green light (ref.: <
https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/parliament-live-updates-quota-bill-to-be-discussed-in-rajya-sabha-today-1974930>)
the toughest hurdle is, on the face of it, going to be legal.
There's a 50% cap in place set by the Supreme Court of India on the
cumulative "reservation" quotas.
Would this measure stand legal scrutiny?
That's a very big, and the burning, question.
Never mind Jaitley's facile explanation (ref.: <
https://www.ndtv.com/video/news/news/in-quota-debate-arun-jaitley-says-50-cap-not-applicable-503444
>).

The other important point is that when the scope of new employment itself -
in the government sector in particular is, to put it rather favourably, is
highly uncertain, what's the real value of such reservation?

The question has also, pretty rightly, been raised  who are these "poor"
whom the 10% quota is meant to benefit?
The ceiling has been fixed at Rs.8 lakh annual household income, which
works out to about Rs.2,200/day.
As against this, the poverty line is, since 2007, officially defined as
Rs.26/day/head (i.e. Rs.130/household, assuming 5 members), in rural areas,
and Rs.32 (i.e. Rs.160/household), in urban areas. (Ref.: <
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poverty_in_India>.)
Average per capita (annual) income in 2017-18 is reported to be
Rs.1,13,000.00 (i.e. per household: Rs.5,65,000). (Ref.: <
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_in_India>.)
An individual is supposed to pay income tax if one's annual income,
excluding if any from agriculture, is more than Rs.2,50,000.00.
Even this could, or rather would, be an issue in case of scrutiny by the
Court.

However, what has, as yet, failed to draw focussed attention that, perhaps,
about 95% of Indian households have income below the cut-off limit set.
As per a report published (in May 2016), the annual income of 80%
households is below Rs.1,59,601 (ref.: <
https://www.thehindu.com/data/how-many-indians-are-richer-than-you/article8551773.ece>),
way below Rs.8 lakh.
Based on that, an estimate of 95% may be rather on the conservative side.

Now, there's a 50% cap on quotas for employment, in government/public
sector, and academic opportunities, wherever applicable.
At least in case of employment, quite often, the quotas are not fully
filled.
So, it won't, again, be unreasonable to assume that very few slots, whether
in case of education or employment, in the "general" category are filled by
those who're otherwise entitled for reservation.
So, in case of 45% of slots eventually going to those under "general"
category and given the huge bulk (95%?) being covered by the stipulated
income celing, this class may, as on date, be already occupying about at
least 25% of the 45%, assuming that the remaining 5%, because of their
financial clout, and the various advantages derived therefrom, are
occupying the balance 20%.
*In any case, the current share of that section of the "general" category,
now being offered 10% quota, is, conceivably, significantly higher than
10%.*

*What does it mean?*
*It means that the 10% quota is simply an eyewash, of no use whatever.*
*The lower segment of the group (of "economically backward"), being too
disadvantaged, will rarely be in a position to take any benefit of the
quota, being edged out by their financially much stronger counterparts.*
*And, the higher segment is, understanably, already having (perhaps much)
more than the quota.*
*So, the "quota" is simply useless.*
*Just an elaborate fraud.*
*Yet another jumla like15 lakh.*
Of course, unavailabilty of relevant authorised data works to the advantage
of the campaign of grand deception.
Nevertheless.
In order to narrow down our investigations, we're deliberately eschewing
here the very valid and vital issue of constitutional morality of the
proposed measure - delinking "affirmative action" from the historical
discriminations and resultant deprivations and worse directed at specific
communities.

<<The Union Cabinet’s decision to introduce a quota for the ‘economically
backward sections of communities not currently covered by any reservation
has led to some logical inconsistencies that border on the absurd. These
inconsistencies pertain not only to what constitutes economic backwardness
but also to the manner in which upper castes and others have been put on a
par in certain respects.
Let’s start with the income criterion to determine eligibility for this
quota. It is to be fixed at a household income of Rs 8 lakh per annum from
all sources. As of this year, any Indian who earns over Rs 2.5 lakh a year
is liable to pay income tax. One would assume from this that the Union of
India regards this level of income as sufficiently high to make one
eligible to pay tax on it.
...
The result of this second inconsistency is to effectively put OBCs and
upper castes on a par when it comes to quotas. That amounts to a negation
of the principle on which OBCs were granted quotas.>>
(Excerpted from sl. no. l. below.)

<<The proposal to give 10 per cent reservation to the economically backward
classes, like several other schemes of the Modi government, is neither
novel nor innovative. The Congress government under P V Narasimha Rao did
provide for similar reservation, but a nine-judge bench in Indra Sawhney
(1992) struck it down. There have been similar efforts in states as well —
Kerala under the left government (2008) in admissions to a few courses, the
Congress government in Rajasthan (2008) and the BJP regime in Gujarat
(2016). Even Mayawati has been in favour of such a reservation and has
welcomed the government’s move.
...
In any case, the legality of the Modi government’s move is suspect. The
apex court has said in categorical terms that reservation solely on the
basis of economic backwardness, that is without evidence of historical
discrimination, finds no justification in the Constitution. A nine-judge
bench in Indra Sawhney had ruled that reservation is a remedy for
historical discrimination and its continuing ill-effects. The court also
said that reservation is not aimed at economic uplift or poverty
alleviation. Economic backwardness is to be on account of social
backwardness.>>
(Excerpted from sl. no. ll. below.)

<<*Is it an admission of economic failure?* Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas
(Progress for all) was supposed to mean something else, when Modi promised
it in 2013. Then the expectation was that his government would bring in an
economic boom that could then lift all boats. Instead, economic
mismanagement despite low oil prices and inflation – thanks to the twin
shocks of demonetisation and the botched rollout of the Goods and Services
Tax – have left an economy that is not nearly growing to is potential, and
a staggering lack of job opportunities even as millions seek to enter the
workforce. Rather than providing more jobs, the BJP is now trying to slice
up its limited pie more equitably, a telling move that says as much about
its economic performance as it does about its policy approach.>>
(Excerpted from sl. no. lll. below.)

<<The announcement of 10 per cent reservation for economically backward
groups in the upper castes is another example of the travesty that
characterises constitutional and political discourse when it comes to
reservations. It is cynical politics. It is cynical policy.
There are two realities India faces. This proposal has one element of
honesty in it. It admits this government’s massive failure on every front.
The stark reality is this. The Indian economy is not generating enough
attractive jobs; nor is our education system training graduates properly
enough to participate in the economy. In the context of that failure, there
has been a clamour amongst the educated upper caste groups like Rajputs for
a reservation route to be opened up for them. Since we cannot create enough
jobs, the token signal that the poor from the upper castes can be
symbolically represented in the state is all that we can now offer. This is
in a context where public sector jobs are scarce. As Devesh Kapur has
pointed out, per capita India now has fewer IAS officers than it did in the
Sixties. Gone are the narratives of a buoyant economy lifting all boats. We
are now back to distributing crumbs.>>
(Excerpted from sl. no. lV. below.)]

I/IV.
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/blogs/Crossword/theatre-of-the-absurd-government-plan-for-quota-for-economically-backward-is-riddled-with-inconsistencies/

Theatre of the absurd: Government plan for quota for ‘economically
backward’ is riddled with inconsistencies

January 9, 2019, 2:00 AM IST

Shankar Raghuraman in Crossword | Edit Page, India | TOI

The Union Cabinet’s decision to introduce a quota for the ‘economically
backward’ sections of communities not currently covered by any reservation
has led to some logical inconsistencies that border on the absurd. These
inconsistencies pertain not only to what constitutes economic backwardness
but also to the manner in which upper castes and others have been put on a
par in certain respects.
Let’s start with the income criterion to determine eligibility for this
quota. It is to be fixed at a household income of Rs 8 lakh per annum from
all sources. As of this year, any Indian who earns over Rs 2.5 lakh a year
is liable to pay income tax. One would assume from this that the Union of
India regards this level of income as sufficiently high to make one
eligible to pay tax on it.
And yet, the new decision suggests that a family with a single earner who
draws a salary three times this amount, that is Rs 7.5 lakh, is
economically backward and hence deserves a quota in education and jobs.
Indeed, in a double-income family where husband and wife each earn just
under Rs 4 lakh, both would pay tax and their family would still be
entitled to the quota. At just under Rs 8 lakh per annum, not only would
you be liable to pay tax, you would have to pay it at the second slab of
20%. So what are people at this level of income in the eyes of the Indian
state? Are they ‘poor’ and hence in need of support from it, or are they so
well-off that they need to be taxed at higher than entry level? Apparently,
they are both.
Given such a logical absurdity, it is no surprise that the income criterion
would actually make over 95% of Indians eligible for the new quota, as we
reported yesterday. Welcome to the land of the economically backward, which
is somehow at the same time also an economic powerhouse.

Illustration: Uday Deb

The other logical inconsistency is that the income exclusion criterion for
this quota is to be exactly the same as for the other backward classes
(OBC). Now, OBCs were provided a quota on the grounds that they were
socially and educationally disadvantaged and not on economic grounds. The
exclusion criteria came into being because of a Supreme Court ruling that
said the ‘creamy layer’ among OBCs should not have the benefit of the
reservation.
Thus the Rs 8 lakh cut-off for OBCs defines what constitutes the creamy
layer among them. It is not a definition of poor. Between the poor and the
creamy layer lies a whole wide swathe of those who are in neither category.
To equate the cut-off for the creamy layer with a definition of poor (or
economically backward) is to obfuscate the issue.
The result of this second inconsistency is to effectively put OBCs and
upper castes on a par when it comes to quotas. That amounts to a negation
of the principle on which OBCs were granted quotas. Even that is assuming
that the new quota will also have other exclusions not spelt out in the
announcement on Monday. For instance, sons and daughters of IAS officers
cannot avail of the OBC quota. One would assume that similar rules would
apply to the new quota too. Otherwise, upper castes (and others not
currently under any quota) would actually be placed at an advantage over
OBCs.
It is difficult to believe that these inconsistencies escaped the notice of
everybody in the Cabinet including the sharp legal minds. We can only
conclude, therefore, that they were deliberately overlooked to cater to a
political need – making the upper castes and others like the Patidars of
Gujarat or the Marathas of Maharashtra believe that BJP is the true
guardian of their interests.
But will these sections really gain from the new quota? Let’s assume for
the moment that the requisite constitutional amendment does get passed and
the new quota gets implemented. Will that serve their interests? One
obvious hurdle is the sheer lack of government jobs. But perhaps this is
more to address the area of education – professional education in
particular – than jobs.
The reality, however, is that an overwhelming majority of the seats – and
jobs – that are currently not reserved are cornered by communities outside
the purview of reservations. Indeed, their share is in many cases actually
higher because quotas often go unfilled. Given this reality, all that the
new quota might achieve is a reshuffle within upper castes and non-reserved
categories on who gets the seats and jobs, if that.
BJP, of course, wouldn’t be hurt politically if the amendment doesn’t get
passed. It will help it portray the opposition as having prevented the
move. Similarly, if it is passed but then struck down by the courts, BJP
would with good reason hope to earn brownie points for having tried.
Does that leave the opposition with no hope of countering this politically?
Far from it. Parties that have their base predominantly among the OBCs are
almost certain to raise the demand that their quota should now be raised to
become proportional with their share of the population. As for the rest,
they can legitimately demand that the income criterion be reduced to, say,
Rs 2.5 lakh so that the quota really serves the poor. Will they do that and
risk alienating the better-off sections of those not currently served by
reservations? We’ll know soon enough.

II/IV.
https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/narendra-modi-govt-upper-caste-quota-reservations-5529274/?fbclid=IwAR1a_OcLrRSG6FznY9QadRznCnEpZwlKp6eXI6JkO1IMEKdCGI_XNgI-GEw

Why reservation for economically backward classes may not pass judicial
scrutiny
The most likely scenario is that the Modi government’s move will be stayed
by the apex court till the final decision on the constitutionality of the
Bill is delivered.

Written by Faizan Mustafa |

Updated: January 9, 2019 9:36:06 am

The legality of the Narendra Modi government’s move is suspect. (PTI Photo)

The Narendra Modi government started its innings in 2014 with a
constitutional amendment giving the government a vital say in the
appointment of judges. But the apex court struck it down as
unconstitutional in 2016 as the amendment undermined the primacy of the
opinion of the Chief Justice of India in judicial appointments, which the
Court said was part of the basic structure of the Constitution. Now, the
government is ending its term with another major constitutional amendment,
whose chances of being struck down by the SC are even greater. Strangely,
the government that overemphasised “merit” in judicial appointments has now
taken reservation to 59 per cent with almost 95 per cent of the population
of economically backward classes covered. Moreover, a pro-private sector
government has extended the proposed quota to private educational
institutions as well, though the SC in Ashok Thakur (2008) had left this
question unanswered.

The proposal to give 10 per cent reservation to the economically backward
classes, like several other schemes of the Modi government, is neither
novel nor innovative. The Congress government under P V Narasimha Rao did
provide for similar reservation, but a nine-judge bench in Indra Sawhney
(1992) struck it down. There have been similar efforts in states as well —
Kerala under the left government (2008) in admissions to a few courses, the
Congress government in Rajasthan (2008) and the BJP regime in Gujarat
(2016). Even Mayawati has been in favour of such a reservation and has
welcomed the government’s move.

The BJP as a party has not been a great votary of social justice through
reservations. In fact, the RSS chief, Mohan Bhagwat, in 2015 called for a
review of the reservation policy. But anticipating its political fallout in
the Bihar assembly elections, the BJP disowned Bhagwat’s remark. Likewise,
the government implemented the apex court’s directive to take the
department instead of university as the unit of reservation, a decision
that drastically reduced the number of reserved seats for SCs and STs in
universities. Similarly, the government lawyer did not effectively defend
the SC/ST Act in the Supreme Court and almost admitted its misuse, leading
to the dilution of the Act.

Historically, most reservation schemes have been announced on the eve of
general or assembly elections. The political leadership treats Indian
voters as stupid and forgets that in the past, such populist moves have not
paid electoral dividends. Rajiv Gandhi did not win in 1989 despite
overturning the Shah Bano verdict and opening the locks of the Babri
Masjid. Socialist leader Karpoori Thakur and V P Singh too failed to get
the anticipated support from the masses for their reservation policies.

In any case, the legality of the Modi government’s move is suspect. The
apex court has said in categorical terms that reservation solely on the
basis of economic backwardness, that is without evidence of historical
discrimination, finds no justification in the Constitution. A nine-judge
bench in Indra Sawhney had ruled that reservation is a remedy for
historical discrimination and its continuing ill-effects. The court also
said that reservation is not aimed at economic uplift or poverty
alleviation. Economic backwardness is to be on account of social
backwardness.

The backwardness mentioned under Article 16(1) must be the backwardness
that is both the cause and consequence of non-representation in the state
administration. It has to be backwardness of the whole class, not of some
individuals. The economic criterion will thus lead, in effect, to the
virtual deletion of Article 16(4) from the Constitution. Hence, economic
backwardness has to be on account of social backwardness under Article
16(4).

Moreover, the move upsets the 50 per cent cap imposed by the SC on
reservation. Justice Thommen in Indra Sawhney said that “any attempt to
over-emphasise its compensatory aspect and widen the scope of reservation
beyond ‘minority of posts’ is to practice excessive and invidious reverse
discrimination”. B R Ambedkar in his speech in the Constituent Assembly on
November 30, 1948, explicitly said that equality of opportunity would
require that reservation should be for the “minority of the seats” and only
in favour of “backward classes who had not so far had representation in the
state”.

The weaker sections as mentioned in Article 46 are a genus of which the
backward class of citizens mentioned in Article 16(4) constitute a species.
Thus, only backward classes, and not all the weaker sections, are entitled
to reservation. Caste and class are not synonymous. Class is not
antithetical to caste, caste is an enclosed class. Ambedkar, at the time of
the first amendment, which inserted clause 4 in Article 15, told Parliament
that “backward classes are nothing else but a collection of castes”. Class
here is social class. Thus, economic backwardness must be the result of
social backwardness.

A constitutional amendment in the matter will be subject to the basic
structure theory. There is no definition of the basic structure and in each
case, the court decides what features of the Constitution constitutes the
basic structure. The Modi government must be hoping that since there is
some controversy about the right to equality being a part of the basic
structure, it can pass judicial scrutiny. Justice K K Mathew in Indira
Gandhi (1975) had not accepted Article 14 as part of the basic structure
because equality is a multi-coloured concept incapable of a single
definition. Moreover, the government may argue that reservation will widen
the ideals of equality by including even the economically backward. But
equality as a principle is part of the basic structure and with equality of
status and opportunity in the preamble also as basic structure, the Court
may agree to the economic criterion for reservation.

In any case, only an 11-member bench can overrule Indra Sawhney and a
decision is unlikely in six months. The most likely scenario is that the
Modi government’s move will be stayed by the apex court till the final
decision on the constitutionality of the Bill is delivered. The validity of
reservation on the basis of economic backwardness in the absence of social
backwardness, will depend on how many of the 11 yardsticks of backwardness
laid down in Indra Sawhney for OBC reservation is satisfied by the Bill.

— This article first appeared in the January 9, 2019 print edition under
the title ‘Slipping on quota’

III/IV.
https://scroll.in/article/908630/scroll-explainer-why-bjps-upper-caste-quota-is-a-great-gambit-but-raises-some-tricky-questions?fbclid=IwAR0nLIT2rOAmT-2MmJgHTXyGiZnVYtvdd9AdwBfs0YWJTD_O9YyEvyVbujs

Why BJP’s upper-caste quota is a great gambit – but it raises some tricky
questions
A quick rundown of the reasons the 10% quota could alter the conversation,
while also facing serious challenges.

Yesterday · 02:30 pm

Rohan Venkataramakrishnan

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s proposed Constitutional Amendment to give
10% reservation to the economically backward “general category” population,
being referred to as an upper-caste quota, is the sort of grand gambit
expected from a government facing re-election. The move has, in one fell
swoop, altered the entire political conversation, which was otherwise
focused on the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party’s losses in recent state
elections and controversies like the Rafale case.

But it is also fraught with complications, from an unavoidable legal test
to questions of whether this will be seen as a last-minute election
gimmick. However it is seen, though, it is the sort of move that alters the
political conversation and forces all other parties to find a way to react
– after months of the BJP falling behind the narrative curve.

Here is what the move does for the BJP:

Changes the narrative: For the last few months, the BJP has been chasing
the story, forced to react to arguments being made by the Opposition,
whether it is on farmer unrest, the lack of jobs, Rafale or otherwise. The
party’s loss in three North Indian states drove this point clearly home,
with the BJP recognising that it had been put on the back foot. This move
changes all of that, forcing all other parties to come up with a response
and giving the BJP a huge selling point going into the general elections.
Addresses upper-caste anger: It was evident that upper castes were unhappy
with the BJP during the three North Indian state elections towards the end
of 2018. This was in part because of the BJP’s support for reinstating the
tougher conditions of the Schedule Caste/Scheduled Tribe Prevention of
Atrocities Act, which upper castes believe is a draconian law that is
misused against their communities. Over the last few years, forward castes
like Jats and Marathas around the country have also taken to the streets
demanding reservations, with various state governments finding it difficult
to respond. This changes all that.
An all-India move that forces all parties to fall in line: Opposition
parties will find it very hard to oppose the move, since forward castes
form a part of their bases as well. Although a few have brought up the
question of reservation being a way to fight historical injustice rather
than economic deprivation, most have preferred instead to proffer support
for the move while nevertheless criticising the BJP for attempting it at
the last minute and in this manner.
Appeals to anti-reservation base: In a certain way, the move actually
speaks to a significant section of the BJP and its right-wing base that is
opposed to the idea of caste-based reservations. Recognising that doing
away with reservations altogether is an unviable position, this section has
instead demanded that quotas be based on economic criteria rather than
caste for decades now. By proposing a reservation that is based only on
economic conditions, the BJP is fulfilling exactly that demand.
Can be sold as a pro-poor move: Technically speaking the letter of the law
will simply say this is a quota that is open to all general category
individuals, meaning those who do not fall into other reserved categories.
On paper, that means it would apply to minorities as well as forward
castes, while in reality it is likely that it will be cornered by the
latter. In that way the BJP can insist this is a non-discriminatory policy,
one that fits into the Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas (Progress for all) tagline,
even though its actual impact is likely to be lopsided.
Potentially de-stigmatises reservations: Many Scheduled Caste groups have
been in favour of upper-caste quotas for decades now, in the belief that
only offering it to backward castes heightens discrimination, as has often
been seen in the treatment of those that make it through reserved seats in
the education system. If forward castes also enter educational institutions
and government professions through reservations, it might go some way
towards reducing that misguided ‘merit’ argument.
But not everything about the move will be smooth sailing. For starters,
there are questions about how it has been introduced in the first place and
whether such a quota is legally tenable. Here are some of those concerns:

Will it pass judicial muster? Attempts at bringing in reservations that are
based only economic criteria have failed in the past, with the Supreme
Court making it clear that existing quotas have to be tested against
historical under-representation and other criteria for backwardness. The
Supreme Court has also laid down a general guideline that reservations will
not go over 50% of the total pie, which this 10% quota promises to do. No
government has attempted a Constitutional Amendment on the matter, so it is
not a certain thing that it would be struck down, but the proposal will
undoubtedly be tested in court.
Was it improperly brought in? The Cabinet’s decision to clear this proposal
on January 7, a day before the Winter Session of Parliament was about to
end, makes it seem like a blatant election gimmick. A Constitutional
Amendment requires both houses to pass the Bill with two-thirds support,
and it would then have to be ratified by at least half of India’s state
assemblies. But aside from the legal requirements, there is also the
question of propriety. If the BJP was serious about the move, would it not
have introduced the proposal ahead of the Session, allowing for a public
debate on the matter?
Will it change the idea of reservation? If the move passes, it will
fundamentally alter India’s approach to reservations, which until now has
remained one of addressing historical injustice against sections of the
society that are backward. By putting forward a reservation as a means of
addressing economic inequity even for dominant communities, the move
attempts to use affirmative action as a way of addressing the state’s
inability to distribute wealth and progress better. Although many forward
castes have though about reservations for years in this manner, as a way to
address economic inequality – without even thinking about the historical
injustice it addresses – this would formalise that approach.
Is it an opening for converting all reservations? Going back to the
question of appealing to the BJP’s right-wing base, which has been opposed
to caste-based reservations, this move might also open space for more
questioning of that very idea. Once economic-criteria reservations are a
reality, the base will undoubtedly start pushing for caste-based quotas to
evolve into economic ones. Right now that seems like political suicide, but
by altering the very idea of reservations, the ‘Overton Window’ shifts.
Is it an admission of economic failure? Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas (Progress
for all) was supposed to mean something else, when Modi promised it in
2013. Then the expectation was that his government would bring in an
economic boom that could then lift all boats. Instead, economic
mismanagement despite low oil prices and inflation – thanks to the twin
shocks of demonetisation and the botched rollout of the Goods and Services
Tax – have left an economy that is not nearly growing to is potential, and
a staggering lack of job opportunities even as millions seek to enter the
workforce. Rather than providing more jobs, the BJP is now trying to slice
up its limited pie more equitably, a telling move that says as much about
its economic performance as it does about its policy approach.

IV.
https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/general-reservation-economically-weak-dalit-obc-caste-lok-sabha-election-constitution-the-jumla-5527562/?fbclid=IwAR1wIcL6jFrWZYj0oGNswLFl-9fE6hwtZ7vR2I8hnirapqEMJHoRdGU1d2s

The reservation jumla
Quota for upper caste poor is cynical politics, and cynical policy. Since
we cannot create enough jobs, the token signal that the poor from the upper
castes can be symbolically represented in the state is all that we can now
offer. This is in a context where public sector jobs are scarce.

Written by Pratap Bhanu Mehta |

Updated: January 8, 2019 8:01:30 am

The proposal has one small silver lining. One unintended thing it will do
is remove the stigma of reservation itself.

The announcement of 10 per cent reservation for economically backward
groups in the upper castes is another example of the travesty that
characterises constitutional and political discourse when it comes to
reservations. It is cynical politics. It is cynical policy.

There are two realities India faces. This proposal has one element of
honesty in it. It admits this government’s massive failure on every front.
The stark reality is this. The Indian economy is not generating enough
attractive jobs; nor is our education system training graduates properly
enough to participate in the economy. In the context of that failure, there
has been a clamour amongst the educated upper caste groups like Rajputs for
a reservation route to be opened up for them. Since we cannot create enough
jobs, the token signal that the poor from the upper castes can be
symbolically represented in the state is all that we can now offer. This is
in a context where public sector jobs are scarce. As Devesh Kapur has
pointed out, per capita India now has fewer IAS officers than it did in the
Sixties. Gone are the narratives of a buoyant economy lifting all boats. We
are now back to distributing crumbs.

India needs effective forms of reservation or affirmative action,
especially for Dalits. But our reservation policy, post Mandal, has more
generally become a prime example of majoritarian politics, where the
exigencies of politics and power rather than the ethical and moral claims
drive entitlements. One of the biggest casualties of this move has been
that the historical specificity of the experience of Dalits has been
completely occluded. Every other group has managed to don the mantle of
victimhood in the same way. The purpose of reservation has been stretched
beyond combating discrimination and empowering the truly marginalised,
(that is the only thing it does not do), to now an anti-poverty measure, a
load it cannot bear. The idea that you can address economic deprivation
through reservation is preposterous.

This measure is being enacted against this backdrop. But both the timing
and content of this announcement smack of desperation. Some politicians
like Nitish Kumar have been discussing this idea for a while. But to
introduce a major constitutional amendment like this, a few weeks before
elections, by a government that is struggling, is a political afterthought
rather than a policy forethought. Like previous reservation measures, it
does not allow for a full discussion of better alternatives, some of which
might even be used to replace current OBC reservation.

The purpose of reservation has been stretched beyond combating
discrimination and empowering the truly marginalised, (that is the only
thing it does not do), to now an anti-poverty measure, a load it cannot
bear. The idea that you can address economic deprivation through
reservation is preposterous.
There have been a number of them: Rakesh Basant’s proposal of looking at
parents’ education as the best proxy; or even JNU’s old deprivation
criteria that allowed for an interesting play of inter-sectionality. What
will be the economic cut-off? Let us say a pure economic criterion that
pegs the cut-off for eligibility around Rs 8 lakh a year (close to the
creamy layer exclusion for OBCs) is used. In some ways, if the idea is to
reach the truly deprived, this criterion will be too generous. In short,
the basic question — why should particular groups be brought under the
ambit of reservation — will remain subject to irrationality.

The proposal has one small silver lining. One unintended thing it will do
is remove the stigma of reservation itself. Reservation has historically
been associated with caste. And often in our imagination there was a stigma
that the upper caste put on those who had come through reservation. By
including upper castes under the sign of reservation, it dissociates caste
and the stigma of reservation. Upper castes can no longer resent Dalits and
others for reservation. Dalit groups have been arguing this for a while;
hence their support for this policy. But there are better ways of achieving
this goal.

But this silver lining is overshadowed by the Pandora’s box this proposal
opens up. It breaches the 50 per cent ceiling on reservations laid down by
the Supreme Court. It is true that the rationale for the 50 per cent
ceiling was not entirely clear; nor should it be sacrosanct. But it was an
uneasy social compact that tried to strike the balance between two
different ideas: That the legitimacy of institutions be measured entirely
by their representativeness and the idea that identity should be irrelevant
in determining whom jobs go to. It recognised the historical claims of
Dalits and, more controversially, other backward castes, while keeping
enough of a general structure open. If the 50 per cent ceiling is breached,
we have straightforwardly moved to the idea that representativeness, based
on criteria the state decides is all that matters.

If we have decided to introduce a constitutional amendment to expand the
scope of reservations, what will happen to the OBC demand that has been
articulated for a long time, that the 50 per cent ceiling should be
breached to accommodate OBCs in proportion to their numbers? Why is the
government, the argument goes, not releasing full caste data? There is an
inherent escalating logic to this. If we are talking representativeness as
such, which other groups should be included in its ambit? Should Muslims,
the one group whose mobility is now lagging even more than SCs, come in via
their sub castes or as a category in their own right? What about gender as
a more potent axis of deprivation? VP Singh could not control Mandal, and
this government should not assume it can ride this cynical ploy.

There will, of course, be other constitutional questions. Will a breaching
of the 50 per cent ceiling, or the inclusion of groups that are
economically, but not socially backward, pass constitutional muster? If
precedent is any guide, it should not. One way or the other, this issue is
going to deepen the crisis of the judiciary. If it caves in, it will be
seen as pliant, overturning a hard-won constitutional settlement it had
itself created. If it does not, the clamour will be to portray the Indian
judiciary as an obstacle to greater social justice (which, in the case of
reservation jurisprudence, will be unjustified). These matters cannot be
discussed in conventional categories, because the Supreme Court itself has
become so arbitrary. So the government is taking a bet that all
conventional legal precedent can go for toss and it can get its way. That
is how cynical politics has become.

It will be fascinating to see if any political party has the guts to speak
the truth. Or will this be an all-party jumla? We seem headed for a
politics that peddles illusions, and a constitutional culture defined by
cynical social engineering, not any ethical principle of policy
effectiveness.




-- 
Peace Is Doable

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