The Vile Hoax of "Make in India"
 A Tale of Grossly Different and Discriminatory Treatments to Dassault and
HAL

*Sukla Sen*



Only ten days back a January 11 report offered this heartwarming news:

An independent survey of aircraft manufacturing companies has rated
Hindustan Aeronautical Limited higher than Dassault Aviation, under various
factors.

Among the world’s top 100 defence companies, HAL has been ranked at 38 and
Dassault at 44. ...
...
In 2017, HAL earns $2.83 billion, of which the revenue from the defence
sector $2.72 billion. The 2017 earning was up eight per cent from $2.52
billion in 2016. Dassault earned $2.12 billion in 2017.

(Ref.: 'Survey rates HAL higher than Dassault Aviation' at <
https://www.deccanchronicle.com/nation/current-affairs/110119/survey-rates-hal-higher-than-dassault-aviation.html
>.)

But instead of really warming our Indian hearts, it actually aggravates our
heartburning.
The reasons are not too far to seek.

I. The HAL, a premier - Navaratna, PSU, with decades of experience in
aircraft building, for the defence sector, had been only recently brusquely
set aside in favour of a newborn private enterprise with *zero*, just *zero*,
experience in the field, as the (principal) Indian partner of the Dassault
for the supply of Rafale fighter jets for the IAF.
That impelled the just retired Chairman of the HAL go public, to give vent
to his deep anguish at the perceived gross injustice, which he could have
had not done while occupying the chair constrained by the service rules.

“When HAL can build a 25-tonne Sukhoi-30, a fourth-generation fighter jet
that forms the mainstay of the air force, from raw material stage, then
what are we talking about? We could have definitely done it (licence
produced the Rafale jets),” said (T Suvarna) Raju, who retired on September
1 (as the CMD).

(Ref.: 'HAL could have built Rafale jets in India, says former boss', dtd.
Sept 20 2018, at <
https://m.hindustantimes.com/india-news/hal-could-have-built-rafale-jets-in-india-says-former-boss/story-Cr0dMhZXToq1GBIdXY97YI_amp.html
>.)

II. This is now followed up with the following:

AA. Fast forward to 2019, the Bengaluru-based Navratna PSU is back in the
news – albeit for wrong reasons. On the one hand, the company’s finances
are in shambles, while, on the another hand, Defence Minister Nirmala
Sitharaman, in defense of controversial Rafale Deal, is questioning the
credibility of the prestigious PSU, that supplied over 6,000 aircraft to
Indian armed forces.
...
“The company has made aircraft when probably India couldn’t even make
sewing machines,” said a former chairman of the defence PSU, stating
example of HAL Dhruv and how it was far above the expectations of the armed
forces.
...
Many IAF pilots, who have flown combat aircraft, vouch for the capabilities
of HAL. A former IAF Test Pilot is aghast at Nirmala’s defense on Rafale
deal. “This government is basing their facts on mathematical manipulation.
HAL is quite capable of doing a project like Rafale. If they can deliver us
250 Su-30 MKis, what is the problem in delivering other aircraft,” he told
DH.

Su-30 MKi and Dassault Rafale are both fourth generation combat aircraft.
Fourth-generation designs are heavily influenced by lessons learned from
the previous generation of combat aircraft. Long-range air-to-air missiles,
originally thought to make dogfighting obsolete, proved less influential
than expected, precipitating a renewed emphasis on manoeuvrability.
...
The company’s trade receivables are 13.57 times that of the company’s cash
reserves, at the end of September 30, 2018. While the cash reserves of the
company have depleted to Rs 725.3 crore at the end of the first half of the
current financial year, its trade receivables have bulged to Rs 9,845.07
crore at the same time.
...
Just one-and-a-half years ago, since the day officials within the company
say that armed forces stopped payments, the company’s trade receivables
were just 0.38 times its cash balance. In the past one-and-a-half years,
the company has bled 93.5% of its cash reserves to sustain itself, while
its receivables have jumped by 133.8%.

According to company sources, the Indian armed forces, which constitute 90%
of the HAL’s revenues, owe it a whopping Rs 15,700 crore!

(Ref.: 'Government’s apathy is pushing HAL to the brink', dtd. Jan. 13
2019, at <
https://www.deccanherald.com/business/government-s-apathy-pushing-712869.html?fbclid=IwAR0sXa9b1R4j5I73zVfXL9pjSDBtxRj7VbOW3F7GYVANM9cf8k2IVyoUeOQ
>.)

BB. A news report published on Saturday highlighted how the defence PSU
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) has had to borrow money for the first
time in last 20 years to pay for salaries and meet some urgent expenses.

The report quoted HAL CMD R Madhavan saying, “Our cash in hand is in the
negative, we’ve had to borrow close to Rs 1,000 crore as an overdraft (OD).
By March 31, we’ll have minus of Rs 6,000 crore, which becomes
unsustainable. We can borrow for day-to-day work, but not for project
purchases.”

Confirming the same, sources in the HAL told News18 that “the situation has
been deteriorating for the last one-and-a-half years.”

A source also added that the amount of Rs 1,000 crore borrowed is unlikely
to last them more than a month or two, after which it might have to borrow
money yet again. This would be unprecedented in HAL’s history.

A highly placed source told News18 that HAL had brought, more than once,
the issue of rapidly depleting financial resources of HAL “before the
highest authorities” but nothing had been done to help the PSU whose
account books are turning red.

“HAL’s financial reports are in the public domain, so we understand that
everyone was taking note of the situation, but the matter was still brought
before the highest authorities in a recent meeting,” said a source.

One of the biggest reasons for HAL’s rapid decline is that its biggest
customer — the Indian Air Force — hasn’t paid up outstanding dues of Rs
14,500 crore. The total pending dues to HAL are likely to go up to Rs
20,000 crore by March 31. Apart from the Air Force, Coast Guard, Navy and
Army are other clients of the HAL.

“These are for the orders we have already delivered. This is not an advance
or anything, just to be clear,” the source told News18.

(Ref.: 'Broke for 1.5 Years Now, Say Insiders as Cash-Strapped HAL Borrows
Rs 1,000 Crore to Pay Salaries', dtd. Jan. 5 2019, at <
https://www.news18.com/news/india/broke-for-1-5-years-now-say-insiders-as-cash-strapped-hal-borrows-rs-1000-crore-to-pay-salaries-1992597.html
>.)

CC. Normally payments used to come from the IAF, its largest and main
customer, within one to three months. Now, as it lives in the hope of
getting back the money spent on delivering aircraft and maintenance
services to the IAF over a period, the ₹18,600-crore navaratna company says
it will soon run out of money to buy spares and materials for servicing
military planes and helicopters. At the end of March this year, after
delivering some more fighter including five Light Combat Aircraft Tejas,
the bill will mount to Rs19,000-20,000 crore.
...
Apparently the overdue money has built up over a period. In the financial
year 2017-18, it was Rs7,000 crore. An interim Rs2,000 crore was paid. Now
the dues have ballooned to around 14,000 crore.

Two other factors also led to the cash crisis: HAL paid a total of Rs11,500
crore to the government over two occasions in the past five years -- as
dividends and to buy back its shares.

(Ref.: 'HAL faces severe cash crunch as IAF delays payment'', dtd. Jan. 9
2019, at <
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/hal-faces-severe-cash-crunch-as-iaf-delays-payment/article25943780.ece
>.)

III. In contrast, which could hardly have been any more glaring:

India has already paid more than half of the Rs 59,000 crore owed to France
under the contract inked in 2016 for the 36 Rafale fighter jets, which will
be delivered between November 2019 and April 2022.

The 13 India-specific enhancements or upgrades on the 36 jets will,
however, become fully operational only by September-October 2022 as they
will require another six months to undergo "software certification" after
all of them have touched down in India.


Defence ministry sources say "around Rs 34,000 crore" has been paid in
"milestone-linked instalments". "Another instalment of Rs 13,000 crore is
to be made later this year," said a source. The first 15% instalment was
paid soon after the agreement was inked in September, 2016. Then, even as
IAF positioned project management and advance training teams in France,
other instalments linked to milestones, like completion of critical design
review and documentation, were paid.

(Ref.: 'Over 50% of Rs 59,000 crore Rafale price already paid amid
political slugfest', dtd. Jan. 20 2019, at <
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/over-50-of-rs-59000-crore-rafale-price-already-paid-amid-political-slugfest/articleshow/67608660.cms?utm_source%3Dfacebook_wap%26utm_medium%3Dsocial%26utm_campaign%3Dsocialsharebuttons&from=mdr>.)


*Sum Up*

So, in sum, the premier PSU is being systematically starved of funds by
denying its legitimate dues against the orders already supplied to the IAF
and other defence wings of the state - which'd be around Rs 19,000-20,000
crore, by this March, and also, on top of that, siphoning off funds
amounting to Rs11,500 crore, in the form of dividends and buy back of its
own shares.
Thereby it has been pushed to a financial crisis forcing it to borrow money
from outside - of course, at a cost, and seriously impeding its operating
capabilities.

On the other, the Dassault has already been paid a huge sum of Rs34,000
crore - just a tad below 60% of the total contract amount, even before a
single - even bare bones, aircraft has been delivered.
There is another ten months to go for the scheduled arrival of the first
one, which'd take further six months for the "upgradations", i.e. by May
next year. The delivery is to be completed only by September-October 2022.

Quite, interestingly, the Indian "offset" component is 50% of the contract
value.
The aircrafts would start arriving in India coming November onwards.
Yet, around 60% is already paid.

One only wonders what's the value addition to be done by the Reliance
Defence, for which it's (going to be) paid the lion's share of the 50% -
around Rs30,000 crore!

How the original requirement of 126 fighter jets, worked out following a
due and arduous process, was drastically slashed by Modi to mere 36 without
any user input or even the involvement of the Defence Minister himself,
plausibly only to benefit Anil Ambani at the cost of the HAL, has been
dealt with in some details here: 'Rafale Controversy: Supreme Court
Judgement Amongst Worst Ever?' at <
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!searchin/greenyouth/Rafale$20Controversy$3A$20Supreme$20Court$20Judgement$20Amongst$20Worst$20Ever$3F%7Csort:date/greenyouth/5-fzbo1AY5o/Q3ok19vqBQAJ
>.
That the figure of 36 would get regularised post facto, as a sort of fait
accompli, can hardly obfuscate the motivation behind the move.


-- 
Peace Is Doable




-- 
Peace Is Doable

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