[The comments, at sl. nos. I & II. below, both while recognising that the
present conflict - like so many border conflicts, are rooted in history -
colonial in case of India and imperial in case of China, delve rather
closely into the specifics of the immediate triggers.
Despite arguing from very divergent positions, both recognise the salience
of these.

The third one is a general, well-meaning, cautionary note for the Indian
regime and also public.]

I/III.
https://jacobinmag.com/2020/06/china-india-border-modi-galwan-conflict-asia?

The Escalating Crisis on the India-China Border
BY
ACHIN VANAIK

23 06 2020

In the last week, simmering tensions on the Indian-Chinese border in the
Himalayas have escalated to open conflict, with fatalities on both sides.
India's foreign policy, and not just China, deserves much blame for the
escalation.

As many as 20 Indian soldiers were killed in a "violent face-off" with
Chinese troops on Tuesday in the Galwan Valley along the Himalayas. Photo
by Yawar Nazir / Getty

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Tensions have been simmering on the border between India and China since
early May, with each side accusing the other of incursions into their
territory. On June 15, however, in subzero temperatures, face-to-face
fighting between both sides’ patrol units broke out in the Galwan Valley,
where the Galwan River (a tributary of the Indus River) flows.

A 1996 agreement had prohibited the use of firearms or explosives along
this stretch of the border, but iron rods and batons were reportedly used
by both sides, and the dangerous conditions of steep terrain and icy cold
waters caused several deaths. India has reported twenty deaths — either
immediately or from injuries later on — with around twice that number
hospitalized; China has not yet disclosed its casualty figures. Not since
1975 have such fatal clashes taken place on this border, making this
month’s fighting the most serious face-off between the two countries in
decades.

To understand why these hostilities have broken out now, one must look
beyond the immediate conditions on the border to the shifting bilateral
relations between the two countries. This, in turn, cannot be separated
from a survey of the historically evolving geopolitical ambitions of the
two countries, and their respective ties and arrangements with other
powerful states.

Indeed, it is precisely different understandings of this deeper and wider
historical context that has lead to differing perspectives on how to
proceed from here. Almost all voices among India’s strategic and foreign
policy establishment (and among our establishment journalists) see China,
to some extent, as the villain — not just in causing the current clash but
also in the longer post-WWII history of Indian-Chinese relations. That
being said, there is no clear consensus among policy figures on how to move
forward, even though all operate within a broadly realist framework.

One group (the largest) argues that India must further consolidate and
deepen its relations with the United States and the Quadrilateral Security
Dialogue — QSD or the “Quad,” consisting of the United States, Japan,
Australia, and India. A second group somewhat problematically proposes that
India pursue closer relationships with the United States and the Quad, yet
also seek to maximize its strategic autonomy and thereby achieve better
relations with China, as if both courses of action are compatible through
some form of brilliant diplomacy. A third group (easily the smallest) call
on India to reconsider and reframe its current relationship with the United
States and the Quad to become much more independent and nonaligned.

Action-Reaction at Two Levels
The border between India and China, has no agreed demarcation. Each side
has its own interpretation of the territorial boundary or Line of Actual
Control (LAC), which runs from east to west for some 4057 kilometres, and
separates Chinese-controlled territory from several North Indian border
states. It is the western part of this long border separating Tibet from
the Indian region of Ladakh that is most tense, and is the site of the
current conflict.

Due to the ambiguity on the exact coordinates of the LAC, there are
overlapping claims to territorial enclosures both big and small. As a
result, Indian and Chinese border patrols periodically confront each other
directly, and higher-level military meetings are required to ease tensions.

For some time now, both sides have been developing their infrastructural
facilities along the LAC but what appears to be new is the Chinese
stationing of troops and construction activity in the Galwan River valley,
which it had hitherto left to Indian patrolling, as well as an alleged
Chinese intrusion in the Pangong Tso area.

The Indian government insists that not an inch of Indian ground has been
ceded, thereby implicitly affirming the Chinese claim that the Galwan area,
in particular, belongs to them. At the same time New Delhi’s assertion that
China is trying to change the status quo does give the game away. Insofar
as this suggests that it was China’s initial and calculated action that led
to an Indian reaction that precipitated the unfortunate clash, this is
correct.

Furthermore, if, as is likely, the Chinese did in the past consider the
Galwan River valley as lying on the India side (despite the ambiguity
surrounding the LAC), then their action is highly condemnable, even as one
must try to understand why they took this step. Here, it is a combination
of more material factors pertaining to matters of direct military control
plus wider ideological-political considerations that are at play.

Compared to their predecessors, the governments of Narendra Modi and Xi
Jinping have behaved much more aggressively — both domestically and
internationally — in keeping with their distinctive nationalist ideologies.

In China’s case, given its authoritarian character and the tensions in
Tibet, Xinjiang, Hong Kong, and the ever present irritation of Taiwan,
nationalism is the main weapon it has for rallying its Han population
behind it. In regard to its neighbors and its maritime behaviour in the
South China seas, its interests are motivated by a desire to counter the
pressures imposed on it by the United States, from which much of its
foreign policy behavior flows.

India is not China’s primary strategic concern, though it certainly resents
India’s strategic alliance in the Quad, and sees Pakistan as an important
partner in extending its Belt and Road Initiative in the region —
specifically with the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) — and as a
pragmatic diplomatic counterweight to India. The current border dispute has
no wider strategic ramifications beyond China’s need to protect its
military control and access Tibet, Xinjiang, and the CPEC.

In India’s case, Hindutva’s essentialist Islamophobia has meant the severe
erosion of democracy in India, and a generally more hubristic and
aggressive foreign policy. It is not Pakistan, but China that is seen as
the main strategic problem for India. It is China that restricts Indian
dominance over Bhutan and Nepal, as well as an Indian expansion of
influence over Bangladesh and Myanmar. India’s strategically crucial
foreign policy decisions — like nuclearization and its alliance with the
United States and the Quad — flow from this perception of China.

The border issue is not seen as simply a local issue but as an enduring
violation of India’s “territorial unity and integrity,” which for the the
right-wing nationalist party, Sangh, constitutes the Congress party’s
betrayal, and must never again be repeated. It is bad enough that Jammu and
Kashmir were partitioned by an inconclusive war with Pakistan. It is in
this broader background of historically felt humiliation and a greater
Hindutva assertiveness that one must trace the measures that pushed China
to up the ante on the border.

In 2014, Modi fast-tracked the building of the all-weather
Darbuk-Shyok-Daulat Beg Oldie (DSDBO or DBO) road that runs parallel to the
LAC for 255 kilometers, ending very near to an Indian military base — also
the site of the world’s highest-altitude airstrip. Though completed in
2019, adverse weather and ground conditions caused damage requiring repair
as well as the building of bridges, while new branch roads — passing
through spurs that jut out behind Chinese defence lines — are now being
constructed, and are due to be completed by the end of 2020.

Thus India is carrying out military-related infrastructural developments
that give it direct access to a section of the Tibet-Xinjiang highway, as
well as enabling it to oversee the Gilgit-Baltistan region through which
the CPEC passes. Since such preparations have been going on for some time,
on its own it would not have been enough to ignite the border clash.
Clearly other developments in and around the Modi government have set newer
and more strident alarm bells ringing, prompting the Chinese to behave as
they have. These can simply be listed.

1. A much deeper military alliance between India and the United States has
been formalized in agreements such as 1) LEMOA (Logistics Exchange
Memorandum of Agreement), which concluded in August 2016 and became
operational a few months ago, 2) COMCASA (Communications Compatibility and
Security Agreement), signed in September 2018 to allow much closer sharing
of information and the transfer of advanced communications technology, and
the forthcoming 3) BECA (Basic Exchange and Cooperation Agreement for
Geospatial Cooperation).

2. The Quad’s implicit strategy to contain China. India under Modi has
deepened the strategic ties with Japan, and is working on an Acquisitions
and Cross-Servicing Agreement (ACSA) to allow logistics support at shared
military bases. A similar agreement was signed between Indian and Australia
earlier this month.

3. The August 5, 2019, annulment of Jammu and Kashmir autonomy and the
bifurcation of this former province into two Union Territories (UTs) rules
out any future compromise with Pakistan, thereby making it a permanent This
means a hardening of foreign policy more broadly, which sends a message to
China as well. This was heightened in August last year, when the
government’s de facto Number Two, the Home Minister Amit Shah, spoke in
Parliament about “taking back” Aksai Chin and all of Pakistan-occupied
Kashmir, including Gilgit-Baltistan and areas leased and ceded by Islamabad
to China. The latest maps (since the reorganisation of Jammu and Kashmir)
showing Aksai Chin as part of India are nothing new, but given the change
in context, it has been read by Beijing as signalling a more belligerent
intent.

4. In September last year, a well-known public commentator and observer of
political-military affairs, Lt General (Ret.) Harcharanjit Singh Panag,
declared that India has carried out a “strategic policy shift” which will
“force Beijing to open a second front anywhere along LAC.” Others such as
Phunchok Stobdan, ex-diplomat and currently senior fellow at the
government-supported Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), has
talked of India’s “new forward policy.”

5. More significantly, Seshadri Chari, former editor of the RSS magazine,
Organiser, and former head of the Foreign Affairs Cell of the Bharatiya
Janata Party (BJP) is currently serving on the National Executive Committee
of that party. Since before the latest skirmish, he has been calling for a
revision of India’s acceptance of the One China policy. Accordingly, he
calls for a more critical attitude toward China, including in regard to
CPEC, Tibet (including giving the Dalai Lama India’s highest civilian
award), the Bharat Ratna, and Taiwan. In a clear departure from the
diplomatic past, two BJP MPs “virtually attended” the swearing-in ceremony
of Taiwan’s president Tsai Ing-wen on May 20, 2020, and sent their
congratulations. This was strongly objected to by Beijing.

Current Responses and the Future
There is a widely held view in India that strengthening the country’s
position in regard to China will require some show of military force. There
are points along the LAC where India can give a “bloody nose” to the
Chinese, though China could similarly retaliate at other points where it is
better positioned. Such tit for tat, say others, carries the threat of
escalation that is best avoided, and India’s desire to show its
“resoluteness” must be expressed in some other way.

What has confused matters greatly is the latest broadcast by Modi on June
19 in which, even as he has hailed the Indian soldiers, he insisted that
there had been no transgression into Indian territory, let alone any
takeover. Modi’s need to maintain his image as the strong leader means he
also needs to control the narrative as much as possible, so opacity comes
naturally to him.

The silver lining is that this denial of any intrusion — or successful
intrusion — could mean that the government will not want to escalate
matters militarily, and that for some time at least, a degree of
tranquillity on the border will be restored. But there is no certainty in
this. In such situations, even if the high commands don’t want it,
unanticipated flare-ups can happen because of uncontrollable local
circumstances.

Can there be an enduring settlement of the border question?  For that there
would have to be some give-and-take, which is why the rhetoric that even
the mainstream left parties indulge in these days about defending
territorial “unity and integrity” only guarantees that there will be no
justice for Kashmiris, who want the right of self-determination and no
resolution of the border issue with China.

A few sane voices have argued for this territorial compromise, pointing to
the 1960 Chou Enlai offer of trading Aksai Chin in the West for Chinese
acceptance of the McMahon Line in the East. This offer was again made in
the late ’80s when the Tamizhaga Rajiv Congress was in power. Had that have
happened, things would have turned out very differently, for unlike the
Sino-Vietnamese relationship, here there is no such thousand-year history
of enmity.

It further bears mentioning that China, which shares a border with fourteen
countries, has resolved its land-border disputes with all but India. Of
India’s six land neighbors, disputes remain with five of them — excluding
only Bhutan.

The very nature of India’s national movement for independence, which did
not seek the forcible overthrow of colonial rulers but a transfer of power,
meant that the country would adopt the “forward defence” policies of
Britain, which had imposed borders during Empire.

In turn, this has led to Indian intransigence on several fronts, including
the Sino-Indian border, the Jammu and Kashmir imbroglio, and the country’s
ugly paternalism (at best) in its attitude and policies towards the
Himalayan crest kingdoms of Nepal, Sikkim, and Bhutan. Nonalignment,
formally adopted in 1961, was a pragmatic foreign-policy perspective that
cannot and should not be allowed to hide Indian hypocrisies and crimes.

China’s “national communism” (more the first term than the second) has its
own share of crimes, however, not least its takeover of Tibet, its
alignments with the United States and Pol Pot against Vietnam, its
opposition to Cuba and to progressive national-liberation movements in
Portuguese Africa, and to socialist struggles in Latin America more
generally. More recent examples include its policy in regard to Hong Kong,
Vietnam, and Xinjiang.

Nevertheless, India’s foreign policy deserves much blame for the decaying
relations between the two countries. The 1962 war was meant to be a very
limited one to secure what China felt was its due. This is why it
unilaterally retreated from its most advanced positions achieved and on its
own released all Indian prisoners. In 1965 it gave verbal support but
nothing else to Pakistan.

In 1971, when Pakistan was being dismembered, again no second front
(despite Henry Kissinger’s pleading during his secret trip to Beijing) was
opened up and only verbal support provided. After the end of the Cold War,
significant advances were made between the two Asian powers — hence the
peace and tranquillity pacts. President Jiang Zemin first visited India
then Pakistan in 1996, where to the shock of his hosts he declared Kashmir
to be a bilateral issue.

India’s nuclearization in 1998 was dubiously justified as a counterweight
to China’s nuclear experiments, but the latter had nothing to do with
Sino-Indian relations and everything to do with it the Sino-Soviet and
Sino-US enmities of the time. It was before this, in the early nineties,
that the Indian turn toward the United States established the decisive
contours of world politics as it stands today.

The Chinese no longer want to hold out the old Zhou Enlai offer. Instead,
they see value in retaining political leverage from an unsettled border
situation. On its part, an increasingly chauvinistic India has negligible
interest in accepting such an offer were it now to be made.

The India-Pakistan military face-off has rightly been seen as the most
dangerous one in South Asia; and by comparison, the skirmish on the
Indian-Chinese border is less threatening. But there is no hiding the fact
that relations have taken a further turn for the worse, and even a
temporary assuagement of border tensions will not alter this fact.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Achin Vanaik is a writer and social activist, a former professor at the
University of Delhi and Delhi-based Fellow of the Transnational Institute,
Amsterdam. He is the author of The Painful Transition: Bourgeois Democracy
in India and The Rise of Hindu Authoritarianism.

II/III.
https://www.outlookindia.com/website/story/opinion-how-do-we-read-galwan-valley-killings-by-the-chinese/354907

Opinion
How Do We Read Galwan Valley Killings By The Chinese?
China is using the same language it used against India while justifying its
1962 incursions into India. The 1962 attack was to insult Nehru while the
2020 attack is to discredit Narendra Modi, writes Vappala Balachandran.

Vappala Balachandran17 June 2020

Also read
'Shantung' Was The Reason For China Turning Against The West

One cannot but be surprised at our political, historical and strategic
naivety in underestimating Chinese reaction in what they feel are siege
situations against them. Any number of signals had come to reveal their
anger against us well before the present border standoff which exploded on
June 15. Yet, we ignored all of it, assessing that these were due to
China’s internal power struggle or that it wanted to coerce us during the
proposed WHO enquiry on the Coronavirus origins. Instead we were fed with
visuals of certain incidents which we thought were due to our over-arching
global influence, but which in Chinese mind, were provocations.

The first incident was on May 24 when two prominent BJP parliamentarians
attended the virtual swearing in ceremony of Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen
on May 24, along with US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. China lodged a
formal protest describing their attendance as efforts to undermine their
national integrity.

Also Read: Ladakh Flare-up Symptomatic Of Chinese Ambitions On India

The second was on June 2 when US President Donald Trump called Prime
Minister Narendra Modi to invite him for the G-7 Summit later this year.
During their telephonic conversation, China border standoff was also
discussed. Soon thereafter Russia suggested that without China’s presence,
G-7 would be meaningless. China also ridiculed Trump’s attempts “to draw a
small circle” against Beijing.

The third incident was PM Modi’s virtual summit with Australian Prime
Minister Scott Morrison on June 4 to conclude a “comprehensive strategic
partnership”. Scott Morrison is a red rag for China due to his alignment
with Trump on Coronavirus origins. Morrison does not know how to overcome
his own problem—Australian actor Karm Gilespie is facing death sentence in
China on drug charges.

There were many such incidents which India should have taken note of to
prepare adequate border vigilance. We failed to do that. In one of my
recent columns on the border stand-off, I had referred to a 1970 top secret
CIA case study on the Chinese reaction to the then mighty Soviet Union on
similar border problems. The study had revealed the Chinese habit of
exacerbating border tensions when bilateral relations worsen, “Mao’s land
claim was indeed part of the bitter political feud, and Mao’s main goal was
to extract a political surrender, rather than small territorial
concessions, as the price for a final settlement”.

Also Read: It's No Ordinary India-China Standoff This Time. Tensions At LAC
Won't Dissipate That Easily

The paper also highlighted China’s double standards. The concept of “Line
of Actual Control” which they had insisted on India was not demanded from
the Soviets. “In dealing with the Soviets the Chinese have maintained a
convenient silence on the ploy they used against the Indians”. It also
assessed that these border claims were moves to provide Mao a political
victory. Their tactics of “pushing and shoving” on the Ussuri and Amur
River basin were intended to humiliate Soviet Union. Finally, this resulted
in the 1969 skirmish and the brutal deaths of 59 Soviet soldiers which
unnerved Soviet Union. The paper also said that Mao was prepared to “accept
more punishment for his forces than they thought he would” and he was
“prepared to live with a tense border situation indefinitely”.

Yet China would wait patiently for solving border problems when bilateral
relations improve. In 1986, Mikhail Gorbachev made a conciliatory speech at
Vladivostok which was received well by Deng Xiaoping who set aside
“intractable issues” to be solved by “future generations”. The final
settlement signed on June 2, 2005 was beneficial to China as Russia parted
with the upstream end of Bear Island to China, thereby restoring Fuyuan
Channel to it as its inland waterway.

Also Read: A Catch-22 Situation For China: Dragon Didn't Expect A Stare
Back And Now It's Clueless

Chinese assertiveness and arrogance increased with simultaneous border
agreements with Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan which had inherited
some of the border issues after the collapse of Soviet Union in 1991. All
of them were enticed with liberal financial aid although in the long run
they are the losers by accepting the leasing of large tracts of land to
Chinese farmers who are building enclaves within these countries. Already
local agitations have erupted.

In 1971 and 1972, China considered India as Soviet Union’s surrogate as the
transcripts of Zhou-Enlai-Kissinger and Zhou-Enlai-Nixon talks would
indicate. He blamed Nehru for claiming “their” Aksai-Chin plateau from 1956
onwards under Nikita Khrushchev’s instigation. In 1972, Zhou included
Indira Gandhi among China’s adversaries for threatening Pakistan. China’s
opinion about India improved after Rajiv Gandhi’s epoch making visit in
1988 although it came after the 1987 Sumdorong Chu Valley standoff.

For about 10 years, things were normal till May 13, 1998 when The New York
Times published the leaked letter of Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee to
President Bill Clinton blaming China for our nuclear tests during the same
year. That re-kindled China’s suspicion that India was gravitating towards
the US to encircle it. The same fears were confirmed since 2014 with our
strategic relations with America were raised to a higher level by Prime
Minister Modi. A number of incidents had confirmed their fears.

On June 3, 2019, Open Democracy, a UK-based political website published a
piece titled “India and America collude to disrupt China-Pakistan Economic
Corridor”. It contained sensational allegations that the US was out to
unsettle Pakistan’s Balochistan, the heart of CPEC, with India’s help. It
alleged that RAW via its proxies had ‘propagated’ numerous murders of
Chinese engineers in Balochistan. Baloch Liberation Army (BLA), supported
by India, had attacked Chinese consulate in Karachi in November 2018.

Also Read | How Posturing, Transgressions Along LAC Impact India-China
Relations

On February 6, 2020 the Lok Sabha was informed that the Government had
conveyed its concerns to the Chinese on the “so-called illegal
China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)” which passed through parts of the
Union Territories of Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh which are under illegal
occupation of Pakistan. It had also asked them to cease such activities.

On November 2, 2019, New Delhi released new maps of India showing the Union
territories of Jammu & Kashmir consequent to the abrogation of Article 370
on August5, 2019. The new map did not take into consideration the disputed
Aksai Chin and showed it as part of Ladakh, leading to a protest by China’s
Foreign Ministry spokesman who said “The Indian Government officially
announced the establishment of so called Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh Union
territories which included some of China’s territory into its
administrative jurisdiction”. They claimed that this violated border
accords signed by India.

That this new map was strongly objected to at higher levels in the Chinese
leadership was not known publicly in India. This was known only on June 12
this year when a national daily released a report by the China Institutes
of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR) linking the present LoC
tension to the new map. According to the article, China, for the first
time, criticised the new map which “posed a challenge to the sovereignty of
Pakistan and China”. The report was distributed by the Chinese Embassy in
Islamabad. It said that the new map “forced China into the Kashmir dispute,
stimulated China and Pakistan to take counter actions on the Kashmir issue,
and dramatically increased the difficulty in resolving the border issue
between China and India”.

Also Read: India Must Make No Compromise With China On LAC

The report also revealed that the Chinese Foreign Minister had voiced “his
strong opposition” to External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar during his
visit last year following the abrogation of Article 370. The week before
the August visit, Home Minister Amit Shah had spoken in Parliament about
taking back Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir (PoK) and Aksai Chin. The most
important remark to be noted in the CICIR report is that India’s ‘double
confidence’ behind the change of maps is due to its 2019 election victory
and that the US and some other Western countries ‘puffed India up from an
ideological point of view’ to hedge ‘against China’”.

Foreign Minister Jaishankar, with his vast experience of Chinese
leadership, should have anticipated neighbouring country’s reaction on the
ground at a time of their choosing. Did he catalyze our better border
vigilance?

After the violent face-off between Indian and Chinese troops in Galwan
Valley, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi seized the early propaganda
advantage by accusing India of “violating the consensus of the two sides by
illegally crossing the border twice and carrying out provocative attacks on
Chinese soldiers, resulting in serious physical clashes”.

Compared to it, India’s reaction, especially by the External Affairs
Ministry, was feeble, confused, and delayed. We were not even able to issue
a statement to the distraught public giving details. Even the casualty
figures could not be confirmed till June 16, 10 pm. Even now the number is
tentative. There was not even unanimity on whether the incident was within
the buffer zone or in India’s territory. Why then did our spokespersons
repeat claims that the Chinese did not occupy our territory?

Also Read:  3348 km Of Boundary To Share, Why India And China Can Never Be
At Peace

This shows China is using the same language it used against India while
justifying its 1962 incursions into India. In 1972 Zhou en Lai had accused
Nehru of being a surrogate of Nikita Khrushchev during his talks with
President Richard Nixon at Beijing.  The same charge is now leveled against
Modi. The 1962 attack was to insult Nehru while the 2020 attack is to
discredit Narendra Modi.

(The writer is a former Special Secretary, Cabinet Secretariat. Views
expressed are personal)

III.
https://gulfnews.com/opinion/op-eds/galwan-stand-off-nationalism-can-lead-to-dangerous-consequences-1.72188019?fbclid=IwAR0oI_z9MoNx19EbHdNrqz8UIVwOWzksUIUCl3PbPQoQby3mziX96qcaWR0

Galwan stand-off: Nationalism can lead to dangerous consequences
Modi’s hopes in China have slowly vaporised, just as it did in the case of
Pandit Nehru

Published:  June 22, 2020 23:38
C.P. Surendran, Special to Gulf News

Prime Minister Narendra Modi during an all party meeting to discuss the
situation along the India-China border via video conferencing, in New Delhi.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi during an all party meeting to discuss the
situation along the India-China border via video conferencing, in New Delhi
Image Credit: PTI

Photos: Gulf News readers share pictures of stunning sunrise and sunset in
the UAE

After winning independence from the British in 1947, Indian nationalism has
always found an unfailing vehicle in cricket, especially when India plays
cricket with Pakistan.

If Imran Khan hit a six or took a wicket, it would be always a lesser six
and a lesser wicket than, say, Sachin Tendulkar’s (Sachin played against
Imran when he was still in his teens). The difference between the two sixes
is nationalism. It adds more runs to the same stroke.

But outside sports, nationalism could prove to be injurious to health. Last
week, following a confrontation between, China and India, at and around the
rather fluid Line of Actual Control (LAC) that crosses the Galwan Valley —
the Galwan River flows from the higher reaches of Aksai Chin in the
Himalayas down to Ladakh — 20 Indian soldiers were killed in a
confrontation with China.

In the weeks and even months building up to this confrontation, Indian
media was flexing muscles and taunting China. If the 9 O’ clock news was
any indication, Modi’s India was not only prepared for war up in the
freezing northern border heights, but actually did not mind having one,
never mind the coronavirus.
-
The clubbing, a rather primitive way of settling scores in modern military
times, is because reportedly in some patrolling areas, soldiers from either
country are not supposed to carry guns; but presumably, sticks or maces or
stones are allowed. So, then, what would be the point? Never mind.

Indian reports at first said that in a historic effort to take back its
territory from China, three of its soldiers were ‘martyred,’ and five
Chinese soldiers were ‘slaughtered.’

MORE ON THE CRISIS
 India-China dispute: What is the significance of Galwan Valley?
 India and China must defuse border tension
 De-escalate and disengage, now the buzzwords in India-China standoff,
experts say
 India, China troops clash at disputed border with ‘casualties on both
sides’

Perspective of nationalism
We will merely note in passing that the terms used solely depend on which
nation is seen as aggressor from a perspective of nationalism. And we must
note, too, how the subjective reality of the issue changes with each
nation’s perception.

In the weeks and even months building up to this confrontation, Indian
media was flexing muscles and taunting China. If the 9 O’ clock news was
any indication, Modi’s India was not only prepared for war up in the
freezing northern border heights, but actually did not mind having one,
never mind the coronavirus.

Perhaps the patriotic media were under the customary delusion induced by
extreme nationalist fervour (as in the case of Germany in the 1930s) that a
war economy — all sectors of the industry would be working at full capacity
— was the way out of India’s woes, not to mention great TRP ratings.

Flattering self-perception
BJP leaders have been in the throes of a grand notion for some time now.
That India is a nuclear power is central to this flattering
self-perception. But so is China. Indeed, so is Pakistan.

That makes this part of the universe one of the most sensitive in terms of
humanity’s destructive potential, and, indeed, argues against an excessive
display of nationalism.

In addition to India’s size and population, a factor contributing to its
collective delusional state seems to be its military personnel strength,
which is roughly around 347,000 compared to China’s 270,000.

But in every other department, jets, helicopters, ships, tanks, armoured
vehicles, China is far, far ahead. Indeed, China’s defence budget at $225
billion is nearly five times that of India’s at $55 billion.

None of this seems to have an effect on India’s perception of reality.
Jingoism flourishes. And often the psychosis of self-deception percolates
from the top, unfortunately.

India’s ever combative home minister, Amit Shah, for instance, said in
Parliament in August 2019, as he abrogated article 370 giving special
autonomy to Kashmir (and bifurcating Jammu and Kashmir into separate
entities of Jammu and Kashmir, and Ladakh) that Pakistan-administered
Kashmir, and Aksai Chin (under the control of China), as integral parts
respectively of Kashmir and the Union Territory of Ladakh, and that he
(Shah) would give his life to defend or take back what he considered was
Indian land.

Kashmir Ladakh
Ladakh: The latest deadly clashes are among the most violent in the border
area in at least half a century
Image Credit: AFP

Political pay off
These border-lines and claims have a complicated and conflicting history
since British times. Territorial claims, in any case, are not easy to
resolve because they invariably come with a political pay off, and whole
governments could be thrown off power.

When Shah made that rousing speech, it was good to hear. But then it is
always good to hear there are causes larger than one’s petty self. It gives
one hope that one is not alone after all, affirming one’s faith in a
collective cause. Except one is wrong. One still has to go out into the
field and earn one’s bread.

The wise thing under the circumstances would be to avoid further friction
in the vexed border issues and focus on other, more pressing matters, of
which there is no dearth, starting with the economy.

Only, if you are riding the nationalist tiger, it is not easy to get off.
In the wake of the Galwan Valley confrontation, therefore, the BJP will
find the beast bounding under them even faster and hungrier.

Soon after the Galwan incident, Prime Minister Narendra Modi stated that no
Chinese transgression has happened. But if that was the case, how would one
explain the death of 20 soldiers, and the release of 10 from Chinese
custody? If he meant China has withdrawn post the battle, the credit would
go to the enemy.

India's overweening strength
That India has not mentioned the number of Chinese casualties — if any —
might be put down to a touch of diplomacy, but given its current state of
relations with Pakistan, Nepal, and China, diplomacy appears not to be
India’s overweening strength.

Perhaps it is not entirely India’s fault. When Modi came to power for the
first time in 2014, Xi Jinping was the first state guest. The photo ops
then included a shared swing moment at Sabarmati in Gujarat, a state Modi
had ruled as chief minister for over a decade.

In October 2019, the two leaders had another summit in Mahabalipuram, in
Tamil Nadu. In between, in 2018, Modi visited China twice, proof that he
was courting closer ties and investments.

But Modi’s hopes in China have slowly vaporised, just as it did in the case
of Pandit Nehru (who was shattered by the Chinese invasion in 1962, when
the People’s Liberation Army came up to the Brahmaputra River, and
returned, choosing not to enter Calcutta), a man seen generally by the BJP
as the cause of many of India’s developmental ills.

How odd that in China, Modi shares his sense of betrayal with one of his
arch enemies. That is a very good reason why India should be nobody’s enemy.

— C. P. Surendran is a senior journalist based in India.


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