*In the context of the schedules assembly poll in West Bengal, early next year*
Vote shares of the parties/combines in last 4 polls in West Bengal: 2011 Assembly / 2014 Lok Sabha / 2016 Assembly / 2019 Lok Sabha %age vote share TMC: 38.9 / 39.8 / 44.9 / 43.7 Left: 41.1 / 30.1 / 25.6 / (7?) 6.3 (CPM only) Cong: 09.1 / 09.7 / 12.3 / 5.7 BJP: 04.1 / 17.0 / 10.2 / 40.6 (Ref.: < https://www.oneindia.com/kolkata/bengal-polls-2016-parties-vote-shares-comparisons-2011-and-2014-figure-2104011.html> and < https://www.oneindia.com/kolkata/bengal-polls-2016-parties-vote-shares-comparisons-2011-and-2014-figure-2104011.html >.) So, in the last Lok Sabha poll, the BJP gained, as compared to the preceding assembly poll: 30.2% points. That's a massive gain. Their vote share spiked to become about 4 times. The TMC lost: 1.2% points. The Cong. lost: 6.6% points - got reduced to just below half. The Left lost: <18% points - reduced to less than one-third. So, wherefrom the additional votes of the BJP came? Any comment is superfluous. Even a small increase in the vote share of the BJP will tilt the scale decisively in its favour - in terms of number of seats. Assuming it'd start off from where it had ended last time. That, though, may not be the case. It's precisely in that context the appeal of Dipankar Bhattacharya (ref.: < https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=10224607199952605&id=1387786704>) and, subsequent, message from Sitaram Yechury (ref: < https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=10224623964411706&id=1387786704> and < https://news.google.com/articles/CAIiEMpJVgfJIMV-sbC4KmKEgLgqMwgEKioIACIQukpDkFnrHbDQGyBDxSojnyoUCAoiELpKQ5BZ6x2w0BsgQ8UqI58w37jrBg?hl=en-IN&gl=IN&ceid=IN%3Aen>) beome all that relevant. An excerpt from Dipankar's message: "I’m saying that first of all, the Left should be very clear that the thrust has to be squarely against the BJP. There cannot be any mix-up. So far, many of the Left parties have been treating the Trinamool as the No. 1 target… Yes, they are in power but (we) should clearly see the writing on the wall. And the writing on the wall is that the BJP is a growing danger in West Bengal." (Ref.: < https://indianexpress.com/elections/bihar-election-results-left-parties-cpiml-dipankar-bhattacharya-7046545/ >.) An excerpt from one of the two most articulate leaders/spokespersons from the CPI(M), West Bengal: "In the national level politics, it is obviously the RSS and BJP, and at the state level, it is Trinamool as it was instrumental for BJP’s growth in Bengal." (Ref: < https://m.thewire.in/article/politics/will-the-cpim-congress-alliance-in-west-bengal-work-this-time/amp >.) That says it all. The same has, just, been forcefully echoed by the Party General Secretary in the vernacular organ of the party. Despite the experience of Tripura which should have been rather fresh in mind: <<The party (i.e. CPM) also gave a list of the alleged violent incidents and said 514 people were injured and 196 houses set on fire. "After the election results were out, goons of the BJP have unleashed a reign of terror and all-round attacks on members and supporters of the CPM, their houses, party offices and mass organisation offices throughout the state," said the memorandum, which was submitted to Modi in Parliament.>> (Ref.: < https://www.firstpost.com/politics/reign-of-terror-cpm-flays-bjp-after-two-lenin-statues-razed-after-saffron-partys-historic-tripura-win-seeks-pms-intervention-4379133.html/amp >.) That's apart from the larger implications including the temporarily suspended launch of the (monstrous?) NPR/NRC drive. Seized with a strange death wish. Sukla -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Green Youth Movement" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web, visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/greenyouth/CACEsOZitep2oT9%2BTScXwscKtRTtgAY-_KmzKVKe_7qco3wiipA%40mail.gmail.com.
