Sorry! Please read "Tashkent in '64" as ”Tashkent in '66".
Sukla On Fri, Mar 18, 2022, 23:59 Sukla Sen <[email protected]> wrote: > Dear Sekhar, > > Nice that you've asked. > > I. Whether the firing of a rogue missile is a genuine error or not, one > can ascertain only after the outcome of a credible enquiry is (made) > available. > That's what's not evidently going to happen. > However, on scanning the various reports, video clips and press > statements, it appears to me that it was, *most likely,* something > unintended. > *However*, the possibility of it being done by design to test (i) the > responses of Pakistan's installed, and duly programmed, defence/monitoring > equipments or/and (ii) the human reactions on its side, can, at this stage, > be completely ruled out. > Of course, there's, as yet, no whatever evidence to indicate that. > Seemingly, Pakistan also, now, shares this assessment. > Regardless, not to forget, it has asked for a joint enquiry. > > II. As regards your specific query, one may quite confidently conclude, > the "failure" to "notify" immediately after the firing is just no mistake, > it's simply deliberate. > > As regards the motive, I'd like to point out that India has traditionally > stonewalled third-party intervention in Indo-Pak disputes on the plea that > it's "bilateral". Never mind that the two parties involved are unable to > solve by themselves. > To my mind, mainly because India is much the stronger party here. > To be fair, India did reject Trump's offer to mediate between India and > China over the border disputes, on the same plea - soon after China > rejecting it. > The last time, there was an *open* third-party involvement, was probably > in Tashkent in '64. > > But, the two countries used to meet and talk - even if under > (behind-the-screen) third-party pressure. > > Of late, since even before the 2019 poll, India, emerging much stronger, > has virtually stopped dealing with Pakistan, in any meaningful manner - > except t operation levels. > In the process, the SAARC has been shoved into deep freezer and a BIMSTEC > has been created. > > The refusal this time is just of a piece with that. > It's no less than a matter of policy. > That's how I, for one, get it. > In the subject case, of course, the regime has outdone itself; it > responded to the incident not only nearly 48 hrs after the incident and a > day after the Pakistani press conference demanding an explanation, but, > that too, (apparently) just via a press release. > Consequences could very well turn out to be just horrible. > > Sukla > > On Fri, Mar 18, 2022, 20:23 Sekhar Ramakrishnan <[email protected]> > wrote: > >> Dear Sukla, What comes through here, thanks to CNDP's summary, is that >> there was a very serious error in India not contacting Pakistan >> immediately. Or, one has to wonder, was it a deliberate provocation by a >> Hindutva person or group within the Indian military? Regards, Sekhar >> >> On Fri, Mar 18, 2022 at 10:12 AM Sukla Sen <[email protected]> wrote: >> >>> >>> The Coalition for Nuclear Disarmament and Peace (CNDP), India, expresses >>> its grave concern over the events surrounding the mislaunch of an >>> Indian unarmed supersonic cruise missile that landed in Pakistani >>> territory at around 07.20 pm IST on 09 March 2022. >>> >>> >>> >>> The accident was first brought to light by the Pakistani military >>> establishment through a press conference >>> <https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-11/pakistan-says-unarmed-missile-from-india-landed-in-its-territory> >>> on the following day (10 March). However, it was only about 48 hours >>> after the incident that the Indian Defence Ministry, through a press >>> statement <https://pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1805148>, >>> chose to confirm the incident describing it as accidental and terming >>> it “deeply regrettable''. >>> >>> >>> >>> News reports suggest that, since India did not alert Pakistan promptly >>> about the mislaunch as per agreed norms >>> <https://pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1700682>, Pakistani >>> forces initially prepared for a retaliatory strike >>> <https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-15/errant-indian-missile-nearly-led-to-pakistan-retaliatory-strike>. >>> However, fortunately, saner heads appear to have prevailed, who >>> recognised that the intrusion into their territory by a flying object was >>> likely not deliberate. That the accident fortunately did not cause any >>> loss of life or strike any military installation also must have helped. >>> >>> >>> >>> This incident, regardless, exemplifies the perpetually present dangers >>> of a devastating war, between the two nuclear-armed countries. >>> >>> >>> >>> The CNDP, therefore, demands that the Government of India, as the first >>> step, provide a credible explanation regarding the mislaunch and about >>> its failure to alert the Pakistani Government immediately thereafter in >>> violation >>> of agreed norms. >>> >>> >>> >>> We also urge the governments of India and Pakistan to immediately work >>> out credible and effective confidence building measures (CBMs), revive >>> the multiple channels of communication to avoid any misunderstandings and >>> set >>> up a functioning joint monitoring mechanism to avert the possibility of a >>> disaster arising out of any accident in future. >>> >>> >>> March 18 2022 >>> >>> >>> >>> -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Green Youth Movement" group. 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