In its very essence, the current crisis of the Sena arises out of one
structural and one conjunctural factor.

The structural one is the fact that the Sena had to go into a very
unnatural, and presumably transient, alliance with the NCP-Congress in the
state in order to regain its long held edge over its traditional ally.
While the opening gambit went remarkably well, the route leading to the
end-game - going back to the old alliance after regaining it's dominant
status, kept becoming more and more tangled. In fact, in the process, the
relationship between the two estranged partners got progressively more
difficult. That triggered huge unease in its support base.
The conjunctural factor is the highhanded manner of the party supremo
inherited from his way more charismatic father.

There's is, of course, a third factor here - the huge elephant in the room.
The blatant leveraging of the state and money power by the BJP - in brazen
disregard of all democratic and ethical norms, in order to encash the
turbulence in the Sena ranks to unseat the incumbent ruling coalition in
the state.

Given the utterly murky situation, the least undesirable resolution would
be the immediate dissolution of the state assembly, duly followed by a poll
at the soonest.

The fall of the MVA government in Maharashtra - engineered by the BJP,
would, of course, further speed up the dismantlement of "India" - already
pretty much underway, steered by the incumbent regime in Delhi.
It's, to be sure, going to have a traumatic impact on the state politics.

<
https://www.thequint.com/news/politics/eknath-shinde-maharashtra-rebel-leader-letter-uddhav-thackeray-humiliated-by-middlemen#read-more
>

<
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/maharashtra-political-crisis-news-live-updates-mva-government-bjp-ncp-eknath-shinde-uddhav-thackeray-sanjay-raut-shiv-sena/liveblog/92375456.cms
>

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