Hi Allin
the script worked fine. I think he issue was that I was hoping to get the
shaded area to apply to pre-forecast fitted values as well as the post
estimation sample estimates, which was why it was unwilling to offer a
shaded area but would give only error bars.  If I shorten my estimation
period to leave to reserve years for the  forecast, the the shaded area is
graphed for the post estimation sample predicted values.
Problem solved.
Thanks

On Fri, 9 May 2025 at 13:28, Cottrell, Allin <cottr...@wfu.edu> wrote:

> On Fri, May 9, 2025 at 5:21 AM Brian Revell <bjr.newm...@gmail.com> wrote:
> >
> > Re 2025a Gretl version
> > Sven
> > the 2 attached screen grabs clearly show for both OLS and Arima that the
> options for the CI are greyed out with effectively a default to range bars.
>
> The "range bars" only situation is supposed to arise when only a
> single forecast is possible. Could you try running the following
> script and see what you get in the forecast dialog, please?
>
> nulldata 50
> set seed 654321
> setobs 1 1975 --time
> series u = normal()
> series y = 5
> y = 0.5*y(-1) + u + 0.2*u(-1)
> smpl ; 2012
> arma 1 1 ; y -w
>
> Allin Cottrell
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