Jason D'Cruz

15-yr old Goan-American To Present Research Paper 
at International Artificial Intelligence Conference 

Cocoa Beach, FL. October 15, 2005. Fifteen-year old Goan-American 
Jason Paul D'Cruz, a tenth grader in the International Baccalaureate 
program at Cocoa Beach Jr/Sr High School in Cocoa Beach, Florida will 
be presenting a research paper based on his science research project 
at the Indian International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in 
Pune, India, Dec 20-22, 2005.

This peer-reviewed paper is titled "Using Chaos and Complexity Theory 
and the Design of Experiments to Forecast Stock Prices - Tools of 
Artificial Intelligence". The paper was selected for presentation and 
publication in the conference proceedings because of its radically 
different approach to forecasting Next-Day Stock Prices and the high 
level of accuracy resulting from the method. 

Jason has been working on stock market-related science research 
projects for the past three years, with assistance from faculty 
advisors at Florida Tech, who have co-authored the paper. His 
research interests include the Strategies and Tactics of 
Billionaires, Using Chaos and Complexity Theory to beat the stock 
market and Using Yoga to outperform the competition in basketball. He 
is a point guard on the Cocoa Beach High School Basketball team and 
he attended the Point Guard Basketball College in North Carolina this 
summer. He participates regularly in Florida Tech's K-12 outreach 
programs and science/engineering camps. He has competed at the State 
Level in Spelling Bee, Geography Bee, Future Problem Solving, Odyssey 
of the Mind and Science & Engineering Fair competitions.

It was an interesting analogy between basketball and the stock market 
that gave him the breakthrough idea that resulted in this science 
research project.

Playing the stock market is like playing a game of basketball where 
the players do not know the rules of the game and are playing by 
rules of different games – as a result there is chaos on the court:  
The Forwards (technical analysts) are playing by the rules of soccer; 
The Center (rational analyst) is acting like a quarterback and 
playing by the rules of football; The Guards (defensive, fundamental 
analysts) are playing by the rules of hockey.

Everyone knows that the goal of the game is to score baskets and win 
(make money), not lose and defend (not lose money). However no one 
knows the rules in this game of basketball and everyone thinks they 
know how to play the game. As a result there is chaos on court and in 
the stock market. Some of the players have made some moves and have 
succeeded in scoring a few baskets, but it has been a chaotic, low 
scoring game with referees blowing the whistle all the time. This was 
the way the Jason found the stock market when he began his research – 
Chaotic – Everyone he asked (advisors, consultants, family friends) 
always thought they knew some aspects of how the stock market works, 
gave some advice or two – but no one could not really tell whether 
the Closing Price for a particular stock tomorrow will be lower or 
higher. 

That is why Jason took it upon himself to find out the rules of the 
stock market using the Chaos and Complexity Theory, Technical 
Indicators and the Design of Experiments methodology. The results 
were amazing - his model gave him equations (rules of the game) for 
the Next Day Stock Prices that were over 95% accurate. These rules 
were different for different stocks and changed every day.

"We are very excited to learn about Jason's accomplishment. This is a 
great honor for Cocoa Beach Jr/Sr High School. I look forward to his 
performance at the conference with all the Ph.D. researchers in 
Artificial Intelligence" said Mr. Tim Cool, the principal of Cocoa 
Beach Jr./Sr. High School.

Jason is the son of Dr. Carmo D'Cruz and Sandra D'Cruz, CPA, who 
currently reside in Indian Harbour Beach, Florida. His younger 
brother Jonathan (13) too is on the academic honor roll, excels at 
basketball and in playing the saxophone. Jason's grandmothers Mrs. 
Liara D'Cruz and Mrs. Rina D'Silva plan to attend the conference in 
Pune and hear their grandson present his research paper.








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