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Afghans give surprise to US-led coalition
http://www.afghan-web.com/aop/today.html
American objectives lost in Afghanistan's north-south
conflict
By Kamran Khan
The News: Jang (Pakistan)
October 23, 2001
KARACHI: Unforeseen developments inside Afghanistan
have derailed the projections made by the United
States and Pakistani military strategists that Mulla
Omar-led Taliban regime may be crushed under a
political and military rebellion within first few days
of US aerial strikes over Afghanistan.
Because of these developments the US military is
meeting roadblocks in achieving military targets in
northern Afghanistan, while in the south and east
Pakistani officials have not yet been able to cobble
together a moderate Pashtun military and political
alternative to Taliban.
The most important of the recent unexpected
developments, informed Pakistani officials disclosed,
is an outright refusal even by staunchly anti-Taliban
Pashtun tribal leaders from the southern and eastern
provinces of Afghanistan to join the United States
special forces in their attempt to pummel the Taliban
military power.
At the same time, though, some top Taliban officials
including a few ministers and provincial governors are
willing to join a new broad-based multi-ethnic
government but they would "at no cost" be ready to
raise a military challenge against the Taliban
government in its strongholds that cover the entire
eastern and southern provinces of Afghanistan,
official sources said.
A government source said that a few of the top Taliban
officials who came into direct or indirect contact
with Pakistani security officials in recent days were
not willing to provide specific intelligence on the
whereabouts of Mulla Omar or any of his close military
and political associates, giving an indication that
Taliban officials who had established contact with
Pakistan might have done that under a well-thought
strategy by Taliban and Al-Qaeda.
"It is not less than a miracle that in two weeks of
satellite guided bombing no important Taliban or
al-Qaeda commander was killed or hurt, which means
that the entire command structure of both
organizations is still pretty much intact," the
government source said.
"Pashtun tribesmen may change their political
loyalties overnight, but it is unnatural to expect
them to turn their weapons against fellow tribesmen to
help foreign invaders," said an official explaining
the argument behind Pakistan's failure in organizing a
military rebellion against Taliban.
Pakistani officials have said that their contacts with
Pashtun tribal leaders in southern Afghanistan and
with other Taliban leaders were only of "exploratory
nature" on the military front, while they have
characterized their efforts on the political side as
"very intense, but still without any tangible
results".
Pakistani government, through its secret service, is
encouraging moderate Taliban leaders to abandon Mulla
Omar and the coterie of hardline supporters around him
and to publicly announce their support for a
broad-based government in Afghanistan.
Increased anxiety gripped Pakistani Foreign Office on
Monday as reports poured in about intense diplomatic
activities in the Tajikistan capital of Dushanbe,
where Russian President Valdimir Putin had held long
ranging discussions with the Northern Alliance leader
Professor Burhanuddin Rabbani.
In a flurry of statements issued in last three days,
Russia, India, and Iran, three main supporters of the
Northern Alliance, rejected any role for moderate
Taliban in any future government in Afghanistan,
leaving Pakistan as the only supporter for moderate
Taliban representation.
"We have told the US that Pakistan would forcefully
resist any attempt to impose any Northern
Alliance-influenced political set-up on Afghanistan,"
a senior Pakistani official said." "Quest for a
friendly government in Afghanistan is still the key
plank of Pakistan's new Afghanistan policy." Military
affairs analysts said that despite a pro-US shift in
its Afghan policy, the Musharraf government wouldn't
help create a situation in Pashtun dominated areas of
Afghanistan that may deliver the anti-Pakistan
Northern Alliance a military as well as a political
victory on its western borders. And that too at a time
when a belligerent Hindu nationalist government in
India is threatening to take "specific military action
against Pakistan", as declared by George Fernandez,
Indian Defence Minister, on Sunday.
Though not representing the official position of the
government, some Pakistani officials in their private
comments said that the military resilience showed by
Taliban in defending the city of Mazar-i-Sharif in
northern Afghanistan has surprised both Pakistani and
US military officials who were particularly impressed
by the Taliban military skills in repulsing attacks
from Northern Alliance and in re-capturing the area,
Northern Alliance had managed to gain in its initial
military manoeuvre.
Pakistani sources said that the fall of Mazar-i-Sharif
to Northern Alliance would allow Russia and other
anti-Taliban forces including United States to
recommend the opening of the Termez bridge over Ommo
river.
This strategically important bridge provides a crucial
link for military and other supplies from Central
Asian Republics of Tajikistan and Uzbekistan.
Surprisingly, while some Pakistani military
strategists are still debating the downside of
Northern Alliance's military victory in northern
Afghanistan, hundreds of Pakistani youth have already
joined their jihadi brethren from a number of Arab and
Muslim states to form the front lines of defence for
Mazar-i-Sharif.
"My first cousin was amongst thirty five youth who had
left for Afghanistan two weeks ago to join his former
commander in Mazar-i-Sharif," said Khalid Soorti who
revealed that 35 youth from Karachi Memon community
had left to join jihad from the Hussainabad district
of Federal B Area in the first week of October.
Two-day long intense bombing by US forces of Taliban
forces defending the town of Mazar-i-Sharif has
provided an unparalleled military opportunity to
Northern Alliance forces to launch a decisive
offensive to capture Mazar-i-Sharif, a feat that will
lead to the opening of Termez bridge and for huge
military supplies from Russia as promised by President
Putin during his Sunday visit to Dushanbe.
Pakistani official position that seeks to resist
military or political advantage to Northern Alliance
strengthened further last week as it received evidence
that the elements of Russian army belonging to its
201st division deployed in Tajikistan have joined
Northern Alliance in its drive to capture
Mazar-i-Sharif
The 201st Div is also equipped with heavy artillery
units. Media reports have said that senior officers
from US special forces are now counselling Northern
Alliance military commanders, particularly Gen Abdur
Rashid Dostum, as he prepares to lead about 2000
troops for the battle for Mazar-i-Sharif.
"So far the destruction of an improvised military
infrastructure and ruining of petrol depots, radio
stations, government barracks and the residential
compound of Mulla Omar represent the victory of US
military campaign," said a senior Pakistani official
who thought that the "US had already invested more
than a billion dollar in war that has not yet begun."
____________________________________________________________
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Go to http://uk.yahoo.com/nokiagame/ and join the new
all media adventure before November 3rd.
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