thanks

On 2/20/11, Ghulam Muhammed <[email protected]> wrote:
> http://www.economist.com/research/articlesBySubject/displaystory.cfm?subjectid=7294978&story_id=18008022
>
>
> *Islam and demography*
>
> *A waxing crescent*
>
> *Islam is growing. But ageing and slowing. That will change the world
> *
>
> *Jan 27th 2011 | From The Economist print edition
> *
> *ARE Muslims taking over the world, or at a minimum, transforming Europe
> into Eurabia? Whatever your hopes or fears for the future of the world’s
> religions, a report published this week has plenty to stoke them. “The
> Future of the Global Muslim Population”, produced by the Pew Research
> Centre, a non-profit outfit based in Washington, DC, reckons Muslim numbers
> will soar from 1.6 billion in 2010 to 2.2 billion by 2030. In other words,
> from 23.4% to 26.4% of the global total.
>
> At the heart of its analysis is the ongoing effect of a “youth bulge” which
> peaked in 2000. In 1990 Islam’s share of the world’s youth was 20%; in 2010,
> 26%. In 2030 it will be 29% (of 15-to-29-year-olds). But the Muslim world is
> slowly heading towards paunchiness: the median age in Muslim-majority
> countries was 19 in 1990. It is 24 now, and will be 30 by 2030. (For French,
> Germans and Japanese the figure is 40 or over.) This suggests Muslim numbers
> will ultimately stop climbing, but later than the rest of the world
> population.
>
> The authors call their calculations demographic, not political. Drawing on
> earlier Pew research, they say conversion is not a big factor in the global
> contest between Islam, Christianity and other faiths; the converts balance
> out. Nor do they assess piety; via the imperfect data of the United Nations,
> the European Union and national statistics, they aim simply to measure how
> many people call themselves Muslim, at least culturally, if asked.
>
> New numbers, they say, will change the world map. As Indonesia prospers, its
> birth rate is falling; South Asia’s remains very high. By 2030, 80m extra
> mouths in Pakistan will boost its Muslim numbers to 256m, ousting Indonesia
> (with 239m) as the most populous Islamic land. India’s Muslim minority will
> be nearly as large at 236m—though growth is slowing there too. And in 2030
> India’s Muslims will still constitute only a modest 15.9% of that country’s
> swelling total, against 14.6% now.
>
> The report asserts no causal link between Islamic teaching and high
> fertility rates, although it notes that poverty and poor education are a
> problem in many Muslim lands. In Muslim countries such as Bangladesh and
> Turkey, it observes, the lay and religious authorities encourage birth
> control. Better medical care and lower mortality boost poor-country
> population numbers too.
>
> Some bleak findings concern Nigeria, where Muslim numbers are seen rising to
> 117m in 2030 from 76m now, edging up from 47.9% to 51.5% of the population.
> Illiteracy among Nigerian women of child-bearing age is three times as high
> among Muslims (71.9%) as among others (23.9%). Two-thirds of Nigerian Muslim
> women lack any formal education; that goes for just over a tenth of their
> non-Muslim sisters. The fertility rate is between six and seven children per
> Muslim woman, versus five for non-Muslims. It is hard to prove that these
> factors are related, but they do seem to form a pattern.
> Eurabian nights
>
> The total Muslim share of Europe’s population is predicted to grow from 6%
> now to 8% in 2030: hardly the stuff of nightmares. But amid that are some
> sharp rises. The report assumes Britain has 2.9m Muslims now (far higher
> than the usual estimates, which suggest 2.4m at most), rising to 5.6m by
> 2030. As poor migrants start families in Spain and Italy, numbers there will
> rocket; in France and Germany, where some Muslims are middle-class, rises
> will be more modest—though from a higher base. Russia’s Muslims will
> increase to 14.4% or 18.6m, up from 11.7% now (partly because non-Muslims
> are declining). The report takes a cautious baseline of 2.6m American
> Muslims in 2010, but predicts the number will surge by 2030 to 6.2m, or 1.7%
> of the population—about the same size as Jews or Episcopalians. In Canada
> the Muslim share will surge from 2.8% to 6.6%.
>
> How will liberal democracies accommodate such variety? The clarity of a
> written constitution may give America an advantage over many European
> countries, where unwritten custom has more sway. Jonathan Laurence, an
> Islam-watcher and professor at Boston College, thinks Europe could rise to
> the challenge, but failure is also easy to imagine. Europe’s Muslims should,
> by 2030, have become articulate and effective political bargainers. But with
> nativism on the march, it is also highly possible that Muslims will come to
> feel they have less in common with their fellow citizens than with their
> growing band of co-religionists elsewhere.
> *
> --------------------------
> http://pewforum.org/The-Future-of-the-Global-Muslim-Population.aspx
>
> The Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life <http://pewforum.org/>
> The Future of the Global Muslim Population Projections for 2010-2030
> ANALYSIS January 27, 2011
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>
>
>
>    -
> Report<http://pewforum.org/The-Future-of-the-Global-Muslim-Population.aspx>
>    - Interactive
> Maps<http://features.pewforum.org/muslim-population-graphic/>
>    - Sortable Data Tables <http://features.pewforum.org/muslim-population/>
>
> [image: md2-lede_large] Executive Summary
>
> The world’s Muslim population is expected to increase by about 35% in the
> next 20 years, rising from 1.6 billion in 2010 to 2.2 billion by 2030,
> according to new population projections by the Pew Research Center’s Forum
> on Religion & Public Life.
>
> Globally, the Muslim population is forecast to grow at about twice the rate
> of the non-Muslim population over the next two decades – an average annual
> growth rate of 1.5% for Muslims, compared with 0.7% for non-Muslims. If
> current trends continue, Muslims will make up 26.4% of the world’s total
> projected population of 8.3 billion in 2030, up from 23.4% of the estimated
> 2010 world population of 6.9 billion.
>
> While the global Muslim population is expected to grow at a faster rate than
> the non-Muslim population, the Muslim population nevertheless is expected to
> grow at a slower pace in the next two decades than it did in the previous
> two decades. From 1990 to 2010, the global Muslim population increased at an
> average annual rate of 2.2%, compared with the projected rate of 1.5% for
> the period from 2010 to 2030.
>
> [image: md2-1]
>
> These are among the key findings of a comprehensive report on the size,
> distribution and growth of the global Muslim population. The report by the
> Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life seeks to provide up-to-date estimates of
> the number of Muslims around the world in 2010 and to project the growth of
> the Muslim population from 2010 to 2030. The projections are based both on
> past demographic trends and on assumptions about how these trends will play
> out in future years. Making these projections inevitably entails a host of
> uncertainties, including political ones. Changes in the political climate in
> the United States or European nations, for example, could dramatically
> affect the patterns of Muslim migration.
>
> [image: md2-2]
>
> If current trends continue, however, 79 countries will have a million or
> more Muslim inhabitants in 2030, up from 72 countries
> today.1<http://pewforum.org/The-Future-of-the-Global-Muslim-Population.aspx#ftn1>A
> majority of the world’s Muslims (about 60%) will continue to live in
> the
> Asia-Pacific region, while about 20% will live in the Middle East and North
> Africa, as is the case today. But Pakistan is expected to surpass Indonesia
> as the country with the single largest Muslim population. The portion of the
> world’s Muslims living in sub-Saharan Africa is projected to rise; in 20
> years, for example, more Muslims are likely to live in Nigeria than in
> Egypt. Muslims will remain relatively small minorities in Europe and the
> Americas, but they are expected to constitute a growing share of the total
> population in these regions.
>
> [image: md2-0]
>
> In the United States, for example, the population projections show the
> number of Muslims more than doubling over the next two decades, rising from
> 2.6 million in 2010 to 6.2 million in 2030, in large part because of
> immigration and higher-than-average fertility among Muslims. The Muslim
> share of the U.S. population (adults and children) is projected to grow from
> 0.8% in 2010 to 1.7% in 2030, making Muslims roughly as numerous as Jews or
> Episcopalians are in the United States today. Although several European
> countries will have substantially higher percentages of Muslims, the United
> States is projected to have a larger number of Muslims by 2030 than any
> European countries other than Russia and France. (See the Americas
> section<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-regional-americas.aspx>for
> more details.)
>
> In Europe as a whole, the Muslim share of the population is expected to grow
> by nearly one-third over the next 20 years, rising from 6% of the region’s
> inhabitants in 2010 to 8% in 2030. In absolute numbers, Europe’s Muslim
> population is projected to grow from 44.1 million in 2010 to 58.2 million in
> 2030. The greatest increases – driven primarily by continued migration – are
> likely to occur in Western and Northern Europe, where Muslims will be
> approaching double-digit percentages of the population in several countries.
> In the United Kingdom, for example, Muslims are expected to comprise 8.2% of
> the population in 2030, up from an estimated 4.6% today. In Austria, Muslims
> are projected to reach 9.3% of the population in 2030, up from 5.7% today;
> in Sweden, 9.9% (up from 4.9% today); in Belgium, 10.2% (up from 6% today);
> and in France, 10.3% (up from 7.5% today). (See the Europe
> section<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-regional-europe.aspx>
> .)
>
> Several factors account for the faster projected growth among Muslims than
> non-Muslims worldwide. Generally, Muslim populations tend to have higher
> fertility rates (more children per woman) than non-Muslim populations. In
> addition, a larger share of the Muslim population is in, or soon will enter,
> the prime reproductive years (ages 15-29). Also, improved health and
> economic conditions in Muslim-majority countries have led to
> greater-than-average declines in infant and child mortality rates, and life
> expectancy is rising even faster in Muslim-majority countries than in other
> less-developed countries. (See the section on Main Factors Driving
> Population
> Growth<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-main-factors.aspx>for
> more details. For a list of Muslim-majority countries and definitions
> for the terms less- and more-developed, see the section on Muslim- Majority
> Countries<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-muslim-majority.aspx>
> .)
> Growing, But at a Slower Rate
>
> The growth of the global Muslim population, however, should not obscure
> another important demographic trend: the *rate* of growth among Muslims has
> been slowing in recent decades and is likely to continue to decline over the
> next 20 years, as the graph below shows. From 1990 to 2000, the Muslim
> population grew at an average annual rate of 2.3%. The growth rate dipped to
> 2.1% from 2000 to 2010, and it is projected to drop to 1.7% from 2010 to
> 2020 and 1.4% from 2020 to 2030 (or 1.5% annually over the 20-year period
> from 2010 to 2030, as previously noted).
>
> [image: md2-3]
>
> The declining growth rate is due primarily to falling fertility rates in
> many Muslim-majority countries, including such populous nations as Indonesia
> and Bangladesh. Fertility is dropping as more women in these countries
> obtain a secondary education, living standards rise and people move from
> rural areas to cities and towns. (See the Related Factors
> section<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-related-factors.aspx>
> ** for more details.)
>
> [image: md2-4]
>
> The slowdown in Muslim population growth is most pronounced in the Asia-
> Pacific region, the Middle East-North Africa and Europe, and less sharp in
> sub-Saharan Africa. The only region where Muslim population growth is
> accelerating through 2020 is the Americas, largely because of immigration.
> (For details, see the charts on population growth in the sections of this
> report on
> Asia-Pacific<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-regional-asia.aspx>,
> Middle-East-North
> Africa<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-regional-middle-east.aspx>,
> Sub-Saharan
> Africa<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-regional-sub-saharan-africa.aspx>,
> Europe<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-regional-europe.aspx>and
> the
> Americas<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-regional-americas.aspx>
> **.)
>
> Falling birth rates eventually will lead to significant shifts in the age
> structure of Muslim populations. While the worldwide Muslim population today
> is relatively young, the so-called Muslim “youth bulge” – the high
> percentage of Muslims in their teens and 20s – peaked around the year 2000
> and is now declining. (See the Age Structure
> section<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-main-factors-age-structure.aspx>for
> more details.)
>
> In 1990, more than twothirds of the total population of Muslim-majority
> countries was under age 30. Today, people under 30 make up about 60% of the
> population of these countries, and by 2030 they are projected to fall to
> about 50%.
>
> At the same time, many Muslim-majority countries will have aging
> populations; between 2010 and 2030, the share of people age 30 and older in
> these countries is expected to rise from 40% to 50%, and the share of people
> age 60 and older is expected nearly to double, from 7% to 12%.
>
> Muslim-majority countries, however, are not the only ones with aging
> populations. As birth rates drop and people live longer all around the
> globe, the population of the entire world is aging. As a result, the global
> Muslim population will remain *comparatively* youthful for decades to come.
> The median age in Muslim-majority countries, for example, rose from 19 in
> 1990 to 24 in 2010 and is expected to climb to 30 by 2030. But it will still
> be lower than the median age in North America, Europe and other
> more-developed regions, which rose from 34 to 40 between 1990 and 2010 and
> is projected to be 44 in 2030. By that year, nearly three-inten of the
> world’s youth and young adults – 29.1% of people ages 15-29 – are projected
> to be Muslims, up from 25.8% in 2010 and 20.0% in 1990.
>
> Other key findings of the study include:
> Worldwide
>
>    - Sunni Muslims will continue to make up an overwhelming majority of
>    Muslims in 2030 (87- 90%). The portion of the world’s Muslims who are
> Shia
>    may decline slightly, largely because of relatively low fertility in
> Iran,
>    where more than a third of the world’s Shia Muslims live.
>    - As of 2010, about three-quarters of the world’s Muslims (74.1%) live in
>    the 49 countries in which Muslims make up a majority of the population.
> More
>    than a fifth of all Muslims (23.3%) live in non-Muslim-majority countries
> in
>    the developing world. About 3% of the world’s Muslims live in
> more-developed
>    regions, such as Europe, North America, Australia, New Zealand and Japan.
>    - Fertility rates in Muslim-majority countries are closely related to
>    women’s education levels. In the eight Muslim-majority countries where
> girls
>    generally receive the fewest years of schooling, the average fertility
> rate
>    (5.0 children per woman) is more than double the average rate (2.3
> children
>    per woman) in the nine Muslim-majority countries where girls generally
>    receive the *most* years of schooling. One exception is the Palestinian
>    territories, where the average fertility rate (4.5 children per woman) is
>    relatively high even though a girl born there today can expect to receive
> 14
>    years of formal education.
>    - Fewer than half (47.8%) of married women ages 15-49 in Muslim-majority
>    countries use some form of birth control. By comparison, in
>    non-Muslim-majority, less-developed countries nearly two-thirds (63.3%)
> of
>    all married women in that age group use some form of birth control.
>
> Asia-Pacific
>
> [image: md2-asia(2)]
>
>    - Nearly three-in-ten people living in the Asia-Pacific region in 2030
>    (27.3%) will be Muslim, up from about a quarter in 2010 (24.8%) and
> roughly
>    a fifth in 1990 (21.6%).
>    - Muslims make up only about 2% of the population in China, but because
>    the country is so populous, its Muslim population is expected to be the
> 19th
>    largest in the world in 2030.
>
> Middle East-North Africa
>
> [image: md2-middle]
>
>    - The Middle East-North Africa will continue to have the highest
>    percentage of Muslim-majority countries. Of the 20 countries and
> territories
>    in this region, all but Israel are projected to be at least 50% Muslim in
>    2030, and 17 are expected to have a population that is more than 75%
> Muslim
>    in 2030, with Israel, Lebanon and Sudan (as currently demarcated) being
> the
>    only exceptions.
>    - Nearly a quarter (23.2%) of Israel’s population is expected to be
>    Muslim in 2030, up from 17.7% in 2010 and 14.1% in 1990. During the past
> 20
>    years, the Muslim population in Israel has more than doubled, growing
> from
>    0.6 million in 1990 to 1.3 million in 2010. The Muslim population in
> Israel
>    (including Jerusalem but not the West Bank and Gaza) is expected to reach
>    2.1 million by 2030.
>    - Egypt, Algeria and Morocco currently have the largest Muslim
>    populations in the Middle East-North Africa. By 2030, however, Iraq is
>    expected to have the second-largest Muslim population in the region –
>    exceeded only by Egypt – largely because Iraq has a higher fertility rate
>    than Algeria or Morocco.
>
> Sub-Saharan Africa
>
>   [image: md2-africa-(2)]
>
>    - The Muslim population in sub-Saharan Africa is projected to grow by
>    nearly 60% in the next 20 years, from 242.5 million in 2010 to 385.9
> million
>    in 2030. Because the region’s non- Muslim population also is growing at a
>    rapid pace, Muslims are expected to make up only a slightly larger share
> of
>    the region’s population in 2030 (31.0%) than they do in 2010 (29.6%).
>    - Various surveys give differing figures for the size of religious groups
>    in Nigeria, which appears to have roughly equal numbers of Muslims and
>    Christians in 2010. By 2030, Nigeria is expected to have a slight Muslim
>    majority (51.5%).
>
> Europe
>
> [image: md2-europe(2)]
>
>    - In 2030, Muslims are projected to make up more than 10% of the total
>    population in 10 European countries: Kosovo (93.5%), Albania (83.2%),
>    Bosnia-Herzegovina (42.7%), Republic of Macedonia (40.3%), Montenegro
>    (21.5%), Bulgaria (15.7%), Russia (14.4%), Georgia (11.5%), France
> (10.3%)
>    and Belgium (10.2%).
>    - Russia will continue to have the largest Muslim population (in absolute
>    numbers) in Europe in 2030. Its Muslim population is expected to rise
> from
>    16.4 million in 2010 to 18.6 million in 2030. The growth rate for the
> Muslim
>    population in Russia is projected to be 0.6% annually over the next two
>    decades. By contrast, Russia’s non-Muslim population is expected to
> shrink
>    by an average of 0.6% annually over the same period.
>    - France had an expected net influx of 66,000 Muslim immigrants in 2010,
>    primarily from North Africa. Muslims comprised an estimated two-thirds
>    (68.5%) of all new immigrants to France in the past year. Spain was
> expected
>    to see a net gain of 70,000 Muslim immigrants in 2010, but they account
> for
>    a much smaller portion of all new immigrants to Spain (13.1%). The U.K.’s
>    net inflow of Muslim immigrants in the past year (nearly 64,000) was
>    forecast to be nearly as large as France’s. More than a quarter (28.1%)
> of
>    all new immigrants to the U.K. in 2010 are estimated to be Muslim.
>
> The Americas
>
> [image: md2-amer(2)]
>
>    - The number of Muslims in Canada is expected to nearly triple in the
>    next 20 years, from about 940,000 in 2010 to nearly 2.7 million in 2030.
>    Muslims are expected to make up 6.6% of Canada’s total population in
> 2030,
>    up from 2.8% today. Argentina is expected to have the third-largest
> Muslim
>    population in the Americas, after the U.S. and Canada. Argentina, with
> about
>    1 million Muslims in 2010, is now in second place, behind the U.S.
>    - Children under age 15 make up a relatively small portion of the U.S.
>    Muslim population today. Only 13.1% of Muslims are in the 0-14 age group.
>    This reflects the fact that a large proportion of Muslims in the U.S. are
>    newer immigrants who arrived as adults. But by 2030, many of these
>    immigrants are expected to start families. If current trends continue,
> the
>    number of U.S. Muslims under age 15 will more than triple, from fewer
> than
>    500,000 in 2010 to 1.8 million in2030. The number of Muslim children ages
>    0-4 living in the U.S. is expected to increase from fewer than 200,000 in
>    2010 to more than 650,000 in 2030.
>    - About two-thirds of the Muslims in the U.S. today (64.5%) are
>    first-generation immigrants (foreign-born), while slightly more than a
> third
>    (35.5%) were born in the U.S. By 2030, however, more than four-in-ten of
> the
>    Muslims in the U.S. (44.9%) are expected to be native-born.
>    - The top countries of origin for Muslim immigrants to the U.S. in 2009
>    were Pakistan and Bangladesh. They are expected to remain the top
> countries
>    of origin for Muslim immigrants to the U.S. in 2030.
>
> About the Report
>
> This report makes demographic projections. Projections are not the same as
> predictions. Rather, they are estimates built on current population data and
> assumptions about demographic trends; they are what will happen if the
> current data are accurate and the trends play out as expected. But many
> things – immigration laws, economic conditions, natural disasters, armed
> conflicts, scientific discoveries, social movements and political upheavals,
> to name just a few – can shift demographic trends in unforeseen ways, which
> is why this report adheres to a modest time frame, looking just 20 years
> down the road. Even so, there is no guarantee that Muslim populations will
> grow at precisely the rates anticipated in this report and not be affected
> by unforeseen events, such as political decisions on immigration quotas or
> national campaigns to encourage larger or smaller families.
>
> The projections presented in this report are the medium figures in a range
> of three scenarios – high, medium and low – generated from models commonly
> used by demographers around the world to forecast changes in population size
> and composition. The models follow what is known as the cohort-component
> method, which starts with a baseline population (in this case, the current
> number of Muslims in each country) divided into groups, or cohorts, by age
> and sex. Each cohort is projected into the future by adding likely gains –
> new births and immigrants – and subtracting likely losses – deaths and
> emigrants. These calculations were made by the Pew Forum’s demographers, who
> collaborated with researchers at the International Institute for Applied
> Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Austria on the projections for the United States
> and European countries. (For more details, see Appendix A:
> Methodology<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-appendix-a.aspx>
> .)
>
> The current population data that underpin this report were culled from the
> best sources available on Muslims in each of the 232 countries and
> territories for which the U.N. Population Division provides general
> population estimates. Many of these baseline statistics were published in
> the Pew Forum’s 2009 report, *Mapping the Global Muslim Population*, which
> acquired and analyzed about 1,500 sources of data – including census
> reports, large-scale demographic studies and general population surveys – to
> estimate the number of Muslims in every country and territory. (For a list
> of sources, see Appendix B: Data Sources by
> Country<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-appendix-b.aspx>.)
> All of those estimates have been updated for 2010, and some have been
> substantially revised. (To find the current estimate and projections for a
> particular region or country, see Muslim Population by  Country,
> 1990-2030<http://features.pewforum.org/muslim-population/#>.)
> Since many countries are conducting national censuses in 2010-11, more data
> is likely to emerge over the next few years, but a cut-off must be made at
> some point; this report is based on information available as of mid-2010. To
> the extent possible, the report provides data for decennial years – 1990,
> 2000, 2010, 2020 and 2030. In some cases, however, the time periods vary
> because data is available only for certain years or in five-year increments
> (e.g., 2010-15 or 2030-35).
>
> The definition of Muslim in this report is very broad. The goal is to count
> all groups and individuals who *self-identify* as Muslims. This includes
> Muslims who may be secular or nonobservant. No attempt is made in this
> report to measure how religious Muslims are or to forecast levels of
> religiosity (or secularism) in the decades
> ahead.2<http://pewforum.org/The-Future-of-the-Global-Muslim-Population.aspx#ftn2>
>
> The main factors, or inputs, in the population projections are:
>
>    -
> Births<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-main-factors-fertility.aspx>(fertility
> rates)
>    -
> Deaths<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-main-factors-life-expectancy.aspx>(mortality
> rates)
>    -
> Migration<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-main-factors-migration.aspx>(emigration
> and immigration), and
>    - The age
> structure<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-main-factors-age-structure.aspx>of
> the population (the number of people in various age groups)
>
> Related factors – which are not direct inputs into the projections but which
> underlie vital assumptions about the way Muslim fertility rates are changing
> and Muslim populations are shifting – include:
>
>    -
> Education<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-related-factors-education.aspx>(particularly
> of women)
>    - Economic
> well-being<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-related-factors-economic.aspx>(standards
> of living)
>    - Contraception and family
> planning<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-related-factors-contraception.aspx>
>    -
> Urbanization<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-related-factors-urbanization.aspx>(movement
> from rural areas into cities and towns), and
>    - Religious
> conversion<http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-related-factors-conversion.aspx>
>
> To fully understand the projections, one must understand these factors,
> which the next section of the report will discuss in more detail.
>
> Readers can also explore an online, interactive
> feature<http://features.pewforum.org/muslim-population-graphic/>
> ** that allows them to select a region or one of the 232 countries and
> territories – as well as a decade from 1990-2030 – and see the size of the
> Muslim population in that place and time.
> ------------------------------
>
> *Footnotes*
>
> 1 The seven countries projected to rise above 1 million Muslims by 2030 are:
> Belgium, Canada, Congo, Djibouti, Guinea Bissau,Netherlands and Togo.
> (return
> to
> text)<http://pewforum.org/The-Future-of-the-Global-Muslim-Population.aspx#ftn1_rtn>
>
> 2 In other reports, the Pew Forum and the Pew Research Center have used
> large-scale public opinion surveys to measure the beliefs and practices of
> many religious groups, including Muslims in several countries. See, for
> example,*Tolerance and Tension: Islam and Christianity in Sub-Saharan
> Africa<http://pewforum.org/executive-summary-islam-and-christianity-in-sub-saharan-africa.aspx>
> *, 2010, and *Muslim Americans: Middle Class and Mostly
> Mainstream<http://pewforum.org/Muslim/Muslim-Americans-Middle-Class-and-Mostly-Mainstream%282%29.aspx>
> *, 2007. (return to
> text)<http://pewforum.org/The-Future-of-the-Global-Muslim-Population.aspx#ftn2_rtn>
>
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-- 
Regards,
Arshad  Sulahri
President
Amnesty Pakistan
Sulahria House Lane No10.Sadiq Town, Dhamah Adyala Road Rawalpindi.Punjab
Pakistan-44000
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